Did Russia's negotiations with Ukraine fail because there was an American spy in the group?

On March 11, the situation in Russia and Ukraine focused on the breakdown of negotiations between the two sides. At 12:50 local time on March 10, Antalya, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kureba held talks in Turkey, after which Kureba said in front of reporters that the parties talked about a ceasefire at the meeting, but no progress was made on the issue.

Obviously, Ukraine's military confrontation with Russia will continue.

It is estimated that netizens will not be interested in talking too deeply about the negotiations themselves, but there is a gossip in the negotiations that is worth paying attention to - the negotiations between the foreign ministers of Russia and Ukraine in Turkey have not been fruitful, why is the reason? The Russian side actually thought that there was an American spy who was tricking the ghost, and it was in the Ukrainian delegation.

The representative of the Russian side who participated in the negotiations, Evaz Umerov, head of regional ethnic and cultural autonomy for crimean Tatars, said that he found that among the Ukrainian representatives was Rostam Umerov, who had the same surname as him, who was a United States spy. And this Umerov has participated in three rounds of negotiations.

"A Crimean Tatar, with my name, Rostam Umerov, a Representative of the Ukrainian Dorada who had the same name, appeared in the negotiating delegation in Kiev, and he immediately caught my attention," Evaz wrote on Twitter. Because I have every reason to believe that he is an American spy and a 'man in grey' in negotiations. He also had close ties to Fethullah Gülen, a fugitive Turkish opposition religious leader. ”

Rostam Umerov.

According to his observations, Umerov's task is to prevent the parties from reaching a quick agreement and to inform as much of the negotiations as possible to the head of the U.S. intelligence service behind the scenes, the "American spy" who tries to prevent the parties from reaching a consensus by monitoring and manipulating the negotiations.

Ewaz also revealed that rostam Umerov was the covert organizer of the "Blockade of Crimea movement" after 2014 and also made white gloves for Mustafa Demilev, the leader of the extremist group "Crimean Tatar Parliament" that was banned in Russia.

In response to this accusation, the relevant media investigated and found that Umerov's resume is indeed inextricably linked to the United States, and he has no good feelings for the Soviet Union/Russia. Born in 1982 in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, his ancestors were Crimean Tatars, and like his people, his family was exiled during the Soviet era.

Umerov's parents were both technologists and had no deep social roots, but he made a fortune in a short period of time, and is now a Politician and Philanthropist in Ukraine and a member of Parliament, which is quite ambiguous. Umerov's relationship with the United States is reflected in the fact that he is a fellow of the Future Leaders Exchange Program (FLEX), holds a bachelor's degree in economics and a master's degree in finance from the National School of Management, and has participated in several projects in various capacities, including the Canada-Ukraine Parliament Program, the American-Ukrainian Leadership Program, the European Youth Parliament, the AEGEE European Student Forum, the Future Summit Forum, and the European Law Students Association.

Dragging Russia to Ukraine today, consuming both sides and using sanctions to weaken and clamp down on Russia is undoubtedly the best choice for U.S. interests.

In the current situation, Zelenskiy is full of complaints about NATO led by the United States. Therefore, it is logical for the United States to try to participate in the negotiation process of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict behind the scenes, so as to maximize the interests of the United States. But apart from the Russian accusations, there is no direct evidence that Umerov belongs to which SPY organization in the United States, and to some extent, he is so accused, more like a propaganda offensive carried out by the Russian side.

After the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Ukrainian side attached great importance to propaganda work, and used it to gain sympathy and boost morale. Russia may have initially been the cause of a light enemy, and it did not act rashly in this regard. However, as the military confrontation between the two sides became increasingly intense, the battlefield of propaganda, which had no smoke of gunfire, also became the focus of contention between the two sides. The Russian side may be deliberately using Evaz Umerov's statement to provoke public distrust of the Ukrainian delegation.

It seems that the Ukrainian side did not take the matter seriously, or even refuted it from the authorities, and it is estimated that Mr. Umerov will sit at the negotiating table next time, but this is indeed obscure news. Now that ukraine's envoys in the negotiations have been killed and one (Umerov) accused of being spies, it seems that the risk of this position is tending to move closer to the South Korean president. (Related reading: Why is South Korea's president-elect named Yoon Seok-yue, and what is he happy about?) ）

The negotiations are not close, and we can continue to talk, but this also means that the intensity of the war between Russia and Ukraine may not be controlled for the time being, and today the war situation between Russia and Ukraine is still in a state of glue, and the performance of the two sides on the battlefield is dull and there is no decisive result.

The foreign ministers of the two countries have decided to hold the next talks soon. Lavrov has even discussed whether the two heads of state can meet and talk in detail, and perhaps both sides on the front line are a bit on the sidelines. But if diplomatic mediation fails, the Russians should launch a new offensive to get conditions that are not available at the negotiating table, the main target of which is Kiev, the capital of Ukraine.

Now it seems that whether Umerov is a spy or not, there is a huge gap between the positions of the two sides, and once the talks collapse, the Russian army may take advantage of the fact that it has surrounded Kiev on three sides to quickly launch the "Kiev Campaign" to seize the capital of the other side and solve the Ukrainian problem militarily. So, how will Russia fight this Kiev campaign? Such an analysis may be more important than pondering whether Mr. Umerov is a spy or not.

Russian paratroopers have combat experience, but the paratroopers are cold daggers that hit the opponent rather than long knives that impact the stronghold. Kiev city has many hidden objects, suitable for the use of "stinger" and other air defense weapons, it is easy to hit helicopters, it is difficult for the Russian army to carry out large-scale airborne operations, basically can rule out the possibility of relying on airborne troops to solve the problem, it is speculated that it will be mainly ground attack.

The Russian army has approached the east of Kiev, but the left bank of the Dnieper River here is higher than the right bank, the bridges have been destroyed, the attack is more difficult, behind the Ukrainian heavy army group in Kharkiv, there is still room for counterattack, therefore, the Russian Eastern Route Army is not suitable for the main attack.

The south of Kiev is a passage for the Ukrainian army to retreat, and the Russian army in the west only has a diversionary force, the main purpose is to cut off land communication between Kiev and foreign countries, and it does not have the main offensive conditions.

The real possibility of the Russian army to launch an attack is the northern line of Ilping, which is very close to the rear base of the Belarusian Russian army, and the supply along the Dnieper River Valley is convenient, after the Ukrainian troops here have been continuously attacked, the losses are very large, only the special forces are still active in this area, which should be the main direction of the Russian army.

You have seen a lot of relevant news about Irping in the recent news, which also proves that military operations here are very frequent. In order to defend here, the Ukrainian army has blown up the last bridge between Ilpin and Kiev to stop the Russian advance, which should be the main point of contention between the two sides and the key to opening Kiev.

The bridge to Irpin had been blown up, and the citizens trekked to retreat.

This will also be the first iconic battleground we will see in the future whether Kiev will fall once the war in Kiev starts. However, kiev has many high-rise buildings, which are suitable for street battles after the evacuation of residents, unless the entire city is destroyed. Whether the Russian army can succeed depends on whether Ukraine will fall apart internally under military pressure, in any case, the iconic Ukrainian capital makes the battle around it inevitably full of blood.

The negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are still continuing, but let us hope that Mr. Umerov and his partners will solve the problem at the negotiating table.

【End】

Welcome to the public number [Sasu] (sasutime)