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The United States is currently the only superpower in the world, and its comprehensive national strength is unmatched by any other country for the time being, including the mainland.
However, the international situation is now undergoing earth-shaking changes, and more and more countries are gradually accelerating their development.
Emerging economies, led by China, have become a very important political force in today's world.
And the United States is also making predictions to see which world-class powers will be in the future.
Today, let's briefly introduce the world's top seven in 20 years.
1. Two populous countries
Let's start with the two countries that are ranked seventh and sixth.
The two powers identified by the United States are Indonesia and Nigeria.
The United States feels that Indonesia can become a great power mainly because it is a world-class populous country.
Today, Indonesia is also home to a total population of hundreds of millions. The huge population means that Indonesia has a huge potential for development.
Indeed, the Government of Indonesia attaches great importance to national development. In order to promote economic progress, it has also cooperated with China to jointly build high-speed rail.
And the current situation is also quite suitable for the development of Indonesia.
Western countries led by the United States are still completing deindustrialization in an orderly manner, while China is rapidly developing into a high-end industry.
Some low-end and high-polluting industries in the mainland are rapidly moving out.
The focus of these industries is Southeast Asia and India, which are also populous countries with lower labor costs.
The current labor cost in Indonesia is not high, so in this new era, Indonesia may undertake some low-end factories in this new round of industrial transfer.
As long as Indonesia can seize the opportunity, it will not be able to develop as fast as China.
But in 20 years, it is still possible to double or triple the economy.
Don't underestimate the low-end industry, a large number of low-end industries have taken root in Indonesia, which can allow the country to industrialize quickly.
Of course, will they be able to move into modernization and intelligence?
It is also difficult to say whether the Indonesian government will have the administrative capacity to turn the country into a strong country.
So it is understandable to rank Indonesia in seventh place.
After all, they have a strong heritage, and even to some extent, a country like Indonesia, which has a large number of high-quality seaports, is strategically located and has a population that has stronger development potential than many European countries.
Nigeria is ranked above Indonesia in this list.
Nigeria has been able to become one of the seven great powers in the world even more because it is the one that is currently the better developed of all African countries.
Africa has always been one of the poorest and least developed continents in the world.
South Africa is the country with the greatest hope of becoming a strong country in Africa, but because of a series of national reforms, it is basically difficult for South Africa to recover its former glory.
Therefore, if Africa is to rise, it must rely on emerging African countries. Nigeria is now the most promising of all African countries.
First, Nigeria has an administratively efficient government that enjoys broad support in the country.
In such a situation, as long as Nigeria adopts the right economic development strategy, Nigeria's development rate will not be too slow.
And unlike many African countries, Nigeria is not politically divided.
Many African countries are unable to develop because they have various warlords, large and small, in their countries.
However, Nigeria has basically eliminated all the large-scale opposition forces in the country by building a strong army with the help of foreign aid.
Although there are still some unstable political forces in Nigeria, these political forces cannot shake the stability of the national power.
In addition, when Nigeria develops, it may become the leader of the whole of Africa.
With the possibility that Nigeria will gradually integrate Africa, there is some hope for becoming a great power.
However, I personally don't think this hope will be greater than that of Indonesia.
Second, the three traditional powers
The next thing to say is that the fifth of the three traditional powers is Germany.
There is a special reason why Germany is on the list.
It was true that Germany was a defeated country in World War II, but after the war, Germany deeply reflected on the war.
At the same time, Germany was divided into East Germany and West Germany, both of which were supported by the United States and the Soviet Union, and achieved sufficient development.
In the eighties and nineties of the last century, when the political situation in Europe underwent great changes, Germany achieved reunification and had the foundation to become a real power.
Today, Germany is one of the world's leading economies and ranks among the best countries in terms of overall scientific and technological development.
And Germany has another advantage over Japan.
Japan is stronger than Germany in terms of size and economic aggregate, but Japan is too severely restricted by the United States to be regarded as a country with complete sovereignty.
Of course, Japan's incomplete sovereignty is also self-inflicted.
Japan has been reluctant to reflect on the war, and the surrounding countries have always been wary. And Germany's reflection on the war was very thorough.
In German textbooks, they also tell their next generation of Germans directly what mistakes their ancestors committed during the war.
Then there was a systematic discussion about why the Germans did what they did.
It is precisely because of this national reflection that Germany is not as restricted as Japan.
Most of the countries that were invaded by Germany still maintained close cooperation with them, including France.
Moreover, Germany is one of the leading countries in the European Union, and Germany has the potential to integrate Europe.
That's why Japan didn't make the list, but Germany did.
In fourth place on this list is Russia. It is completely normal that Russia is still able to maintain its status as a great power.
From an objective point of view, the impact of the collapse of the Soviet Union on Russia is indeed very large. Putin has been in power for more than 20 years, and he has not succeeded in reviving Russia.
But Russia's heritage lies there, as the world's largest country, Russia's natural resources are quite rich.
At a time when the world's resources are becoming more and more depleted, Russia's political and economic influence will also grow.
And many of the legacies left by the Soviet era can still preserve Russia's international standing, such as the Soviet Union's huge nuclear arsenal.
As long as Russia is still one of the world's top military powers and nuclear powers, then Russia will be invincible no matter what country it faces.
Now Russia only has a development dilemma.
If they can gradually solve these problems through political and administrative reforms, Russia still has great potential.
Hundreds of millions of people, more than 17 million square kilometers of territory, thousands of nuclear warheads and a well-trained and large military force.
Russia has all the basic conditions to become a world-class power.
If Putin can lead Russia's reform to success, or if Russia has a tougher and wiser leader in the future, maybe everyone will be able to see Russia's second rise.
In third place on this list is France.
Many people think that it is a bit strange to rank France in third place, after all, France is inferior to Russia no matter how you look at it.
And France is also economically inferior to Germany, but if you look at France in this way, it is somewhat one-sided.
Nowadays, many people on the Internet ridicule France, thinking that France did too poorly in World War II, but more than half a century has passed.
During these years, France has not done nothing.
Successive French governments have been trying to maintain a relatively strong military force and a well-developed industrial system.
Therefore, France is currently the only country in all European countries except Russia with a full industrial chain, and France's heritage is much stronger than that of the United Kingdom.
The UK now needs to rely on imports from the international market at the steel level.
But France is also capable of developing nuclear weapons, developing its own strategic nuclear submarines, and even building large aircraft carriers.
If we were to talk about European integration, France would certainly play a greater role than Germany.
If Europe is integrated, France will be able to draw on more forces than Germany, so there is no problem in ranking France in third place.
3. Two first-class powers
The last two countries to talk about are naturally the United States and China. It is not surprising that the United States is in second place.
Although the United States is the world's only superpower, it is an international consensus that the United States' comprehensive national strength is declining.
The debt crisis, the economic crisis, and the national question are all mountains that weigh on the heads of Americans.
But the international heritage of the United States is there, and even if it is going to decline, it will take a very long time.
Twenty years is not enough time for Americans to consume all the foundation they have accumulated over hundreds of years.
And 20 years is enough time for China to do a lot of things.
Today, China is the second largest economy in the world, and we are still growing at an annual rate of about 5 to 6 percent.
In this way, in about 10 years, we may reach the same economic level as the United States, and even surpass the total economic output of the United States.
China's volume is here.
As a country with a population of 1.4 billion, even if the population growth is negative now, our economy still has a lot of potential.
But the United States is different.
As early as the end of the last century and the beginning of this century, the United States has entered a bottleneck period of development.
Unless there is a historic leap in their technology and productivity, America's development should be wave-shaped.
In this situation, it is foreseeable that in 20 years, China will surpass the United States to become the world's number one superpower.
However, we cannot let our guard down.
Although China's future is bright, we still need further development and efforts to truly become the world's number one superpower.
Resources:
Inspector Shi Ji2023-12-06American think tank predicts that the "7 countries" with the best development in the world in the next 10 years will be the best
Yangshanliang2023-08-08Top 10 powers in the future, see which countries are there?
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