(This article is compiled by the public account Yuesheng Investment Advisory (yslcw927), for reference only, and does not constitute operational advice.) If you operate on your own, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk. )
Long-term stable profit trading is actually very simple, not only is it simple to say, but it is actually very simple and easy to do.
In fact, everyone will rely on some bullish indicators, I also spent a lot of days on the Internet to search for a lot of different indicators, want to see what good trading system others are using, but overall, the principle of the indicators are similar, there are trend types, there are oscillators, but there is nothing that can just buy low and sell high Direction clearly distinguished immortal indicators.
Personally, I only use one moving average. In fact, any indicator system is a probability that illustrates a direction or trend range.
Since so many indicators are similar, don't look for anything special; Since everyone uses almost the performance indicator, whether there is a loss or a win is a personal problem for the trader. When trading, under normal circumstances, traders will be mixed with personal emotions in behavior, analysis, judgment, prediction, ordering, position anxiety, panic to leave the market, all of which are the situations shown by the trader's trading behavior; But the behavior of a mature, stable trader is not dragging the mud and water in this way, or that there are very few of the above ingredients mixed in his behavior.
Make a trade, only look at the probability, do not prejudge.
For example, on a certain time chart, the K line crosses the moving average and is supported or blocked by the moving average, then enter the market, there is no analysis or prediction, the prejudgment process is directly omitted (but some people think that this is still a prejudgment), the K line is long on the moving average, short on the moving average, there is no idea, why? Because this is a high probability, correct is the vast majority of cases. Even mistakes don't matter, because the right high probability is the basis for my trading profits, the right trades are definitely the vast majority, and the sum of the correct number of trades is definitely a positive number. At the time of each action, there is such a high probability of assurance, what else to worry about? Replace your subjective analysis with high-probability event behavior. People's cognitive biases will only bring you the vast majority of wrong behaviors when you analyze and judge orders. Some people can't make a profit even if they have very good indicators, and the problem lies in this. I myself used to be like this before. In the depths of the soul and mind, still believing in oneself, the act of trading is controlled by self-emotion and cannot be freed, in fact, the first and foremost is a question of objective cognition.
Believe in your indicators, believe in the probability of your indicators, and then resolutely execute, right or wrong to let the probability of indicators be evaluated, trading behavior do not let their desires and fears dominate. With the indicator system, there is really only one thing you can do, and that is visual discrimination and reflexive execution. Be clear about how your indicators reflect market conditions, and then in turn capture how the indicators visually behave when reflecting market conditions, and then directly reach the result, conditional launch, without hesitation, so that your eyes and hands become your intelligent trading links. If you continue to train in this way, you will gradually establish the habit of "conditionalism" in your consciousness - the signal comes out, that is, the conditions are met, enter or leave the market; Signals or conditions do not come out, continue to hold positions or wait and see. The probability of an indicator must have played a greater role than your own clever mind. Be clear about your thinking and behavior, be clear about what you are doing, don't blindly survive or live, trading is the same, since you have some indicators, then go to the execution. In addition, there are not many indicators, one or two simple indicators are enough. But use parameters that suit your trading habits. For example, if someone likes to scalp, then use some parameters-sensitive indicators on the one-minute chart; Some people like to do long-term lines, then do not eat the head of the fish, use the moving average or other indicator signals that can reflect the trend, waiting to enter the market and leave the market in waiting. In short, the indicator system should conform to their trading habits.
"Ant on tree" form
"Ant on the tree" is the second stage of the 135 moving average battle method, referring to the stock price stabilized, slowly rising, the same also means that the main force began to suck chips, when the 13-day moving average began to fall Kaihua Temple to stabilize, the stock price broke through the 13-day line, and then sent the stock price to the 55-day moving average, such a continuous rise in the small Yang line is called "ant on the tree".
"Ant on the tree", also known as "holding on to nai", is a stock with a super large possibility of bullning the K-line technical form, generally appear in the bottom area of the stock price, is the stock price bottom began to strengthen the target. The core point is the slow advance of the gentle and low amount of small Yang line, and then the pattern of the medium line group with the large Amount of Yang (preferably the up and down board) breaking through the middle line. On the trend, the stock price after a long period of contraction after the flattening, when the stock price stepped on the 13-day moving average, with a continuous upward attack of the small Yang line (not less than five) slowly rising, the stock price gently sent to the 55-day moving average is called the ant tree.
Morphological characteristics
1, the transaction volume is very small;
2. The small Yang line is slowly advancing;
3. The stock price is in the bottom rebound trend;
4, more than 5 points of the big Yang line up, with more than 3 times the volume;
5. The short-term line group crosses the middle line group, and the middle line group goes flat and upward;
Operating conditions
1. The "ant on the tree" of the rebound stage generally appears at the end of the pullback of individual stocks or the early stage of the rebound. The "ant tree" in the main ascending stage appears in individual stocks that have just broken above the 60-day moving average, which belongs to the middle of the rising market;
2, the volume must be moderate;
3, KDJ indicators form a golden cross below 50, just formed the best, and the J line turn upwards showing a pattern greater than 45 ° angle upwards.
4. The green bar below the MACD indicator is gradually shortened and the conversion from the green bar to the red bar is the best.
Buy timing
1, the day the ants appear on the tree, after successfully breaking through the ten-day moving average, we can pay close attention
2, the first or second yin line of the stock price correction, light position test
3. The stock price forms a "yang ke yin" trend, that is, a yang eats several yin lines or a yin line in the previous few days, and can be half a position or a heavy position
Sell timing
When the 1 and 13-day moving averages show signs of weakness or the volume increases and the upward momentum is solemn, they are ready to leave the market at any time, and once they are effectively broken, they must leave the market unconditionally
2, if there is no time to leave, you can wait for the rebound
3. The top features of the K line appear, such as "thriving" and "going up to the tall building alone", and they will close when they see it.
Case study
As shown in the figure above, the stock of Keda shares is also one of the stocks that have appeared in the previous period of ant tree form, when the ant tree form appears, investors can try to buy lightly, if the first or second yin line of the stock price correction can be followed by half a position. After the pullback, the k-line forms a yang and yin trend or breaks through the previous highs to re-attack.
Summary: Where are ants best placed? Of course, after the completion of the market builder's position, the beginning of the rising market is put in the best, if you put ants in a random opening in the bottom range, it is likely to face frequent in and out, resulting in an increase in transaction costs, not to mention, but also may be the mentality to be broken, after the completion of the bookmaker's position, the amount of crutch, break through the T line, the aircraft leaves the ground and other positions to put ants into the best.
"Ants on the tree" two major precautions:
1, only appear below the 55-day moving average, appear above the 55-day moving average, the market meaning of the form will change.
2, focus on the grasp of the form, the requirements for the volume is not very high, as long as the number of Yang lines is enough for 5. If "ants on the tree" and "backgammon" go hand in hand, it can be confirmed that the bookmaker is sucking chips, and the success rate of the form will be greatly improved.
Why buy on breakout?
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How is this poem understood in the stock market? That is to say, it is difficult for individual stocks without breakthroughs to have room for development, and breaking through the previous obstacles and climbing to a new level ushered in a broad space for development. The implementation of the specific operation is to clearly know where the current stock price is, is it about to break through or a small rebound? Philosophically, there will be qualitative changes, there will be leaps. Applied to the operation of the stock market, it is "big new high, big rise; Small new highs, small rises. "Therefore, we get an operating concept, that is, the operation is to create a new high and just break through the individual stocks, and the individual stocks enter the main rising wave synchronously."
Breakout Buy Technique Essentials:
1, the longer the sideways time, the more momentum there is when the outbreak time arrives. The main suction chip remains in a very low price area, which is more thorough;
2, when the stock trend is obviously good, decisive attack, quickly buy;
3. Stocks that have a wash action in the process of rising, the target is more long-term. The more the main force wants to clean up the stock behind the profit plate, the greater the upside potential;
4, the volume of 5 days up to wear the 24 days is a good buy prompt signal, with KDJ and MACD together, the accuracy rate is very high.
What are the breakout buy patterns?
1. Rising rectangle
Unlike the high and low points of the flag arrangement, the high and low points of the rectangular arrangement are basically maintained at the same height, and the connection between the high and low points is also a parallel line. Because the stock price of the rectangular arrangement is like oscillating up and down in the box, it is often called the box movement. Although the box movement is more grinding, once the effective breakthrough upwards, then the short-term profit space is still considerable.
Practical cases:
The stock lasted more than three months of volatility, with highs and lows almost identical, in line with the trend of rectangular finishing.
Until the stock price chooses to go up, the stock price of the day opened sharply by 2%, and the opening of the market was firmly sealed for more than ten minutes, and the trading volume was enlarged at the same time, announcing the effectiveness of the breakthrough. Because the opening is higher than the top of the rectangular box, it is a good short-term buying point.
Operation points:
Try to only participate in the rectangular finishing that occurs in the process of rising in the middle and low areas of the stock price, and avoid the rectangular finishing that appears at the high level of the stock price. Unlike flag and wedge finishing, the volume of rectangular finishing does not necessarily shrink significantly at the end of the finishing. However, when breaking through the upper rail of the rectangular finishing, there must be a volume of cooperation, otherwise it will not be effective, and eventually it will have to return to the box to run.
2. Box sideways
For stocks with a long-term sideways box up and down board, the flat time is preferably more than 2 months (the longer the better), and the breakout is in the form of a limit. Such stocks will be more difficult to no longer go up the ladder because of the full change of hands.
Changchun Yidong The stock gap volume breakthrough after full shock washing, the end of the wash double top wash out of the technical school, there are small steps suddenly change the limit, this kind of stock is the market maker prepared, keep up is the most comfortable.
Operational Policy:
(1) When the price oscillates in a relatively low area, it is the stage of our attention, waiting for a breakout to buy.
(2) The stock price breaks through the long-term consolidation area, and there may be a big market, so it is necessary to chase it decisively.
(3) Buy boldly when the drawback lifeline is supported, as this stage is the safest.
3. New high gap
From the point of view of technical analysis, the gap gap is generally a more obvious trend signal. If the stock price jumps upwards, it means that an uptrend may come; If there is a downward gap in the stock price, it may indicate a correction or decline. When the stock price hit a new stage high in the form of a gap, how will it be interpreted?
Market Significance:
In the rising stage of the market, the plate appears favorable, and the amount of pulling up and stopping will absorb the chips, indicating that the main force does not care about the current cost of building a position, and the future market has a lot of room to rise.
Technical highlights:
(1) The trading day before the gap appears is a K line or a K line with a shadow line, and the amount corresponding to the limit can be significantly enlarged;
(2) On the day of the gap, the stock price began to rise strongly at the opening of the market, and there was no sign of making up for the gap;
(3) Before the gap is formed, the stock price should not exceed 20% of the increase from the start.
Best place to buy:
(1) When the stock price is adjusted to near the gap during the intraday adjustment, the amount of shrinkage, the next killing kinetic energy exhaustion is to buy.
(2) When the stock price is broken and a gap is formed, it is decisively pursued.
Why can stocks rise quickly and continuously after the weekly breakout?
This is due to the money-making effect produced by the principle of the nature of the market:
1. The chips bought at the low level have been profitable when the stock price rises into the weekly breakthrough stage, and the selling is fierce;
2. The chips bought at the high level in the early stage have fallen for a long time, and then rebounded with the market or rose into the weekly breakthrough stage, and the selling pressure of the unwinding disk was heavy;
3. When the weekly line band breaks through a large number of times, the market has already eaten all the sell-offs of the profit plate and the unwinding disk;
4. The main bookmaker who dares to eat all the chips undoubtedly has extraordinary financial strength;
5. The stock must have a significant positive or theme that has been disclosed or is little known;
6, a high degree of control and high cost chips determine the huge space for stock prices to rise.
Why does it have to be a weekly breakout and not a daily breakout? This is because:
Intuitively, when the daily line is at a high level, the weekly line is often still in the middle or even the low of the long-term trend. Different analysis cycles, we see and feel different perspectives.
The daily line is a reflection of the fluctuations of the stock price after the day of fluctuations every day, if we only look at the daily stock price rise and fall, we can not accurately judge the further real trend. Therefore, to grasp the trend of stock prices from a longer period, we must also apply weekly charts to observe. Generally speaking, on the weekly chart, we can look for trading points by observing the arrangement of the moving averages of the weekly and daily lines, and the combined resonance of the K-line. The weekly candlestick refers to the candlestick chart drawn with Monday's opening price, Friday's closing price, week's high price and weekly low price, reflecting the result of a week's buying and selling of stocks. The daily line often jumps up and down due to the easy generation of too much cluttered information to accurately reflect the medium and long-term trend of the market, and the weekly line can often truly reflect the medium and long-term trend of the market.
Here are some classic weekly breakouts with buy points and a strong upside chart after the breakout:
Peak signal – exit
VAR1:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,36))/(HHV(HIGH,36)-LLV(LOW,36))*100;
VAR2:=SMA(VAR1,3,1);
VAR3:=SMA(VAR2,3,1);
VAR4:=SMA(VAR3,3,1);
Wave: VAR3;
Segment: VAR4;
VAR6:=CROSS(VAR3,VAR4)AND VAR3<20;
DRAWTEXT(FILTER(VAR6,10)=1,40, 'BOTTOM'), LINETHICK3;
STICKLINE(FILTER(VAR6,10)=1,0,30,10,0),COLORGREEN;
VAR7:=CROSS(VAR4,VAR3)AND VAR3>80;
STICKLINE(FILTER(VAR7,5)=1,80,100,10,0),COLORYELLOW;
DRAWTEXT(FILTER(VAR7,5)=1,70,'顶'),LINETHICK3,COLORYELLOW;
VAR8:=CROSS(VAR2,VAR3)AND VAR3>80ANDVAR3>VAR4;
STICKLINE(VAR8,85,100,10,0);
Formula code copied over will inevitably cause some format errors, if you can not successfully import, you can pay attention to the public number: Yuesheng Investment (yslcw927), free to get the source code!
Only do intra-model trading, only earn money within the ability
In stock trading, when encountering missed opportunities and making less money early, I always feel infinite pity and regret, and I always feel that I can do better and obtain greater profits. It's a completely wrong idea, that the opportunities you don't get, the profits you don't make, have nothing to do with you. Your pattern, your ability can only support you to make the immediate results, one point is not much, one point is not much. Fluctuations beyond their own mode, money beyond their own ability, need to constantly improve the method, improve themselves, in order to continue to improve, and constantly expand their own achievements.
Virtue carrier, virtue to coordinate; If virtue is not worthy, there will be disasters. Similarly, when ability cannot support your ambition, you should calm down and learn; When the ability can not control your goal, you should sink your heart, experience, precipitation.
Stocks are bound to experience moments of confusion over time, and countless lessons will make you understand: you can't catch all the fluctuations, you can only start by trying to catch one of them. This is actually a question of world view, which is man's general view and fundamental view of the whole world and the relationship between man and the world. Fishing in the sea, every day I only need to catch my own one ton of fish is enough. As for the other fish that slipped through the net, I don't need to care, if I want to catch all the fish, I will destroy my boat. A ton of fish, not more, not less, this is my maximum ability to catch a day, and the load-bearing capacity of the fishing boat. If I want to catch enough fish to catch 10 tons a day, yes, I need bigger fishing boats, I need more fishing nets with more catching capacity, and that's a problem that has to be solved. Therefore, your worldview can be constantly updated, continuously improved, and continuously optimized, and at the same time, the worldview and methodology are consistent, and what kind of worldview there is often what kind of methodology. You can do something by first recognizing it, then identifying the goal you want, and then looking for ways to achieve it. Therefore, you begin to re-understand this market, realize the hugeness of the market, your own smallness, you can only according to your own limited understanding, to capture the opportunities in line with your own limited, to earn your share of your own money. There is no regret or regret. If the current opportunities obviously can no longer meet their own needs, then once again improve their ability to recognize the market, find ways to seize more opportunities, and then master the ability to capture more opportunities through long-term actual combat. From this point of view, the realm of speculation is also constantly sublimating.
To want and to get, you must first do it. If you just immerse yourself in the dream of fantasizing about getting rich, trading will only scar yourself. After determining the goal you want, you must eliminate all interference, break through all obstacles, find a way to achieve the goal, repeatedly defeated, repeatedly defeated, and finally tried and failed. If you want to achieve much, you need to pay a lot of effort, how much ability to do a lot of big things, don't do and can't do things beyond your own ability. And between the heavens and the earth, each thing has its own Master, and it is not my own, although there is nothing to be gained.
Understanding the market is the foundation, mastering the method is the key, and exercising skills is the focus! Only by turning our ideas into real benefits is where we need to work hard the most, and the only way to reach the other shore is to find our own way, only to do our own model of trading, and only to earn the money of our own ability. All walks of life, there is no miracle, the successful people are in their own field of continuous immersion, precipitation, tempering results. Focused, firm and striving for excellence.
Anyone who asks for itself, reduces desire, accumulates energy, eats courage, and accumulates thick hair, you will certainly be able to shine!
Want to know more about the current A-share stage of operation skills and formula code, or have any doubts, you can pay attention to the public account Yuesheng Investment Advisory (yslcw927), more after-market operations and stock technical analysis methods waiting for you to learn, dry goods continue to flow!
Disclaimer: This content is provided by Viet Sonic Investment Advisory and does not mean that Investment Express endorses its investment views