The current situation in Ukraine unfolds simultaneously on four parallel battlefields: the first is the traditional military battlefield, and the two sides of the contest are the ukrainian and Russian armies; the second battlefield is the public opinion battlefield; the third battlefield is the diplomatic battlefield; and the fourth battlefield is the economic and financial battlefield. Compared with the military battlefield, the last three battlefields are much more complex, and there are more various forces appearing on the battlefield.
Judging from the current situation, it is difficult to decide the final victory or defeat on the military battlefield. Because in a short time, the Ukrainian side cannot defeat Russia. And the Russian side, even if it occupies more territory and destroys more opponents, as long as external forces continue to send all kinds of support to Ukraine, the Ukrainian side will not concede defeat. Therefore, it is almost impossible to end the war by hoping for victory on the military battlefield.
The battlefield of public opinion is more in the service of other battlefields. The winner is decided here, and the odds are unlikely.
The economic and financial battlefield is currently the most intense battlefield. Judging from the situation in the past two days, the United States has increased its bets here more and more, and Russia has not shown weakness in the slightest. The outcome of the economic and financial battlefield has a great impact on the end of the situation in Ukraine as a whole. On the face of it, it appears that the situation in Ukraine will eventually end in a negotiated manner, or most likely in a negotiated manner. However, as far as the current situation is concerned, the outcome of the contest on the economic and financial battlefields has a great impact on the outcome of the negotiations, and can even be said to be decisive in a certain sense. On this battlefield, Russia faces its most formidable adversary.
The diplomatic battlefield is more about the reaction of other battlefield forces.
Although everyone now wants to maintain the initiative in this battlefield, they are all actively expressing their position and are willing to negotiate results. But in fact, no one's position is willing to make decisive concessions and loosening, and even some technical measures are not seen now. For example, the separation of ceasefire from withdrawal and other issues, the realization of division, such technical methods have not appeared.
As far as the current situation is concerned, the above four battlefields have now gradually turned into the main battlefield in the economic and financial battlefields. If you say something big or thunder, it's most likely on this battlefield. The military battlefield is relatively stable, and unless a force other than Ukraine enters the battlefield, it is possible to make fundamental changes in this battlefield. #乌外长: No ceasefire no surrender ##乌方: Ukraine is open to neutrality ##乌总统: Want direct dialogue with Putin #
