Uncertain prophets, as long as they are proficient in the laws of human nature, can speculate about future events 1, the laws of human nature 2, the tightness of the inside and the looseness of the outside 3, the cruelty of the struggle 4, and the polite words

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【Reference Book】Zizhi Tongjian Jin Dynasty XI (316 AD)

[Cause] Jin Zhun also said to Liu Cang: His Highness should go to the Eastern Palace to be the heir to the throne himself, concurrently serve as xiangguo, so that the world has some sustenance earlier, and now the streets are talking, it is said that the great general and the general Wei want to honor the brother to carry out chaos, the time is agreed to be spring and March, if the brother gets the world, then His Highness will have no foothold.

Liu Cang said: What to do? Jin Zhun said: Some people reported that the brother was going to go into chaos, the emperor would certainly not believe it, and the surveillance and prohibition of the Eastern Palace should be relaxed so that guests could come and go, and the brother was elegant and liked to receive the scholars, and he must not doubt that there was anything wrong with lifting the ban.

In this way, after I played the crimes of my brother-in-law on behalf of His Highness, His Highness arrested and interrogated his brother's guests and those who had contacts with his brother-in-law, and after the confession of the prison case, the emperor did not believe it, so Liu Cang ordered Bu, who was in charge of monitoring the forbidden Eastern Palace, to leave the Eastern Palace with his troops.

【Background】

The founding emperor of Han Zhao was Liu Yuan, the second emperor was Liu He, the third emperor was Liu Cong, Liu Cang was Liu Cong's eldest son, Liu Cong's reason for becoming emperor was also the use of disgraceful means, Liu Cong, in order to become emperor, led his troops to conquer Ximingmen and killed Liu He at the Guangji Hall.

According to the order of succession, even if Liu He was killed, it would not be Liu Cong's turn to succeed to the throne, because Liu Cong's mother, Lady Zhang, was not an empress, so Liu Cong was only a concubine, and Liu Yi's mother was Empress Shan, who was a concubine, and according to the system of Li Concubine being long and not xian, and Li Zi being noble and not long, Liu Yi should be the emperor.

Liu Cong also did not dare to violate the current system, so he gave up the emperor to Liu Yi, who did not dare to succeed to the throne because he was afraid of Liu Cong's power, and then recommended Liu Cong to be emperor, and Liu Cong pushed the boat along the water to become the third emperor of Han Zhao, and Liu Cong's regime was still unstable when he first became emperor.

In order to calm public opinion, when he ascended the throne, he once said that when Liu Yi grew up, he would return the great cause to him, and then the above things happened, there was Liu Cong's words, the successor should be Liu Yi, but Liu Cang, as the crown prince, was supposed to have the right to inherit, then the contradiction also arose, and the two launched a power struggle in order to become emperors.

【Analysis】

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Jin Zhun suggested that Liu Cang become emperor, saying that the great general (Liu Yi) and the general Wei wanted to honor the brother to carry out rebellion, and if Liu Yi became emperor, there would be nothing for Liu Cang, and Liu Cang also thought so, so he asked Jin Zhun, what to do?

Jin Zhun is proficient in human nature, Liu Yi has Liu Cong's promise, and also has the right to inherit, there will definitely be people who encourage him to become emperor, this is expected, this is the law, as long as you are proficient in the law of human nature, you can speculate about future things.

<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="100" >2, tight inside and loose outside</h1>

Jin Zhun asked Liu Cang to relax the surveillance and prohibition of the Eastern Palace, so that guests could come and go, Liu Yi liked to receive scholars, and people who flattered him would definitely cater to his brother's wishes as emperor, and then he would plot for him, and then he could collect Liu Yi's crimes.

Although the vigilance was relaxed on the surface, in private, many eyeliners were installed to monitor Liu Yi's every move, and to record the scholars that Liu Yi came into contact with, and then these scholars could be summoned to facilitate interrogation, and the confessions obtained from the soldiers were more convincing.

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If many confessions are related to rebellion, then the matter is done, if Liu Yi is labeled as a rebel, he will lose the right to inherit, Liu Yue squeezed out Liu Yi, a strong opponent, and it is logical to become emperor.

Of course, Liu Cong is not stupid, Liu Cong has also experienced great winds and waves, and knows the cruelty of power struggles, if he becomes emperor, then his descendants may be exterminated, Liu Cong does not want such a thing to happen.

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When Liu Cong was emperor, the regime was not stable, in order to appease the people, he said: When you grow up, you will return the great cause to him, in layman's terms, this is just polite words, although it is a polite word, since Liu Cong accepts the throne, then it is the emperor, what the emperor says cannot be used as a joke, the words have been spoken, it can not be taken back, others are serious, you have no way.

From Liu Cong's point of view, Liu Cang was his own son, Liu Yi was only a half-brother, so he had to make his son emperor, and if there was a confession of Liu Cang's rebellion, then he could go down this step, veto his inheritance, and even kill him.

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