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"About 130,000", why can I guess the number of high school entrance exams?

author:Teacher Ou is not Teacher Qu

In the third year of junior high school this year, since I was promoted from elementary school to junior high school, I have seen that it is overwhelmingly difficult and difficult, and there are many people.

In January, I posted a "prophecy" based on the public documents of the Guangzhou Municipal Education Department: "I seem to have found something ...... about the number of people taking the high school entrance examination this year".

It says something like this:

"About 130,000", why can I guess the number of high school entrance exams?

As a result, the physical education high school entrance examination started today, and the data you can see, 129,000.

"About 130,000", why can I guess the number of high school entrance exams?

This number is about the same as I predicted, and even 1,000 people less, only about 5,000 more than last year, far from the exaggerated 166,900 people that everyone sees.

"About 130,000", why can I guess the number of high school entrance exams?

In addition, the number of places has increased a lot this year, including the new campuses of schools such as Huafu, Shengshi, No. 6 Middle School, Guangzhou Experimental Middle School, and the expansion of high-quality schools such as Yuyan. Even if you don't count the private and comprehensive high schools that are regarded as "making up the numbers", this year's competitive situation is far less pessimistic than everyone imagined.

It's not that I'm going to show off that I'm a god operator, but I'm actually saying that these are all calculations based on publicly available data, combined with the rhetoric of the education sector's policies. What I'm saying isn't necessarily accurate, but at least it's not so pessimistic.

You have to understand that data is objective, but what kind of data is presented to the public can be controlled, because there are too many statistical calibers, and only the most exaggerated data can be widely disseminated and bring traffic.

Some people even deliberately disseminate false data with ulterior motives, or distort and interpret certain policies to exaggerate and generalize anxiety.

For example, the above 166,900 graduates, the data may be true, but the gap between high school candidates and graduates is very large. Among them, there are non-registered students who return to their hometowns, those who plan to go abroad and do not take the high school entrance examination, those who do not take the high school entrance examination due to physical and psychological problems, and those who "voluntarily" give up the high school entrance examination and go directly to the secondary vocational school......

I often tell everyone, don't be too anxious about something that hasn't happened yet, and even if this negative thing lands, you can't change it.

In addition, when you see a message that has been widely disseminated, don't believe it brainlessly, first see if it's official news, if not, you might as well let the bullets fly for a while. Even if it is, whether this person's interpretation is correct or not is uncertain.

I would recommend that you focus on everything that is controllable, rather than on the unproven, even if it is proven, it is uncontrollable.

What is unproven and uncontrollable? such as policies, number of exams, percentage of progression, etc.

What is controllable?Understand the rules of the game, work hard to improve your grades, and filter information that meets your needs.

You'll be much more comfortable doing so.

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