Did you go to the gas last night? It is said that everyone's circle of friends has friends queuing up at the gas station!
Why are so many people suddenly going to refuel? Because oil prices are going up again! At 24:00 on March 17, a new round of refined oil price adjustment window will be ushered in.
International oil prices, which have soared sharply under the stimulus of the situation in Russia and Ukraine, have been pulling back in the near future.
On March 15, international oil prices continued to fall sharply, with the US oil April contract falling 7.6% at $95.18 / barrel, and the cloth oil May contract falling 7.93% to $98.42 / barrel, a new two-week low.
At 24:00 on March 17, a new round of refined oil price adjustment window will be ushered in.
According to the refined oil price adjustment mechanism, as of March 15 (the 9th working day in China), the crude oil change rate is 18.88%, and it is expected that gasoline and diesel will be raised by 820 yuan / ton, converted into a price increase, and No. 92 gasoline will rise by 0.64 yuan, the largest increase recorded since the innovative version of the pricing mechanism.
At present, Zhejiang No. 92 gasoline is 8.01 yuan / liter, No. 95 and No. 98 are 8.52 yuan / liter and 9.34 yuan / liter, respectively. After the adjustment, No. 92 gasoline is one step closer to the 9 yuan mark, but No. 95 will fully come to the 9 era. According to the general family car 50L mailbox to calculate, the oil price increase will cost 32 yuan more.
Fuel car vs tram, which is more cost-effective to drive?
The price of oil is so expensive, is it more cost-effective to drive a tram? We compare the three aspects of daily expenses, retention rate and car price, and find that it is not so simple.
The first is the daily expenses, electric vehicles are more dominant in electricity and maintenance costs, and fuel vehicle premiums are cheaper. Taken together, electric vehicles can save 11,000 yuan / year compared with fuel vehicles.
If there is a household charging pile, basically the cost per kilometer is about 5 cents, according to the calculation of 20,000 kilometers a year, the electricity cost is only 1,000 yuan. The charging cost on the public charging pile is higher, 0.15 yuan per kilometer, and the cost is about 3,000 yuan. In addition, the public charging pile is charged with parking fees and service fees, about 1,000 yuan. In total, the cost of electricity for 20,000 kilometers per year for trams is 1,000-4,000 yuan.
The cost of fuel vehicles is much higher, in the 2.5L naturally aspirated version of the Camry, the fuel consumption per 100 kilometers is about 8.5 liters, while the fuel cost of the No. 92 oil price per kilometer is 0.68 yuan, and about 13,600 yuan is needed for 20,000 kilometers a year.
Another advantage of the tram is the low maintenance cost, due to the long maintenance interval, few maintenance items (there is no routine maintenance such as replacing the oil filter), about 500 yuan a year is enough. The Camry comprehensive small maintenance and large maintenance, the average annual maintenance cost is about 2,000 yuan.
The advantages of fuel vehicles are mainly reflected in car insurance. With the introduction of exclusive car insurance for new energy vehicles, new energy vehicle insurance is obviously more expensive than fuel vehicles, taking Tesla Model 3 as an example, the first year of car insurance is about 9,000 yuan, and the follow-up insurance is about 6,500 yuan (the selected insurance types are not the same, the price is not the same); and the camry's first year premium is less than 7,000 yuan, and the renewal is about 5,000 yuan.
In addition, compared with fuel vehicles, electric vehicles have to overcome larger vehicle weight and stronger acceleration than the same grade of fuel vehicles. Now some tram manufacturers have begun to use special tires for electric vehicles, and the price of special tires is more expensive than the tires of fuel vehicles. In the future, this cost should also be taken into account when changing tires.
In addition, we also need to look at the retention rate, in other words, the amount of depreciation cost in use, this indicator of fuel vehicles can be said to be a steady win. Roughly calculated, the difference between the two is 20%, according to the price of 200,000 cars, fuel vehicles can realize 40,000 yuan more.
In the past two years, due to technological progress and tight delivery of new cars, the retention rate of electric vehicles has continued to increase, but it is still not optimistic. A new survey has announced the ranking of the retention rate of electric vehicles in 2021. Among them, the overall retention rate of 1-year-old trams does not exceed 80%, and the gap with the same level of fuel vehicles is relatively large, such as Tesla Model Y and Model 3, which have a higher retention rate, the former has a one-year retention rate of 78.67%, the latter has a one-year retention rate of 72.84%, and most of the one-year retention rate of other models is below 60%. The BMW 3 Series, which is close to the price of Tesla Model 3, has a retention rate of up to 90% in the first year.
If it is a second-hand car that has been on the license for three years, the gap is even greater, and the average retention rate of trams is only 51%, while the three-year retention rate of mid-level cars such as Mercedes-Benz C-Class and BMW 3 Series can reach about 75%. If it is a second-hand car that has been on the license for five years, the retention rate of trams and oil vehicles is about 30% and 50%.
Finally, we compare the price of the car, the recent tram fluctuations are relatively large, and many brands have increased the price by thousands to tens of thousands of yuan.
In the past three months, most of the electric vehicle brands sold in the Chinese market have experienced price increases, and some brands have raised prices many times. For example, Tesla raised prices twice in a row on March 10 and March 15, and the cumulative increase of Tesla Model 3 and Model Y in five days has reached 14248-30000 yuan. On March 16, BYD also increased its price by 3,000-6,000 yuan after the price increase of 1,000-7,000 yuan on January 21.
Not only the price has risen, but at present, the major tram manufacturers have been affected by the supply chain, and the delivery of new cars has also been affected. BYD, Xiaopeng, Tesla, and Zero Run are all facing delivery pressure, among which Tesla's average delivery time has been adjusted from 2-4 weeks last year to 16-20 weeks; BYD's individual models even have to wait for more than half a year, making consumers who intend to buy cars prohibitive.
Source: City Express
Editor: Zhaohe 丨 Reviewer: Huan Xi 丨 Issued: An Hui