Easy Car Original: If in 2020, car companies that do not talk about "intelligence" are embarrassed to mix in the car circle, then in 2021, car companies that do not talk about "hybrid" will appear to be a bit behind.
Almost all mainstream independent car brands such as Great Wall, BYD, Changan, Chery, and Geely have released the latest hybrid technology. Not long ago, Geely Xingyue L Thor Hi · X oil-electric hybrid version has also measured a tank of oil to run up to 1426.1 kilometers, which has become a hot topic on the Internet for a while.
It can be said that this year is the first year of the hybridization of independent brands.
Geely Star Yue L Thor Hi · The X oil-electric hybrid version of the Raytheon hybrid system adopts a P1+P2 parallel architecture, equipped with a 1.5T/2.0T hybrid engine and a dhT Pro transmission for up to 3-speed hybrid.
The biggest feature of this system is that it can switch to parallel mode at any time from 20km/h, which is significantly lower than the parallel speed of at least 70km/h in Japanese hybrids.
According to the official introduction, this system can achieve a fuel saving rate of 40%, a fuel consumption as low as 3.6L/100km, and a comprehensive endurance of more than 1300km.
Geely Star Yue L Thor Hi · X oil-electric hybrid version
Look at the most well-known BYD DM-i super hybrid, equipped with high-power motor drive + large-capacity blade battery under the hybrid structure, the engine is in the high-efficiency speed range for power generation in most working conditions, and the motor is driven by the vast majority of working conditions to achieve less oil and more electricity.
At the same time, dm-i super hybrid adopts a single-stop direct drive mode, which makes the structure more compact, and the core components such as batteries are self-mined and self-supplied, and the cost is lower.
Taking Qin PLUS DM-i as an example, the price is 105,800 yuan - 145,800 yuan, and the mileage of the high-end model is 120km, which is enough to meet daily commuting, and the sales volume in November this year has reached more than 18,000 vehicles.
The Song Pro DM-i, which opened pre-sale on November 30, also had 18,000 orders on the same day.
Similar to THE BYD DM-i super hybrid, the Great Wall Lemon Hybrid DHT also uses a hybrid mechanism.
The biggest difference of the latter is that the match is a two-speed transmission, which is further refined in the high-speed gear, which can make the engine intervene in the direct drive under more speed domains and reduce the power loss of different energy conversions, so it is particularly prominent in terms of power performance.
For example, weipai mocha DHT-PHEV zero hundred acceleration only takes 4.8 seconds, while pure electric endurance is up to 204km, 100 km comprehensive fuel consumption of 0.45L, both economical and good power performance.
Weipai Mocha DHT-PHEV
The Changan Blue Whale iDD hybrid system adopts a series structure, which is composed of Blue Whale high-performance engine, high-efficiency electric drive transmission, high-energy PHEV battery and intelligent control system.
The peak power/torque of the 1.5T engine on board reaches 126kW/260Nm, and the combined maximum torque of the system can reach 590N·m, and the official UNI-K idd 100 km acceleration time equipped with the system only takes about 6 seconds.
Changan UNI-K idd
Chery Kunpeng hybrid platform is P2+P2.5 DHT architecture, using dual drive motor structure, the combination of two motors can better run the entire system in the efficient range, while the cost is also more advantageous.
Specific technical principles and differences can be found in our previous technical analysis articles, which will not be discussed here.
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It is certain that almost all major independent brands are lining up in the hybrid market, and next year will usher in the grand scene of product listings one after another.
The independent brands are obviously not as simple as having a sharp mind, and their strength comes from the "invisible hands" of the national superstructure:
The first is the "Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicle Technology Roadmap 2.0", and the second is the double credit policy, that is, the "Measures for the Parallel Management of Average Fuel Consumption of Passenger Car Enterprises and New Energy Vehicle Credits".
The former outlines the future action plan for car companies, and by 2035 China plans to achieve the goal of "50% of the annual sales of energy-saving vehicles and new energy vehicles".
Among them, the fuel consumption requirements of energy-saving vehicles continue to increase until 2035, when the fuel consumption level needs to reach 4.0L/100km (WLTC).
This means that car companies need to bet on new energy vehicles such as hybrid, pure electricity and even hydrogen energy vehicles in the future.
The latter double point policy is to use the reward and punishment system to spur car companies, pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles can produce new energy positive points, fuel vehicles produce average fuel consumption negative points.
Positive integrals can offset negative integrals. If the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology sets the overall passenger car fuel target for the industry in 2025 to be 4 L/100km, if the fuel consumption of a fuel vehicle is 6L/100km, it will generate 2 negative points.
This requires car companies to offset their own new energy positive points, or purchase new energy positive points from other companies.
Take the absolute "top stream" of the fuel vehicle era, FAW-Volkswagen, which has the highest negative score among all car companies, was exploded at the beginning of the year to buy new energy points from Tesla at a price of about 3,000 yuan / min;
At the end of the year, Santana, which sells an average of more than 10,000 vehicles per month, was also forced to stop production due to the double credit policy, of course, it may also be related to SAIC Volkswagen's own product strategy adjustment and the backward technology of the PQ25 platform.
Whether it is the "Energy Saving and New Energy Vehicle Technology Roadmap 2.0", double integration, and the top-level design of carbon peak, carbon neutrality policy determines the fate of car companies, they are like boulders pressed on the big body of car companies, the most practical way to remove this boulder is nothing more than to produce more plug-in hybrid vehicles and pure electric vehicles.
And pure fuel vehicles can only be gradually sealed in history.
For independent brands, their pure electric vehicles have almost dominated the entire domestic market, and the next step is to fill the gap of hybrid models, so as to gradually replace the traditional internal combustion engine models.
For a long time in the past, hybrid technology was generally considered to be just a transitional solution, the future belongs to pure electric, and the farther future belongs to hydrogen energy.
Coupled with the difficulty of hybrid technology research and development, most Chinese car companies are not willing to spend effort to develop, making the development of independent brands lag behind in the hybrid technology route.
But nowadays, more and more policies are forcing these independent brands to launch and apply hybrid technology on a large scale, making the explosion of Hybrid Technology in China extremely violent.
Of course, this is not only the invisible hand in the promotion, the demand level, hybrid vehicles because of the advantages of fuel saving, convenient use, better acceleration experience, etc., but also more and more people "planting grass".
Just like the starting price of Qin PLUS DM-i is only about 100,000 yuan, coupled with the low cost of the car in the later stage, and can enjoy the convenience of the green card policy, it will naturally become a hit.
The wheel of policy and demand is driving hybrid vehicles to gradually open up the market, and the report released by Changjiang Securities shows that the sales of domestic hybrid models have shown a wild growth trend this year, with a total of 814,000 hybrid models sold in the first 10 months of 2021, far exceeding the sales volume of 2020.
As independent brands put more and more related models into the market and make the cake bigger together, I believe that this sales figure is far more than this.
In the early days, hybrid technology has been occupied by Japanese Toyota and Honda, and has been welcomed by domestic consumers with excellent fuel economy, with a market share of more than 95%.
The strong entry of its own brands is regarded as the encirclement and suppression of Japanese brands such as Toyota and Honda, especially BYD, as a leader, has sold more than 43,000 DM series units in November, with a market share of about 30%, almost comparable to Toyota.
Compared with Japanese brands, I think the advantages of independent brands can be summarized in three aspects:
First, the main layout of independent brand-related products is in the price range of 100,000-200,000, which is not much different from the price of fuel vehicles, and has the basic conditions for large-scale release in the market;
Second, most of the independent brands are using two- or three-speed special gearboxes and turbocharged engines, and the performance performance is even higher.
Third, independent brands are turning to independent research and development or joint venture production of core components, and the cost control ability is stronger.
For example, BYD's self-developed hybrid special power blade battery, Great Wall's Hive Energy R&D HEV soft pack battery, etc., the price of related models in the future is also expected to further explore.
However, from an objective point of view, these hybrid systems of independent brands are not separated from Toyota's power separation and Honda's hybrid structure, but only strive for excellence on the basis of predecessors, increase their respective technical characteristics, and there is no fundamental breakthrough in principle.
In addition, the power parameters and fuel consumption performance of independent brands are indeed comparable to or even surpass those of Japanese hybrid models, but in the end, who wins and who loses must be combined with the real driving experience and fuel-saving effect to comprehensively compare.
My opinion:
Even leaving aside policy factors, I believe that the market for hybrid vehicles will usher in a spring color next year. The hybrid models of the above brands not only have a driving experience closer to that of pure electric vehicles in most scenarios, but also better solve the problem of charging and battery life anxiety of pure electric vehicles.
They are obviously not as simple as a transition plan, but an effective complement to pure electric models. From the current hot sales of BYD, we can see what the market potential of hybrid models is.
Of course, compared with the Japanese, the hybrid technology of independent brands has not been fully grasped. Before the market scale, industrial chain, technological innovation and other aspects have not yet fully won, our independent brand hybrid development road is still a long way to go.