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Tan Xuguang: New energy passenger cars will have a catastrophic overcapacity

Written by / Zhang Linyu

Editor/ Liu Baohua

Design / Shi Yuchao

"How bold and productive people are, what our company lacks most now is this kind of person who dares to try, and the traditional manufacturing industry does not have this ecology."

"As long as you don't touch the red line, don't break the law, don't take risks, and do whatever you want, the spirit of madness can create miracles, and rational people can't create miracles."

Tan Xuguang, chairman of Shandong Heavy Industry, chairman of Weichai Holdings and chairman of China National Heavy Duty Truck, circulated "crazy quotes" on the Internet. On March 27, Tan Xuguang gave a speech after visiting Intelligent Technology and Qingzhi Automobile Technology, and the above quotations are from this speech.

Tan Xuguang: New energy passenger cars will have a catastrophic overcapacity

The first half of the speech is four experiences of new business development, including: building a new team and creating new dreams; establishing a new ecology, we must boldly try; establishing a new mechanism to activate innovation; establishing a new order and gathering large resources.

In the second half of the speech, Tan Xuguang put forward four requirements for the management team.

The first is to inherit excellent culture. These cultures refer to the passionate culture of "not arguing for the first is in the mix", the efficiency culture of "two and a half days a day", and the core values of "customer satisfaction is our aim".

The second is to create a passion ecology - everyone wants to be an officer, everyone is willing to be an officer, people do not engage in people, things do things, and the conclusion is that things are right and wrong people.

Third, the team values are consistent - if the team's values are not on a platform or on a channel, you let him go earlier than later, he will bring you "pollution".

Fourth, hard work brings wealth. Here Tan Xuguang also attacked the problem of social impetuosity, "The disorderly expansion of capital in the past 20 years has brought down the young people after the 80s." Everyone builds a company, goes up to dozens of times the valuation, and then realizes and enjoys it, and eventually at the age of forty or fifty, you will 'chronic suicide'. ”

I have always said that the wealth brought by struggle is yours, the faster the wealth comes, the faster it will go, and the slower the wealth comes, the slower it will go, because it comes by working your own. I hope that you will lead the team, keep pace with the times, learn the advantages of Lao Tan well, do not learn my shortcomings, we fully support you to do a good job in the company! ”

The speech is basically positive energy except for a few bold sentences, but a few days later, on April 1, Weichai Power's 2021 annual results conference, Tan Xuguang once again made a surprising statement, this time full of controversy.

He said: "In recent years, the new energy industry is more lively, a rush, and then disorderly competition, new energy vehicles, especially passenger cars, there will be a catastrophic overcapacity, through the expansion of wealth in the capital market, resulting in the capital market for new energy disorderly capital expansion." ”

This remark is considered by many people to be the sour grape psychology that did not catch up with the new energy train.

Sinotruk's new energy route is currently mainly based on hydrogen energy. In 2018, Weichai Power, through its wholly owned subsidiary Weichai Power (Hong Kong), subscribed for a 19.9% stake in Ballard Power System in Canada for US$164 million, becoming Badera's largest shareholder. It is relatively backward in the research and development and layout of the pure electric technology route.

Tan Xuguang: New energy passenger cars will have a catastrophic overcapacity

In 2021, Sinotruk proposed that the new energy power system should fully grasp the key core technologies such as fuel cell systems, drive motors and controllers, and electric drive bridges, and take the lead in establishing a global competitive advantage in the field of commercial vehicles.

For automatic driving, Tan Xuguang proposed to quickly launch the autonomous driving mining card for smart mine applications, continue to optimize and improve the port automatic driving collection card, and ensure that the demonstration operation of key technologies for automatic driving under specific closed scenarios will be realized in 2023; and by 2025, intelligent networking and hydrogen fuel cell commercial vehicles will lead the global market.

Sinotruk has also laid out passenger cars on the road of transformation. Weichai Power previously obtained the passenger car production qualification by way of acquisition, launched the Weichai Yingzhi brand, and later changed its name to Sinotruk VGV, and still focused on the passenger car business of traditional fuel vehicles.

In the field of commercial vehicles, Sinotruk is still in the first camp.

In 2021, Sinotruk's heavy-duty truck sales were 286,000 units, down 2.5% year-on-year, but the overall heavy-duty truck market ranked second, replacing Dongfeng's position, an increase of one place over 2022. The annual market share of heavy-duty trucks was 20.5% (caliber of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers), an increase of nearly 3 percentage points year-on-year.

At the same time, Sinotruk's heavy-duty vehicle exports account for more than 50% of the mainland's total exports, and its sales volume will exceed 50,000 units in 2021, maintaining the first place in the country for 17 consecutive years, and has become the single-brand enterprise with the largest export volume in the world.

This article was originally produced by Automotive Business Review

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