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After two days of V-shaped reversals, note that from Wednesday onwards, these major "roles" have short-term transpositions

author:Money eye
After two days of V-shaped reversals, note that from Wednesday onwards, these major "roles" have short-term transpositions

Today's market reappeared a wave of three folds, the Shanghai Securities early low open slightly upward after the turn down, the lowest break 3400, probe 3390 after the continuous recovery, out of the V-shaped reversal, and finally turned red upwards, creating a rebound new high of 3453, closed at the second high of the day 3452, up 0.67%, because the weighted stock Ningde era fell nearly 10%, driving the ChiNext board once fell more than 4%, the lowest broke 2800, probed 2782 to rise, and finally closed down 2.45%, the two cities traded 878.8 billion, 6.8% larger than Monday Today the market continues to differentiate, the Main Board of the Shanghai Securities Continues to Rebound, while the ChiNext board and the Shenzhen Component Index continue to fall before the holiday, the short-term line has oversold rebound requirements, today the Shanghai Securities has approached the 3456 area, the next step is to prevent above 3456, especially 3486-3536 encountered resistance to fall, the operation of the attention to the rotational rhythm of the index and plate, you can consider the misplaced selling high-key low.

Tomorrow's trend: the key anti-Shanghai Composites encountered resistance at the second target level, and the ChiNext board may rebound from oversold

Yesterday after the full line rebound, today's differentiation intensified, the Shanghai main board is still the main battlefield, the whole day staged a big reversal, out of a sharp bottom, the tail plate hit a new high after the festival rebound 3453, the low-level large-cap blue chip represented by the large infrastructure has become the main force of the market reversal, securities, insurance and other financial weighted stocks have also struggled to protect the disk, the Shanghai index has also driven the Decline in the ChiNext Board to narrow significantly, the Shanghai Securities has created a new high rebound today, indicating that this wave of rebound is still continuing, and it is close to the first rebound target we prompted yesterday along the upper edge of 3456, which is a good thing. To close 120 minutes MACD began to golden cross, which means that another 120 minutes back will also appear divergence, divergence cycle increases, if you can rebound for more than 3 days, the passivation level that appears later will be very large, divergence is not easy to disappear, and even the daily line may also appear divergence.

After the shanghai today's reversal, the next focus is on whether it can continue to advance to the second target level of 3486-3536, according to the previous analysis, the high probability will encounter resistance here to fall, and then down to build a bottom pattern, the real buy signal to wait for the 60-90-120 minute divergence structure, the time should be next week, if it does not fall out of the divergence, it will also build a double bottom to rise. ChiNext today's heavy decline is mainly high-priced (bit) new energy and CRO concept stocks collective plunge, compared to the recent low (low price) of the large infrastructure sector continued to rise, obviously reflects the intention of institutions to change the track, the institution sold the old track stocks from New Year's Day has begun, which does not explain that the old track is not good, mainly the price is too high, only the old track plate as a whole is stable, the Gem will regain its upward trend, today's Gem fell by 20%, into the technical bear market range, And this wave of decline from the middle of December to build a large double head back down, after the New Year's Day fell below the neckline of 3085, according to the large double head established by the measurement of the decline, the downside space at 2648, but the short-term will have an oversold rebound opportunity, the lower support at 2800-2730, the current 60-90-120 minutes of passivation is still there, the short-term is expected to be in 2800-2730 out of the oversold rebound.

Tomorrow's operation: Pay attention to the rotation rhythm of each index and sector, and consider misplaced selling high and low

Near the end of last year, we reminded everyone to do two things in advance: one is to keep the victory results, that is, to cash in batches of the best sector stocks that rose that year, to avoid repeating the mistakes of the core white horse stocks in early 2021; the second is to avoid high-profile and low- and pay attention to the plate stocks that have fallen for more than a year, especially the bottom stocks that have fallen and lie on the floor, of which the large-cap blue-chip stocks represented by the Chinese character army are the main targets of the median line. Looking back, the best rise last year is undoubtedly the old track stocks, especially the high-priced varieties, since the end of last year, the main funds have switched between high and low, and the low-level varieties lying on the floor, especially the digital economy, media, games, large infrastructure and other sector stocks that are stained with the new outlet track, are going up against the market, which is actually in response to an old saying in the market: the risk is rising, and the opportunity is falling out.

The old track has not yet been adjusted in place, but some varieties that have fallen 50-70% from the high level in advance may have entered the bottoming stage, investors should treat them differently, and for the varieties that still hold on to the high and high, they must reduce the position in time to prevent the occurrence of make-up. In the first half of this year, the main line of the market may still be large infrastructure, China's economy this giant ship set sail, indispensable to the important grip of large infrastructure, large infrastructure has old infrastructure and new infrastructure (digital economy), these two days the old infrastructure continues to rise, pay attention to can not chase high, on the contrary, you can consider the high batch cash, and then pay attention to the stagnant new infrastructure; large infrastructure speculation There is also large consumption, large consumption is also an important gripper to pull the economy, and a series of consumption promotion policies should be introduced later, and in the first half of the year, China's economy has stabilized, and various indicators have come up. The large infrastructure is also basically over, so we should pay attention to the rotation rhythm of the hot spots in various sectors; from the index point of view, the Shanghai Securities Should pay attention to the rush to fall at any time from Wednesday after two consecutive days of rebound, and the funds that come out of the short-term line may return to the ChiNext board, and the rotation rhythm of the major indexes cannot be stepped on wrong.

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