4% miracle? Miami playoff situation analysis: whether the last 8 games can be counterattacked depends on Messi

After the national team break, Messi returns to the club and will lead Miami Inter to the playoffs, can he complete the counterattack? It depends on the performance of the king of the ball.

Rankings and situations

According to MLS rules, the top 7 teams in the East and West advance directly to the playoffs, while the 8th and 9th places need to play a play-off game to determine the final playoff ticket.

So, Miami International wants to make the playoffs, either straight into the top 7, or at least in the top 9, and then go through the playoffs to catch the last train.

At present, Miami Internacional has 26 wins, 8 wins, 4 draws and 14 defeats, with 28 points, ranking 14th in the East, that is, second from last, 6 points behind Eastern Conference 9th United with 2 games less, 7 points behind Eastern Conference 8th Montreal with 1 game less, and 12 points behind Eastern Conference 7th Nashville with 1 game less.

In other words, if they win two make-up games, Miami Internacional can tie Washington United and have a chance to break into the top 9. Of course, this also depends on the results of other opponents in the play-off rounds. However, the famous website 538 still predicts that the chance of Miami International qualifying for the playoffs is only 4%, which is pitiful!

Remaining fixtures

The regular season of the MLS consisted of 34 rounds, and Miami International had 8 games left unplayed, and the schedule was as follows:

17 September away to Atlanta United, opponent 6th in the East; On the 21st, he hosted Toronto, and the opponent was bottom in the East; Away to Orlando City on the 25th, opponent 3rd in the East;

1 October at home to New York City, 12th in the East; Facing the Chicago Fire away on the 5th, opponent 10th in the East; At home to Cincinnati on the 8th, the opponent is the first in the East and the first in the league; 19th at home to Charlotte, opponent 11th in the East; On the 22nd, he played Charlotte again.

Overall, Miami International's opponents are not very strong, there are only 3 playoff teams, and they have all met recently: CONCACACAF 4-0 Atlanta United, 3-1 Orlando City, 4-0 Charlotte, defeating Nashville on penalties in the final, beating Cincinnati on penalties in the semifinals of the Open Cup, and 0-0 Nashville in the MLS, all of which are unbeaten and have a high winning percentage.

So in these 9 games, Miami Internacional is expected to win at least 6 games, if it can achieve 6 wins and 2 draws, get 20 points, and finally 48 points, then at least the qualification for the play-offs should be no problem. If you win all 8 games and score 24 points to reach 52 points, then you even have a chance to enter the top 7.

You have to look at Messi

Of course, if Internacional Miami wants to achieve such excellent results and advance to the playoffs, it must depend on Messi's form and performance. Since joining Miami, the champion has scored 11 goals in 11 games, keeping the team unbeaten, and it is thanks to him that David Beckham's team see hope of making the playoffs.

However, Messi is 36 years old after all, under the continuous battle, physical fitness is a huge test, can the condition be maintained? Do I need to take regular rotations? How many games can I play in the last 8? If you don't play, will you not be able to win? It's all questions that need to be answered.

And at the end of September and October, in addition to the final of the US Open Cup, Messi will return to Argentina and play two more World Qualifier matches, and it is unknown whether he will play only one game like in September.

However, once the Miami Internacional enters the playoffs, then with Messi, Busquets and Alba in it, they really have the possibility of rushing straight to the MLA championship! Because the playoffs are playoff, individual ability can still play a key role.