【The ChiNext board fell into a technical bear market, the bears counterattacked, and Ning Wang gradually evolved into a short-selling tool, how to face it? 】
The main logic of the weekend edition the day before yesterday pointed out that the current A-share market, analyzed from the perspective of financial derivatives game, will be closer to the actual situation. Therefore, the core point should focus on observing the trend of weighted tool stocks, yesterday's main logic was also analyzed, the current market's hidden worries lie in the Ningde era and Guizhou Moutai, easy to encounter bearish counterattack shorting, and this morning Ningde City plunged sharply, Guizhou Moutai is also a follow-up kill, indicating the success of the bear counterattack.
Starting from the internal trading of the market, why is It easy for Ning Wang and Moutai to become sharp weapons in the hands of bears? The fundamental reason is that the previous speculation was higher and the valuation was higher. In the middle of December last year, Ning wang was transferred to the CSI 300 index, which was originally intended to suppress new energy through Ning wang and give way to the low-level blue-chip chinese word head + large financial performance of the main board, but from the current effect, it is more conducive to the bears to use the Ning wang to kill the fall to affect the trend of the CSI 300, and then hedge profits through financial derivatives. Behind everything is the interest, as long as it is profitable, what kind of trend occurs in the market is normal, and the rest depends on the cost and return ratio paid by the forces of all parties in the market. Undoubtedly, the most injured is naturally a retail friend who does not have the ability to short hedge.
1. Ning Wang and Moutai can succeed in killing the fall, which shows that the A-share market is currently profitable to short, and the bears have successfully counterattacked. Ningwang will drive the ChiNext board to continue to kill and explore the bottom, and also drive the overall industrial chain of new energy to plummet.
—— Analysis: The internal logic of the current A-share market is not good, after the main institutions control the weight of the instrument stocks, A shares have formed a "weight leading control effect", that is, the rise and fall of Moutai will drive a large consumption and group varieties up and down; Ning Wang rise and fall to drive some new energy rise and fall, in this situation, the main institutions as long as further control the weight of the tool stock chips, but also can control the overall trend of A shares.
2, Ning Wang killed the fall, the big finance strengthened. This is the prejudgment made by the main logic at the end of last year, from the analysis of the general trend, Ning wang high into the CSI 300 index, the purpose is to suppress the new energy to give way to the main board low blue chip big financial + chinese word stronger. Today's big finance, the chinese word head continues to be active, indicating that this logic is true, but whether the vast majority of investors in the market can form a resonance to do more, it will take time, that is, when the vast majority of investors will really realize that the low blue chip on the main board will become a new theme market, and when the market will resonate and rise.
3. Northbound funds continue to buy the direction of Shanghai Stock Connect, and the current point of northbound funds to buy Shanghai Stock Connect corresponds to the low blue chip of the main board.
In summary, in A-share trading, due to the asymmetry of the system, the points to be considered will be more complicated, but as long as the dynamics of the financial derivatives game are analyzed, the market situation can be roughly seen. Today's ChiNext board plummeted, but the main board Shanghai Composite Index remained stable, the core factor is that the main board low blue chip is making efforts, grasping the core point, facing the fluctuations of the market, it is not enough to worry. And brokers will gradually become the market's new long weather vane, wait and see.
