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Introduction: In 2015, the two-child policy was opened, and the three children were opened in 2021, and after six years, the fertility problem has been hanging on the hot search list and has become a classic topic after people's tea and dinner.
From this set of data, we can see that after the opening of the two-child policy, the new birth rate has not been able to go up. There is also a data time limit, in 2019, the proportion of second children reached 59.5%, becoming the main force in the ranks of newborns. Without policy support, the number of newborns may have fallen to less than ten million. The fertility rate continues to fall, which is really sad.
At the beginning of the opening of the two-child policy, some experts predicted that it would be helpful to the birth population, but the result was that the birth did not last long but declined.
In order to increase the fertility rate, experts have also made many suggestions, including "giving birth to a child to reward 1 million", etc., but in addition to attracting the attention of public opinion, it seems that it has not really been implemented. The implementation of the three-child policy has also caused a lot of commotion.
A family can have three children, and there are supporting benefits to enjoy, which can be said to be for most families, relieving a lot of fertility worries. But why are there still people who don't want to be born?
01
"If you don't have a second child, who will give birth to a third child?"
Families who have a second child, most of them are post-80s, take the post-80s in 2021, aged between 42 and 33 years old, stable career, family harmony, basic life worry-free.
Compared with the 90s and 95s, it has more advantages. According to the "2018 China New Middle Circle Layer White Paper" released in 2018, the annual household income of China's new middle class circle is more than 650,000, the average age is 35+, and it is also a wave of outstanding people after 80. In this way, the post-80s with sufficient financial resources have become the main force of the third child.
As for the post-95, most of them have just entered marriage, some are still in a state of marriage, the problem of having children, generally have not been considered, even if some of the rapid progress, only have a child, do not want a second child, not to have a third child. Their good life, do not want to be bound by the baby, but also want to spend a few years in a dashing, improve their careers, and enjoy life themselves.
Seeing that a netizen interpreted "encouraging three children" in this way, he believes that those who give birth to a second child are those who have given birth to a first child, and those who have given birth to a third child, of course, are those who have a second child!
This seems nonsensical, but it is indeed the status quo, and the number of newly born families may not necessarily increase much, but only encourage families that already have two children to have more children.
"New users can't find it, they can only play the old user's idea." Most of the new users here are the post-95 people, while the old users are the mainstay of the society led by the post-80s.
02
The decline in fertility is related to three factors
We have shown you an authoritative data in the above article, and you can see that the newborn population has declined significantly, even with the blessing of various policies. There are three main factors that lead to this phenomenon.
Factor one: the cost of parenting is high
In today's society, having and raising a child is not as good as eating and drinking enough in the past, and there is heavy educational pressure. After the birth of the child, various early education institutions, kindergarten after the age of three, which have to spend tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of dollars, is a big expense.
A mother said that my son's used diapers were not wet, stacked on a large bed of 1.8m, and the ceiling was not enough. A pack of diapers is not wet more than a hundred, these diapers are not wet, it is almost enough for the salary of an ordinary employee in a third- and fourth-tier city (3000 ~ 4000 yuan), milk powder, early education classes, interest classes, not counted.
See a baby fee table, according to the thrifty type, to the child to go to college, but also more than 200,000, and the business cultivation needs nearly 2.6 million, raising a baby is like buying a "money shredder", a not addictive? Two more? Three?
Factor two: Income is far from keeping up with house prices
Before there were no children, the two-bedroom apartment was also very good, and parents could still come and live. But after having children, you have to consider changing houses, three children, and you need a big house.
After the child goes to school, he may also have to buy a school district house, the house price is rising, tens of thousands of yuan is only enough to buy a square school district house, it is really a lot of pressure. Some people say that when young people get married and buy a house, both parents have to empty it. What about when you change to a big house? Who's to blame?
Factor three: the elderly do not rely on babies, urban parents have a plan
Speaking of having babies, rural families are positively responsive. In their view, there is no pension when you are old, you can have children now, you can retire later, a child burden is too large, give birth to a few more, and then the pressure of old-age care can be reduced a lot.
But as urban parents, they basically have pensions, and they don't need their children to worry about when they are old, and they can even make up for it. In their view, it is enough to carefully raise a child, and they will not think about the problem of the second and third children.
Write at the end:
Each family has its own actual situation, and "full of children and grandchildren" is also the traditional idea of our Chinese. If you don't have economic pressure, parenting pressure, housing pressure and pension pressure, you may be moved to see the policy. And for those families who have not dared to have children, the welfare policy parallel to the opening of the three children may also touch your heart! After the 80s of the old users of the pressure is very large, after the 95 new users, do not wait and see, should join it!
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