[Musk predicts: AI will surpass the smartest people on the surface in two years]
On Monday, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said in an interview with Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norway's sovereign wealth fund, that he believes that the IQ of AI will surpass the world's smartest human individuals as early as next year and 2026 at the latest.
The meaning of Lao Ma's words is that no human being can lead AI in terms of overall IQ level. 🤖
Earlier, on April 4, Musk predicted at an event hosted by Singularity University in the United States that at the current rate of technological progress, AI intelligence may completely crush the entire sum of human IQ by 2030, and this technology even has a certain risk of ending humanity, and the probability he gave is 10%-20%.
When asked when AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) will be cashed in, Musk said: "It depends on how you define it, if you define 'AGI' as being smarter than the smartest person, I think it could be next year, or two years from now." ”
Musk believes that the root cause of the current restriction on the development of AI technology is the lack of advanced chips. He revealed that his xAI company is training the Grok 2.0 version, which requires about 20,000 NVIDIA H100 GPUs, and estimates that more than 100,000 NVIDIA H100 GPUs will be needed above the Grok-3 model. However, due to the lack of enough advanced chips, the training of the Grok large model has been hampered, and it is currently planned to delay the completion of the training until May.
Coincidentally, the CEO of Nvidia gave a view that Musk is "close to the point in time", and he believes that AGI will be achieved in 2026, but he emphasized that AGI refers to the ability to fully take over the design work of Nvidia Semiconductor, and the participation in AI development projects has reached 20%-30%.
