#Where has the war in Ukraine taken?#The latest situation on the second day of the war between Russia and Ukraine##俄罗斯大动员 'fighting' Western sanctions##乌总统: I hope to have direct dialogue with Putin #
Text/Yang Binguo
Hello everyone, today we will continue to comment on the situation in Ukraine. In the past two days, the Russian military has continued to spread news that military "silence" has been implemented in several encircled Ukrainian cities in order to allow ordinary civilians to withdraw from the city to escape. However, according to a video report by front-line journalists from Hong Kong's Phoenix TV stationed in Ukraine, Ukrainian troops stationed in the city prevented local civilians from withdrawing from the city. As for the ukrainian army's reason for doing this, it is simple, once the civilians withdraw from the city, that is, the Russian army attacks the city begins, that is, like the Ukrainian army did not allow foreigners and students to leave the city, the purpose is to make civilians "meat shields". Therefore, we often say that war is cruel, and we must cherish peace.
To make a long story short, although there has been no obvious change at the military level, the policy of Russia and Ukraine at the top level has quietly changed, specifically the attitude of the Ukrainian high level has changed, we watch the news. According to Bloomberg on Wednesday, Igor Zovkova, deputy director of ukraine's presidential office, said Kiev was ready to discuss the country's neutrality if security assurances were provided.
The day before, Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, also revealed that Kiev was discussing the conditions for abandoning nato membership, which, according to him, required security assurances. Zovkova was quoted on the Bloomberg website as saying: "Ukraine is ready to discuss Russia's demand for neutrality if security assurances are provided, but it will not give up an inch of 'territory'." ”
According to the "Capitol Hill" and The Wall Street Journal, on March 9, local time, the US House of Representatives passed a bill banning Russian oil imports.
Yang Binguo commented: This is by far the most formal statement made by the Ukrainian high level after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, although Ukrainian President Zelenskiy has also made similar statements verbally and tentatively before, but after three rounds of negotiations, progress has been very limited, and the outside world is worried that Russia's patience is gradually losing, and the situation may heat up. Of course, ukraine had made requests for military support from the United States and its allies before making this decision, but they were ignored.
Zelenskiy complained that "we have been abandoned by the Western world". In fact, Western military assistance has not been in place at all, most of them are "empty checks", according to today's US media reports pointed out that before the United States vowed to support ukraine fighter MiG-29 was rejected by the US Department of Defense, as for the reasons, yesterday I made a detailed explanation in the article, military assistance to Ukrainian MiG-29 fighters must have Poland and the former Soviet Union countries in the Baltic states that joined NATO and Eastern European countries to bear their own risks, When Poland offered to deploy its own MiG-29 to a NATO air base in Germany, the Pentagon did not hesitate to refuse. Another heavy aid was Germany's promise to support Ukraine's 2,900 East German-made missiles, barely able to use up to 2,000 missiles, still lying in Germany's war depot, verbal policy decisions have been made, and there is no institutional implementation of who will come.
Zelenskiy's cry of U.S. and NATO military support like a "cuckoo crying blood ape" is such an end? Writing here, even the author can't help but sigh that the world is still a law that respects strength, and in the face of Russia, which is militarily powerful, the United States and NATO will not shed a drop of blood for Ukraine. I think of this, the Ukrainian elite, the political elite should already understand their situation, should they also make a sober choice?
The United States also knew that the move to reject Ukraine was a bit unreasonable, so it made a difficult decision to "ban" the import of Russian oil, which is actually a very powerful move, and once the sanctions are implemented and even extended to the Group of Seven and the United States allies, the economic blow to Russia is fatal. Of course, for Russia, the shortcoming is not military, but whether it can withstand Western sanctions economically.
Although the consequences of oil sanctions are currently serious for Russia, but the real consequences are not short, and Ukraine does not have this time to wait, what they need is military assistance to the United States and NATO so far and dare not come out, what can be done is to continue to "draw a big pie" for the Ukrainian authorities, let them be deeply involved in the Russian military conflict with Russia, adhere to military struggle, the United States and NATO and the Western world are supportive of Ukraine and so on. This game of constantly releasing "bait" and consuming Ukraine and Russia is what the United States is best at. Understand that it is the Ukrainian authorities, not the United States and NATO members, who are caught up in the war. When Ukraine stepped into the bureau according to the requirements of the United States and became a "tool man", it had lost the qualification to speak on an equal footing with the United States, because Ukraine was "in the bureau" and the United States was "on the shore".
No, as long as the United States is not bloody, it can be used, NATO said in a statement, "NATO Council Defense Minister-level meeting will be held on Wednesday, March 16, 2022." Ministers will attend the meeting in person. The meeting will be chaired by NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg. The Defence Ministers of Georgia, Ukraine, Finland and Sweden, as well as the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy (Borrelli), will participate. ”
Look, what I said, the news was released too timely, and at this time Ukraine had released its attitude of neutralization and renounced joining NATO. Of course, it is not that Ukraine does not want to join NATO, but that NATO does not dare to accept it. The real purpose of the United States has never dared to say explicitly, that is, to "die" ukraine and Russia, once Russia "admits", the United States will let NATO collectively put the gun under the city of Moscow, Russia dares to resist, let you two continue to bleed, for the United States there is no loss at all.
"Political games" are sometimes shrewd, can calculate the situation to the extreme, sometimes they are stupid, knowing that it is a game, but if the other party's "bait" is too big and too loud, do you say it is to bite or not to bite? As you can imagine, after the Ukrainian Defense Minister participated in the NATO summit, when he felt that many powerful countries gathered, encouraged by words, the future was depicted, and the interests were tempted, it was difficult to say that he could not say that he was determined to let the Ukrainian army and the Russian army "fight to the death". I still insist that when there is no overwhelming victory on the battlefield, it is difficult to have much of a breakthrough at the negotiating table. When the Ukrainian authorities are gaining public support and have a heavy military, it is not easy for Russia to achieve the three basic conditions currently proposed in a short period of time.
Of course, oil sanctions, as one of the few heavyweight tools in the US "ammunition depot", once used, show that the United States has little chance of winning in this game. Tell us if my review is reasonable, please comment on your opinion below.
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