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Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

author:Lao Wang views the world

With the increasing global climate change problem, countries are increasingly concerned about carbon emissions.

As a major emitter in the world, China has increasingly shown firm determination and clear actions on the journey of promoting the transformation of the energy structure and achieving carbon neutrality.

But in this context, the idea of "less than a dime a kilowatt-hour of electricity in the future" can be described as a bold prediction that is eye-catching.

Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

So, what exactly makes this seemingly unthinkable prediction "very likely"?

First of all, it benefits from the policy support and system construction at the national level.

Since the establishment of the national carbon trading market in 2021, we have seen a vivid case: in order to promote the development of green energy.

Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

Under the guidance of national policies, the construction and development of carbon markets have been increased, which has increased the environmental cost of fossil fuels. Such measures, including but not limited to carbon allowances and carbon taxes, are intended to reduce the green premium and incentivize wider adoption of clean energy by all sectors of society.

Counting the evidence, the policy knife is finally about to land, and the "Interim Regulations on the Administration of Carbon Emission Trading" will be implemented on May 1st, setting the foundation for the carbon market.

Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

Looking at the results, Huang Zhen said that the scale of renewable energy power generation has surpassed the installed capacity of thermal power, reaching the top for the first time in history.

From the high four-yuan kilowatt-hour electricity, we fell to 0.35 yuan, and then to today's lowest 0.118 yuan - this trend has to be exciting!

Academician Huang Zhen's idea that the price of electricity may fall to a dime in the future is based on the prediction and analysis of several key points.

Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

First, as China becomes more and more stringent in its control of carbon emissions, the establishment and improvement of the national carbon emission trading market continues to increase the environmental cost of fossil fuels.

Through policy instruments such as carbon quotas and carbon taxes, the cost of traditional fossil energy will increase, while the relative cost of green energy will be lower, so that clean energy will have a greater competitive advantage in the market.

For example, the cost of wind and solar power is declining, and renewable energy is becoming dominant due to its low cost.

Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

Academician Huang Zhen's view is that with the evolution and expansion of clean energy technology, the production cost of new energy power generation has further decreased.

In the future, driven by the scale and cost advantages of the power industry, it is possible to reduce the price of electricity to a very low level, even to the extent of a dime and a kilowatt-hour of electricity.

This forecast is an optimistic assumption given the current policy environment and technological trends.

Friends on the Internet are talking a lot, and some people applaud, looking forward to the future life of low-cost green electricity.

Some people frown, worried about whether the low electricity price is exploiting workers again, or afraid that we have to sacrifice the beautiful natural environment.

In-depth analysis, it is not easy to go all the way, although the price of electricity is in sight, but the price of electricity is really cut to a dime, and the problem in front of us is big.

Huang Zhen, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: It is very likely to happen

Will traditional energy friends have trouble with us?

Can new energy sustain the nation's electricity tide?

This car has to go step by step.

Imagine if the price of electricity is really a dime a kilowatt, then we will not be able to afford electricity, industrial production will be more competitive, and the economy will be green and sustainable.

But don't worry, this dream, we are approaching step by step, and it cannot be achieved overnight.

Do you think this is a good thing? Let's leave a message and discuss it together.

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