The Circle of the Reagan
This article was first published in "Fangfang's Aviation Building", and the author authorized to push it
According to The Sina Military, the Reagan circled around and turned northeast, sailing with its back to Taiwan.
The more optimistic saying on the Internet is that the eagle sauce is soft, the mouth cannon is playing, and it does not dare to intervene in the situation in the Taiwan Strait. But personally, I think this statement is too optimistic. Eagle sauce is not the type of person who suffers a loss and does not fight back, there will definitely be a backhand.
Let's start with the Ronald Reagan's eccentric actions. From the perspective of the promised gold content of eagle sauce and the timing of intervention, of course, the sooner it enters the Taiwan Strait, the better. But apparently, Eagle Sauce is not ready for a showdown – especially after the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced eight sanctions, and the communication channels between the two armies have been cut off. At this time, it is really possible to force together, and there is a real possibility of large-scale conflict. With the consistent virtue of eagle sauce sea power, conflict is conflict, the fist is the truth, afraid that you will not succeed? For other countries with blue stars, it is estimated that this is it. But this time, in the face of the rabbit's all-out fight, relying on a strike brigade of the Reagan alone, it is obviously too weak. Nine times out of ten you will suffer losses. Not to mention the nearby two attacks of the American and Tripoli - that is, the so-called "lightning aircraft carrier" that was hyped up some time ago, that thing is the cheap plug-in of the aircraft carrier, and there is no independent combat capability in the face of high-intensity war.
If the "Lightning Aircraft Carrier" can really be used as an aircraft carrier, then this time the Reagan + American + Tripoli can be used as three independent campaign directions to break in from the north, east and south of Taiwan at the same time. Since it did not do so, it means that the American and Tripoli cannot play the role of independent aircraft carriers, let alone confront the Sea Hare, and if they dare to break away from the air cover of the Reagan or Kadena, they will come up to deliver food.
In short, the Reagan did not intervene in the Taiwan Strait in time this time, that is, it was insufficient strength. As mentioned earlier, Eagle Sauce will definitely look for opportunities to retaliate. Since you want revenge, you will not repeat the mistakes of the past. So what Eagle Sauce has to do is two things:
One is to disperse the strength of the rabbit.
This has actually already begun to be done, and the ready thug is India. A few news: (Figure 3)
If tensions were to be made in the east, it would be highly likely that india's brain would take risks on the western front or even in the direction of the Indian Ocean– as it was in 1962. In this way, it is possible to contain the forces on the western and southern fronts of the rabbit in the short term, so that they cannot fully support the eastern front.
The second is to concentrate their own forces.
In the typical combat method of Eagle Sauce, if you really want to prepare to move, it is at least a two-carrier battle group, and if you want to face a strong enemy, you have to go to the three-carrier battle group. However, in recent years, the Eagle Sauce military expenditure has been insufficient, and the battle group has been downgraded to a strike brigade to reduce the cost of maintenance, but the combat effectiveness has also been greatly reduced.
So where will the aircraft carrier that Eagle Sauce might mobilize come from?
Now the Indo-Pacific is only the Reagan. Nimitz was originally deployed in the Indo-Pacific, but had just moved into the Mediterranean at the end of July to replace the Eisenhower there. The Eisenhower, which had been in the Mediterranean for half a year, returned to port for repairs. There is also another one on the east coast of the Pacific Ocean, the Lincoln, which has been deployed overdue and has just completed the Circumference of the Pacific Military Exercise and returned to Hong Kong for repairs. The Carl Vinson docked for repairs. The Atlantic side could not move, and some people analyzed it, so they will not repeat it.
From a common sense point of view, in the short term, the Western Pacific will not be able to get reinforcements from other aircraft carriers. But if it really comes to an emergency, there are several possibilities: First, lincoln is forcibly deployed to the Western Pacific, and the crew and air wing can carry the Carl Vinson; The second was that the Carl Vinson ended maintenance early and returned to the Western Pacific (after all, the F35 accident did not cause serious damage to the hull). This barely allowed for a two-carrier formation. As for whether the eagle sauce will be dry this way, it is worth paying attention to.
There is also a possibility, that is, The Aircraft Carriers of Britain and France. Although the combat effectiveness is not as good as the eagle sauce super aircraft carrier, it is a bit useful. As for whether these two will take chestnuts for the eagle sauce fire, it remains to be seen. It is said that recently, comrades in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs have repeatedly turned over historical accounts, and even specially posted a picture of the burning of the Yuanmingyuan on Twitter, saying that "those bandits will not be allowed to bully and plunder China again", I am afraid that it is not without reason.
In general, I personally think that in the short term, eagle sauce will not have a big move, but it will secretly contribute to preparation, once the forces of all parties are in place, it may be a multi-point outbreak at the same time, multi-party containment, forcing the rabbit to distract and lose sight of the other.
Of course, this is just a personal guess. How the follow-up will develop remains to be seen.
