【Introduction: The most obvious impact of rising oil prices on the automotive industry is the daily car consumption, in this context, the advantages of low cost of new energy electric vehicles have begun to be looked at by the public. On the one hand, new energy vehicles do bring lower consumption costs, and there are enough reasons to be popular at the moment when oil prices are rising; on the other hand, the problems of new energy vehicles themselves still need to be solved. So, will fuel vehicles really make way for new energy electric vehicles? Do new energy vehicles really save money? 】
Written| by Cai Jialun and editor | Hezi
Affected by the international situation, nearly 70% of fossil energy relies on imported Chinese market, from the beginning of 2022 to the present, oil prices have been adjusted for 5 rounds, there have been "five consecutive rises", the average price of No. 95 gasoline in the country has risen to the "9 yuan era". Changes in oil prices are having a subtle effect on the automotive market.
Oil prices have soared, digging deeper into the reasons behind it
In 2022, oil prices have been rising since the end of last year, and the national No. 95 gasoline has hit a new high in 8 years, and the No. 92 gasoline in some areas is even approaching the "9 yuan mark".
The reason is that, first of all, crude oil is the main component of gasoline, and the price of domestic refined oil products in the mainland is also closely related to the international oil price. Russia is the world's second largest crude oil exporter, and the recent Russian-Ukrainian conflict has sanctioned Russia from Europe and the United States. This has directly led to a surge in international commodity prices, including oil, natural gas, etc., and in connection with this, the price of refined oil products on the mainland has also risen.
The second reason is the COVID-19 pandemic, the world is waking up from the economic slumber caused by the epidemic, and the need for natural resources to restart the economy is enormous. The epidemic has suppressed social demand and caused a serious decline in social demand. The social demand for crude oil has decreased, resulting in a large number of social unemployed people, thus lower social demand, creating a vicious circle, affecting the global supply chain, which has created a negative impact on crude oil prices and the global economy.
The price of crude oil continues to rise, and oil prices involve all aspects of life. Oil prices have risen for five consecutive years this year, and in the past two months in 2022, gasoline has risen from more than 6 yuan per liter to the current 9 yuan era, and it is expected to continue to rise. The rise in oil prices will directly increase the budget of fuel car owners in refueling, a liter of oil price increase of 2 yuan, to the fuel tank volume of 60L as an example, a tank of oil is directly more expensive than before 120 yuan, a year to spend three or four thousand yuan more. The volume of the fuel tank remains the same, and the number of kilometers it runs does not change, but the money spent is increasing.
In addition to this, the rise in oil prices affects not just the people who drive the car, but everyone in our lives. Rising oil prices will directly lead to higher transportation costs, which in turn will be transmitted to the prices of various commodities, which in turn will affect everyone involved in the consumption of commodities. So, in this case, will fuel vehicles make way for new energy vehicles?
The cost of use, have you calculated this account?
New energy electric vehicles and fuel vehicles, who is higher in the cost of use, has always been a controversial issue, what is the truth? Next, we calculate an account from the aspects of purchase cost, driving cost, maintenance cost, retention rate, and maintenance cost.
Many people say that the price of electric vehicles in the same grade is also higher than that of fuel vehicles. But that was a few years ago, and now the price of the same grade car, electric car is still high? You know, oil vehicles are still subject to purchase tax, in terms of power performance, driving texture, configuration level, etc., pure electric models at the same price point are often much stronger. In terms of car purchase costs, in fact, the same level of fuel vehicles and new energy pure electric models have not much gap.
In terms of driving costs, the cost of electric vehicles is lower no matter how it is calculated, especially in the current situation where oil prices have been at a high level. And the more congested the road conditions, the more senior models, the greater the gap. The driving cost gap between SUV models, new energy trams and oil vehicles is also larger. Compared with fuel vehicles with internal combustion engines and gearboxes, maintenance projects are more complex and more complex, electric vehicles only have motors, the frequency and price of maintenance are lower, and there is no routine maintenance such as replacing oil machine filters. At present, the battery of the electric vehicle type has a stable driving of 200,000 kilometers, and the battery control logic is relatively excellent, and even 600,000 kilometers can be achieved. Therefore, the cost of replacing the battery is actually not evidence that it can be used as a higher cost of pure electric models. On the other hand, pure electric models have a simpler structure and lower failure rate, and the maintenance costs in other aspects are lower than those of fuel vehicles.
However, the maintenance price of electric vehicle models is indeed higher, mainly because after the insurance reform, insurance items such as spontaneous combustion insurance have been added to electric vehicle models. And in terms of retention rate, electric vehicles are definitely lower than fuel vehicles. Therefore, discussing who is high and who is low in the use of pure electric models and fuel vehicles is inseparable from specific use scenarios and usage methods.
The problems of new energy cannot be ignored
At present, new energy vehicles are mainly electric and range extenders are developing very quickly, and traditional fuel vehicles have appeared in a state of relative snub. However, the major problems currently faced by new energy electric vehicles cannot be ignored.
The first is the issue of endurance, which is an important lifeline that currently restricts the development of new energy. Although there are now new energy vehicles, pure electricity is said to have an endurance of five or six hundred kilometers. But in fact, after the temperature drops in winter, the mileage will be greatly reduced. If the new energy vehicle is on the high speed and drives at a speed of 120 hours, its mileage may be 67% off.
Pure electric new energy vehicles, charging time is too long, that is, the use of the current large flow of fast charging, to fully charge takes several hours. There is also the problem of charging piles, such as the charging pile in the highway service area that is not necessarily used in normal times, but it is not enough during holidays. Therefore, compared with traditional fuel vehicles, the charging time and mileage of new energy vehicles have, to a large extent, restricted the development of pure electric new energy vehicles.
The second is the safety problem, most of the current pure electric new energy vehicles, the use of ternary lithium batteries, due to the characteristics of lithium batteries, once the battery is broken into contact with the air, it will quickly appear fire, combustion, explosion.
Comments
Rising oil prices will increase the cost of using fuel vehicles, and more users will consider buying electric vehicles. However, if electric vehicles want to become mainstream, in addition to improving winter endurance performance, improving charging speed, and popularizing the construction of fast charging piles, it is more necessary to improve the safety performance of new energy electric vehicles as much as possible and reduce safety hazards.
(This article is the original of "Heyan Reading Car", without authorization, it may not be reproduced)