Judging from the data of the latest census, the problem of the aging of the mainland population is already very serious, and for this reason, the country has fully implemented the three-child policy. As of now, to be honest, the effect is not ideal, and many young people are very resistant to having two or three children. Boldly guess, if everyone is not willing to have a second child and a third child, then after 50 years, how many people will remain on the mainland? Here comes the answer.
The rise and fall of the second child fertility rate
A few years ago, the state had predicted that it would face the problem of population aging in the future, so it opened up the two-child policy. In the early days of the implementation of the policy, many families responded and achieved good results, but the further back they went, the worse the effect. According to the data at the time, many of the women who responded to the two-child policy were elderly women, and there were very few young women who were suitable for pregnancy. It can be seen from this that the elderly women who have completed the goal in the early stage, and many pregnant young women who should have been the main force do not want to have a second child, so there is a situation where the birth of newborns is the first to soar, and then it has fallen sharply. This can also explain why the two-child policy can achieve certain results in the early stage, but the effect in the later stage is not satisfactory.
The difficulty of implementing the three-child policy
Let's talk about the three-child policy for so long, why is the effect still mediocre? The main reason is that today's young people don't want to have children very much. This is not to say that young people do not like children, to put it bluntly, it costs a lot of money to raise children, but the current social competition pressure is very large, it is not easy to make money, very young people are moonlight people, can not afford to raise children.
The pressure of young people
Affected by the previous one-child policy, many families now have only one child, and now these only children have grown up, to the age of marriage and children, a couple to support four elderly people, has borne a lot of economic pressure, for today's young people to have a child is already very difficult, there is no energy to regenerate two children and three children. The aging of the national population is aggravated, in the final analysis, the previous generation is old, and now the pressure of this generation is very large, unable to have more children, over time, more elderly people, fewer newborns, the aging of the population will become more and more serious.
The cost of raising a child
For today's young people, there are four elderly people in the family to support, many people get married to the house and car are bought with loans, and they have to pay off the car loan every month, plus raising children. To put it ugly, the child is a "four-legged gold-devouring beast", from the birth of the child, diapers, milk powder and supplies at various stages, etc., a few thousand dollars a month can not be down; then to the child to kindergarten, the annual cost of at least 10,000 bottom; and then to the cram school, learn more, a year is tens of thousands of dollars. It can be said that raising children is spent everywhere, and it is not an exaggeration to say that it is piled up with money. It's just one child, and if there are two children, all this cost is multiplied by two, and three children are multiplied by three. Coupled with pregnancy, pregnancy tests, and postpartum recovery, this is a lot of money.
Solve the problem at the root
To sum up, most of today's young people actually like children very much, and intend to have more, but the economic pressure is too great, can only dispel this idea. Now that the state has understood the difficulties of young people, and has taken action from the root causes, from the purchase restriction order to the double reduction policy to various subsidies, the state is gradually reducing the pressure on young people. It is believed that once the time is right, young people will respond to the call of the state and go together with two children and three children, so as to solve the crisis caused by the aging of the population.