On May 3, Beijing time, the four groups of the second round of the NBA playoffs have ended the first game, the first Heat and Suns in the East and West of this day defeated Philadelphia and the Lone Ranger respectively, while the Grizzlies and Celtics, who ranked high the day before, both lost. According to the latest probability released by the US media FiveThirtyEight, the probability of the Sun advancing to 86% leads, the probability of advancing to the finals is 59% to lead, and the probability of winning the championship has also risen to 33% to continue to lead. Philadelphia's promotion probability fell to only 33%, and the probability of winning the championship has been more than 10% of the probability of winning the championship, which also increases the suspense of the championship.
Second round results
Suns 1-0 Lone Ranger
Grizzlies 0-1 Warriors
Heat 1-0 Philadelphia
Celtics 0-1 Bucks
The second round of promotion probabilities is updated
1、 Sun 86%
2. Warriors 71%
3、 Heat 67%
4, bucks 54%
5. Celtic 46%
6. Philadelphia 33%
7. Grizzly Bear 29%
8. Lone Ranger 14%
In the previous day's two games, Alphabet Brother led the Bucks to beat the Celtics by three doubles, while the Warriors narrowly beat the Grizzlies by one point, winning both games on the road. As for the day, the team that played at home won, so that the teams that are currently the first team in the East and West are leading 1-0, while the teams in the East and West are 1-1 behind.
The Suns led by up to 21 points at most, even if they were frantically counterattacked by the Lone Ranger to chase points, they still narrowly won by 7 points, allowing Doncic to bomb 45+12+8. The Suns' promotion probability has soared further to 86% to lead the way, leaving the Lone Ranger with only a 14% chance of turning over. You know, in the regular season and playoffs, the Sun has a total of 10 consecutive wins against the Lone Rangers, which is undoubtedly a more optimistic side to advance, and the Probability of the Sun advancing to the Finals is also 59% leading.
In the absence of Embiid, even if Philadelphia was able to surpass 1 point in the first half when it was 14 points behind, Harden withdrew 1 of 4 in the second half, and Philadelphia was also suppressed by the Heat. The Heat's promotion probability rose to 67 percent, ranking 3rd, 71 percent behind the Warriors, while Philadelphia's counterattack reversal probability was only 33 percent. Harden led the team to compete with the Heat, and Embiid will need to wait at least for the G3 game to return, which is also a warning for Philadelphia.
The Bucks' chances of qualifying continue to rise to 54 percent, outperforming the Celtics by 46 percent, and the Grizzlies with 29 percent and the Lone Rangers at 14 percent, making them the least optimistic teams in the second round.
The probability of winning the championship is updated
1、 Sun 33%
2. Celtic 19%
3. Bucks 16%
4. Warriors 12%
5、 Heat 10%
6、 Philadelphia 5%
7, Grizzlies 4%
8, lone ranger 2%
In terms of the probability of winning the championship, the Suns continue to rise to 33% to lead, and also continue to expand their lead. However, at present, there are 5 teams with a probability of winning the championship of more than 10%, which also makes the situation of championship competition more and more confusing.
The Suns lead with a 33% chance of winning the title, and the Celtics, who are currently 0-1 behind, continue to rank second with a 19% probability of winning the championship, compared with the greenshirts' highest probability of winning the championship in the first round. Defending champion Bucks continue to rise to 16%, Warriors to 12%, and Heat to 10%, so all five teams are in hope of competing for the title.
As for the remaining 3 teams, the probability of winning the championship is less than 10%, and even Philadelphia has only a 5% probability of winning the championship, and the Grizzlies have a 4% and the Lone Rangers 2% are looked down upon.
(Text/Drunken Floating Life)