From a variety of momentum points of view, fuel cells will inevitably begin to officially start in 2022, and then tell you why.
In fact, as an absolutely environmentally friendly, energy-dense, high-calorific value of fuel, hydrogen fuel is the key care object for the future development of China's new fuel, as early as 2019 was written into the "Government Work Report".
At that time, according to the relevant plan, China will build more than 100 hydrogen refueling stations in 2020, and expand to 1,000 in 2030, when the number of fuel cell vehicles will reach 2 million, and the industry output value will exceed 1 trillion, but in terms of existing results, this goal will be achieved in advance.
Take 2022, hydrogen fuel is an important role in this year's Winter Olympics, not only the main torch of the Beijing Winter Olympic Games will use hydrogen fuel, during the winter Olympics, more than 30 hydrogen refueling stations and more than 1,000 hydrogen energy vehicles will also be put into demonstration operation.
Obviously, this is a signal from the national level to the outside world to vigorously develop hydrogen fuel, so in the next time of 2022, whether it is the automotive industry or more related industries, the status of hydrogen fuel will usher in a complete reversal.
However, today, when the popularity still needs to be improved, hydrogen energy is still the 'flower of Gaoling' that most people cannot afford to consume.
According to the statistics of the Petroleum and Chemical Industry Planning Institute, the mainland hydrogen production capacity is 40 million tons, and the output is 33 million tons, which is the world's largest hydrogen producer.
Even so, hydrogen energy production capacity is still difficult to achieve a balanced supply compared to traditional oil, and in 2021, the oil production of only one Daqing oil field on the mainland will catch up with the national hydrogen energy production, at more than 43 million tons.
In addition, the cost of hydrogen production at this stage is also relatively high, with reference to the data released by relevant institutions, hydrogen production mainly includes coal, natural gas, methanol, electrolyzed water and industrial by-product hydrogen.
Among them, the cost of gas hydrogen production is 9-11 yuan / kg, but the use of coal to produce hydrogen violates the original intention of protecting the environment, and does not reduce carbon emissions very well, and the most environmentally friendly and most efficient hydrogen production method of electrolyzed water costs about 4, 50 yuan / kg.
Even if it is a technological breakthrough. The cost of hydrogen production has been reduced, and the high cost of hydrogen storage and transportation is a major headache. As the first element in the periodic table, at the microscopic level, the molecular structure of hydrogen is extremely small, the chemical properties are extremely unstable, and a little attention will occur or produce a powerful explosion, so its storage is extremely difficult, and it must be stored in hydrogen tanks using expensive special materials to ensure that hydrogen fuel is enough to be 'honest'.
Eventually, when the cost of manufacturing, storage and transportation is imposed on us, the disadvantages will appear, it is understood that at present, in some cities in China, the cost of hydrogenation is about 5, 60 yuan / kg, and some are even higher.
Based on the background of high hydrogen fuel prices, the cost of using hydrogen fuel as the driving force of the car can be much higher than that of fuel vehicles, to truly achieve large-scale use of hydrogen energy, not only to increase the production capacity, but also to press the cost down, at least to 30 yuan / kg below, consumers are more acceptable.
The use of hydrogen fuel is one thing, and the use of hydrogen fuel is another.
It is understood that at present, the use of hydrogen fuel in the mainland is mainly concentrated in the chemical industry, and the proportion of real investment in transportation is extremely small, basically in the field of long-distance commercial use.
Looking at the major enterprises, although they are committed to following the wave of development of new energy vehicles, most of the energy is focused on pure electric products, only a small number of enterprises have large-scale research on hydrogen fuel vehicles, after all, more than one research and development main line means that enterprises have to bear higher research and development costs, it just so happens that the structure of hydrogen fuel cells is extremely complex, plus hydrogen energy products are far less popular than pure electric vehicles at this stage, even if the investment is difficult to see results in a short period of time.
This has led to the scarcity of hydrogen fuel power battery vehicles on the market today, and the final research and development costs of enterprises are not yet shared by consumers, so the price of hydrogen fuel power battery vehicles that can really be mass-produced and successfully listed is often high.
Take toyota Mirai, the world's first hydrogen-powered battery mass production car and a product that provides transportation services for the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics, which is priced at 7.1 million yen in Japan, which translates into a price of about 394,500 yuan in yuan, and the conventional fuel version of toyota products of the same level is far from having such a high price, and the same price is enough to win a BBA medium-sized car.
Of course, there is no shortage of mainstream models in China that have hydrogen fuel versions, but at this stage, under the restrictions of multiple factors, they are "priceless" and can only be used as 'mascots', which means that the company is developing hydrogen energy.
However, it is worth looking forward to the early high-end brand salon plan of Great Wall Motors, its first product and the world's first C-class hydrogen fuel cell SUV will be built based on the lemon platform, and the wheelbase of this SUV will exceed 3m and the endurance will exceed 900km.
When Great Wall Motors and other companies with the ability and ideas come out to 'hand over the work', the development of domestic hydrogen vehicles may enter a new stage.
At the same time, in recent years, the national level will also step up support for the construction of hydrogen vehicle-related supporting facilities, coupled with the continuous breakthrough in hydrogen production technology, I believe that one day hydrogen fuel, will make us affordable, but also used.
From the hydrogen energy-related stock market surge, the Winter Olympics to launch hydrogen energy products and other events show that from 2022, hydrogen fuel will usher in a complete reversal, which will also become the driving force for more companies to turn their attention to hydrogen fuel cell products, so that they will embark on the fast track of development.