With the escalation of the confrontation between China and the United States, the possibility of an armed conflict between China and the United States in the Taiwan Strait is getting higher and higher, and from the perspective of China's realization of great national rejuvenation, the recovery of Taiwan is inevitable.
Russian diplomat Zakharov, who has also been paying attention to the situation in the Taiwan Strait, said that a conflict in the Taiwan Strait is difficult to avoid, but China should be vigilant that it will face not only the United States and Japan but also other countries that will pose a threat to China.
【Zakharov】
Zakharov's reminder
Zakharov's view is very clear, and he first expressed his view on the next development trend of the situation in the Taiwan Strait, that a conflict in the Taiwan Strait is impossible to avoid, and that once China and the United States fight, Japan and South Korea, such East Asian bridgeheads, will also be implicated in the war.
The situation in the Taiwan Strait has been up and down in recent decades, and there have even been military frictions between China and the United States at the most urgent time, but there have also been cases of easing relations.
In the end, it will depend on how the Taiwan authorities' mainland policy does not conform to the long-term interests of the people on both sides of the strait and the Chinese nation, and if they put their personal interests above national interests, they will inevitably be eliminated by the tide of history.
【Taiwan Military Port】
The "Taiwan independence" advocates have always been unwilling to admit the fact that Taiwan cannot do without the mainland, and if there were no economic exchanges with the mainland, Taiwan's economy would have lost its vitality for development long ago.
Therefore, even if the Taiwanese people have been brainwashed by the independence faction for so many years, more people tend to maintain the status quo between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, rather than Taiwan's complete independence. In terms of the gap in military strength between the two sides of the strait, there is no way out for resisting reunification by force, and the PLA already has an advantage over the Taiwan army.
"Taiwan independence elements" like Tsai Ing-wen have always pinned their hopes on the US military's intervention in the mainland's recovery operation, but in fact, the US military will not be able to save Taiwan at all, and even if the United States and Japan really try to intervene after the reunification operation begins, it is unlikely to have any substantial impact on the final outcome of the conflict.
【Tsai Ing-wen】
In the past, the United States could use the island chain system to blockade China by virtue of its naval superiority, but now that the first island chain has been broken, the US military is powerless to interfere in any military action on the mainland.
After the Taiwan Strait crisis in 96, the PLA has been developing an anti-access system in a targeted manner, and 1,500 kilometers offshore of the coastline of Chinese mainland is an absolute forbidden area for US aircraft carriers.
The Americans are not fools, and it is a proper loss-making transaction to send away the aircraft carrier that supports the hegemonic system for the sake of China's Taiwan, and once the US military is defeated in a conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the entire East Asian hegemonic system will collapse with it, and this is also what the United States is trying to avoid.
【First Island Chain】
Compared with the United States itself, Japan, as the Asia-Pacific bridgehead toward China, has a higher anti-China enthusiasm, and Japanese right-wing politicians have even shouted the slogan that if there is something wrong with Taiwan, there is something wrong with Japan, and their attitude is extremely arrogant.
In reality, however, the fundamental purpose of the Japanese right-wing is not to stand up for the United States, and Japan also hopes to drag the United States into the water and break the shackles on Japan.
The U.S.-Japan alliance is close on the surface, but in fact the biggest obstacle to Japan's national development is the United States.
[Japanese Right-Wing]
The country will be sucked by the United States economically, interfered by the United States politically, and limited by the United States militarily.
The only way for Japan to extricate itself from such a development predicament is to use China's strength to break the hegemonic domination of the United States in East Asia and rely on the new East Asian system dominated by China.
【U.S. Forces in Japan】
China's other adversaries
Zakharov said that in addition to the United States and Japan becoming China's opponents in a war in the Taiwan Strait, NATO countries may also join the conflict. Earlier NATO summits have already expressed signs of concern about military threats in other parts of the world.
NATO is likely to interfere not only in Europe's defense, but also in geopolitics in the Asia-Pacific region, which is not good news for China.
【NATO Summit】
Zakharov also said that NATO countries can actually pose a limited threat to China, on the one hand, these countries are extremely dependent on the Chinese economy, which means that any economic suppression and sanctions are ineffective, and will be like the United States in the trade war, suppressing itself.
As for military means, NATO's so-called military power is still a joke, NATO has been a defensive armed force since its inception and is simply not capable of deploying outside the European region.
If NATO really decides to participate in the conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the end will only be that there will be no return, and the PLA will be able to clean up even the US military, let alone the rabble composed of European countries.
【NATO Military Exercises】
From this point of view, Zakharov's prediction is also a bit exaggerated, although Europe has long lost its political independence, but it is impossible to go crazy to take the initiative to provoke China, China and the United States are a magnitude of great powers, so they can engage in confrontation, and any other country participating in it is tantamount to self-destruction.
In contrast, the countries in the South China Sea, represented by the Philippines, may actually appear in the military strike lineup against China formed by the United States, and the Philippines and Japan have a similar position, and their continuous death on the Ren'ai Jiao issue is not a dog fighting for human power, but a test of the United States' strength and bottom line through China.
【Philippine Army】
If the United States shows its hegemonic strength, the Philippines will continue to hold its thighs and rely on the support of the United States to continue to encroach on China's maritime interests.
If the United States is no longer able to confront China in the South China Sea, the Philippines will quickly change tactics and embrace China's thicker thighs.
Therefore, before China and the United States decide the winner, the Philippines will continue to provoke without a bottom line, and its core purpose is to pull the United States into the water and test the United States.
【Ren'ai Jiao Issue】
It is no exaggeration to say that every country in the so-called alliance of the United States has evil intentions, and the situation facing China is much simpler, and if it can win a decisive victory in the conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the problem of being suppressed by US forces in the region will be completely resolved.
Even countries such as Japan and South Korea will change the direction of the wind and adapt to the new East Asian system, so the conflict in the Taiwan Strait is both a hidden danger and an opportunity, and it is up to China to grasp it.
Sources:
[1] Zheng Wei. A review of the origin, nature and stage division of the Taiwan Strait crisis[J].Party History Research and Teaching,2017(03):106-112.)