If pang Tong was not dead, would Liu Bei eventually be able to unify the Three Kingdoms?

The core point of the Shu Han regime is that "today's next three points, Yizhou is tired, and this is the autumn of the imminent survival of this cheng."

Although this sentence was said by Zhuge Liang after Liu Bei's death, this sentence was also the most fatal pain point of the Shu Han regime in the Three Kingdoms.

Although the land of Shu and Shu was not excessively devastated by war before Liu Bei entered the throne, after Liu Bei entered Yizhou, the city's long-term military conquest had left the Shu Han regime in an extremely weak state.

At any time, the person who can support the war is often not an emperor or a courtier.

What is important is the economic strength behind this political system, and it is obvious that the land of Sichuan and Shu simply does not have the strength to match and match Cao Wei and Eastern Wu.

Zhuge Liang had already used a more appropriate method in the Northern Expedition:

Liang out of the Qi Mountains, Longxi and Nan'an Counties should fall at the right time, besieging Tianshui, pulling up the city of Ji, Yu JiangWei, and driving thousands of soldiers and women back to Shu.

This is a little information from Zhuge Liang after the failure of the First Northern Expedition.

Zhuge Liang moved the nearby people to Shudi on the way out of Qishan after the first army was dispatched and the Northern Expedition failed.

The real reason is here: shudi is tired

There was no steady stream of population to support the economy of Shu, and a long-term expedition without merit could only forcibly drag down the land of Shu Han, and the primary purpose of the Northern Expedition was to seize more territory and more population to activate the local economy, so as to support the Northern Expedition war in Shu.

In the winter, Liang returned to disperse the pass, surrounded Chen Cang, Cao Zhen refused, and Liang ran out of grain. (Zhuge Liang's Second Northern Expedition)

In the ninth year, Liang returned to Qishan, retired with wooden cattle, ran out of grain, and engaged the Wei general Zhang Guo, shooting and killing Guo. (Zhuge Liang's Fourth Northern Expedition)

In the spring of the twelfth year, Liang Learned that the masses came out of the Xie Valley and transported them by flowing horses, according to wugong Wuzhangyuan, and opposed Sima Xuanwang to Weinan. Liang does not continue to eat every time, so that he does not have the ambition, is to divide the troops and tun tian, as the basis for long-term residence. (Zhuge Liang's Fifth Northern Expedition)

Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition was fought five times, and three times he had no choice but to withdraw his troops because of a lack of grain and grass. Moreover, Zhuge Liang's soldiers who sent troops each time were the least compared to Cao Wei's, and they could still return from food shortages three times. Therefore, we can probably see that the economic development of the Shu Han land is not good, on the contrary, it has been gradually dragged down by the long war of attrition.

As you may already see from the above examples, Liu Bei's ability to unify the three kingdoms did not depend on whether the economy of the most deadly Shu Han land around him depended on whether the economy of the most deadly Shu Han land supported Liu Bei to launch a large-scale campaign.

If Liu Bei could win the battle after the battle, attack the city and seize the land, then the unification of the three kingdoms would have a great chance of victory.

Perhaps it is the image of the many courtiers in the film and television dramas that strengthen everyone's impression of the courtiers. More people began to think that plotting and military will be the inevitable factors for a regime to win the victory, but on the contrary, although these factors are important, in fact, what is more important is the economic ability of the regime.

We can take a look at the topographic map of this part of Yizhou:

This place in Yizhou is located in the basin, full of mountains, the traffic is extremely closed, and the cultivated land area is extremely limited, if you want to break through your own shackles, you must send troops to Chang'an, or the land of Eastern Wu, but no matter which of these two places, Liu Bei has no confidence that he can take it in one fell swoop.

Out of the land of Hubei, the generals of the three major towns in Hubei were heavily guarded by the Eastern Wu tun, and if they could not take it, they were again labor expeditions, which consumed national strength.

Out of the land of Chang'an, Where the Cao Wei regime was stationed, chang'an did not even have the opportunity to contact, and was dead blocked by the Cao Wei regime in Guanzhong.

If Liu Bei wanted to dominate the world, he had to send troops from Guanzhong to seize the hinterland of the Central Plains in order to have more opportunities to compete with Cao Wei and Eastern Wu.

Although Pang Tong was designed to help Liu Bei capture Yizhou, he would not necessarily be able to win against Cao Wei in the land of Sichuan and Shu.

Still those words before, if you want to compete for the world, you must have strong national strength to support, Liu Bei wants to compete for the world, the best way is still to seize the land of Chang'an and Luoyang.

Because, at that time, the southern region was not fully developed, under the whole pattern, almost all the population was above the Central Plains, and the southern population still had a high gap compared with the population of the Central Plains.

The Central Plains are different, and the Central Plains occupy the land of Kyushu. Large population groups can quickly recover the war-torn smallholder peasant economy, or they can quickly recover and develop the economy. In this way, it can undoubtedly provide effective support for a long war.

Therefore, the war is not entangled in the fault of one person, but in the strong economic foundation behind this regime.