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Successfully entered the BRICS, but there was a fission at the top of Iran, and China's previous caution was prescient

author:Forced smile iGhi

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At the end of August, the BRICS officially announced its expansion, and Iran successfully joined, which was behind a diplomatic victory, but it set off an internal fission, and a battle for route broke out at the top of Iran.

First of all, the faction led by Iranian President Raisi firmly believes that Iran should follow the world trend and actively "look east" and join the BRICS and the SCO. They believe that this will not only effectively defuse Western sanctions, but also hopefully tap Iran's economic potential. While Iran has tried to cooperate with the West in the past, there has been little tangible return, and the West has even tried to weaken Iran.

On the other hand, the pro-American Iranian elite and intellectuals who have returned from studying abroad hold completely opposing views. They are convinced that the West will continue to maintain sanctions pressure, and even if Iran joins the BRICS, it will be difficult to compensate for the losses. This faction believes that sanctions will be lifted only if Iran can make a principled compromise. This view seems to have the characteristics of a "proxy" of the United States, which seems to believe that if Iran "kneels low enough" before the West, it will be tolerated.

Successfully entered the BRICS, but there was a fission at the top of Iran, and China's previous caution was prescient

The fission status quo within Iran has made Iran waver in foreign affairs, which has also had an impact on China's foreign policy. China's earlier cautious stance on Iran appears to have been motivated by insight into Iran's internal fission. On August 20, China and Iran held a phone call between their foreign ministers, but according to the announcement of the Chinese Foreign Ministry, the two sides failed to reach the expected results. In particular, on the "BRICS cooperation" that Iran is concerned about, the two sides only "exchanged views", showing obvious differences. Iran's internal fission has made China afraid to deepen cooperation easily.

From the position of China, relations with Iran should be kept at a certain distance. China's participation in the BRICS is motivated more by economic and strategic considerations than by developing it into an anti-Western political platform. China's strategic autonomy is crucial, similar to the relationship between China and Russia. For example, it is in China's interest that China is not involved in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This policy of neutrality has allowed China to reap substantial benefits in the conflict, such as Russia's compromises in its own markets, in the Far East, in Central Asia, and in the compromises made by some European powers against China.

Successfully entered the BRICS, but there was a fission at the top of Iran, and China's previous caution was prescient

Overall, Iran's successful accession to the BRICS, while a diplomatic victory, has sparked a domestic debate over routes, which has made Iran diplomatically wavering. This has also had an impact on China's foreign policy, requiring it to maintain a certain degree of caution and independence.

Revelation:

Iran's accession to the BRICS has sparked an internal battle of lines, a situation that offers some interesting lessons and profound lessons. First, it suggests that national foreign policy orientations can diverge within the country, which is not uncommon, but it underscores the need to build coherence and coordination in domestic foreign policy making. This helps to avoid conflicting voices from the state in international affairs.

Successfully entered the BRICS, but there was a fission at the top of Iran, and China's previous caution was prescient

Second, Iran's case highlights the status and influence of the BRICS, which a growing number of countries want to join because it provides a platform to resist the Western-dominated international order. This has triggered a shift in the global political landscape that requires countries to be more agile in responding to diplomatic challenges and opportunities.

Third, Iran's line dispute also underscores China's independence and prudence in international affairs. China seems reluctant to see the BRICS as an anti-Western political platform and more as an opportunity for economic and strategic cooperation. This stance allows China to avoid being tied up in political factors and to safeguard its own national interests and flexibility.

Finally, this event also underscores the importance of long-term and coherent foreign policy. Disagreement within Iran can lead to policy instability and affect the country's image and international cooperation. Therefore, governments need to ensure that their foreign policy is aligned with national interests and that consistency is maintained in the domestic foreign policymaking process.

Summary:

Iran's accession to the BRICS has sparked an internal battle over the line, and this event offers many lessons worth pondering. First, internal coherence and coordination of a country's foreign policy are essential to avoid conflicting voices in international affairs. This requires the government to build coherence in the domestic foreign policymaking process.

Second, the status and influence of the BRICS are gradually increasing, attracting more and more countries that want to join. This reflects the changing international political landscape, which requires countries to be more agile in responding to diplomatic challenges and opportunities.

Third, China's position emphasizes independence and prudence in international affairs. China seems reluctant to see the BRICS as an anti-Western political platform and more as an opportunity for economic and strategic cooperation. Such a stance would help China safeguard its national interests and flexibility.

Finally, this incident underscores the importance of long-term and coherent foreign policy. Internally inconsistent foreign policies can lead to policy instability, affecting the country's image and international cooperation. Therefore, the government needs to ensure that its foreign policy is aligned with national interests and that consistency is maintained. In international affairs, it is necessary not only to focus on external challenges, but also to deal with domestic policies and line disputes, so as to ensure that countries can better safeguard their own interests in the international arena.

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