On April 27, Beijing time, the first round of the NBA playoffs ended with another set of series, the Heat won the Hawks 4-1 in total scores to become the second team to qualify, the Hawks became the second team to spend the game after the Nets, and the Grizzlies and the Suns won the battle of Tianwangshan to win the match point. Nowadays, the famous American data media FiveThirtyEight updates the playoff probability, the Sun gets the match point after the promotion probability reaches 90%, and the Warriors and Bucks have become the only 3 teams with a promotion probability of at least 90%, the Celtics lead by 42% in terms of the probability of winning the championship, the Sun rises to 22% to rank second, and the Warriors and Bucks rank three or four.
Progression probability update
Two groups ended: Heat 4-1 Hawks, Celtics 4-0 Nets
Four groups 3-2: Suns 3-2 Pelicans, Grizzlies 3-2 Timberwolves, Lone Rangers 3-2 Jazz, Philadelphia 3-2 Raptors
Two groups 3-1: Bucks 3-1 Bulls, Warriors 3-1 Nuggets
The NBA playoffs first round is more than halfway through, and after the Celtics swept the Nets 4-0 the day before, the Heat eliminated the Hawks 4-1 this day, becoming the second team in the East to qualify, while no team in the West has yet completed the promotion.
The Heat were generally looked down upon in Game 5, after all, they lacked the two cores of Butler and Lowry, but they were still magically defeating the Hawks at home. The Heat not only limited Trae Young to only score 11 points on 2 of 12, but Oladipo once again blasted the playoffs 20+ data after 610 days, joining hands with Adebayo and Hiro and other national soldiers to successfully eliminate the Hawks to advance, waiting for the winner between Philadelphia and the Raptors.
In addition to the two series that have already ended, 4 of the remaining 6 groups of duels have been played 3-2, and all of them are the top teams leading the match point. In the two western kings of the day, the Grizzlies took advantage of Morant's miraculous performance of 18 points in the last quarter, especially in the last 4 minutes to win the team's 13 points, and also completed a quasi-kill layup at the last second, successfully leading the team to reverse the Timberwolves to win. The Suns defeated the Pelicans under the leadership of Paul, Bridges and Ayton, plus the Lone Ranger defeated the Jazz the day before, and the 3 groups of matches in the West were all top-ranked teams that won the King's Hill to get match points.
As a result, the probability of the Suns advancing to the top rises to 90%, the Grizzlies 83% of the promotion probability, the Lone Rangers 78% of the probability of advancing, and philadelphia still leading 3-2 after losing two consecutive games is 86% of the promotion probability. In contrast, the Pelicans counterattack probability is 10%, the Timberwolves counterattack probability is 17%, the Jazz counterattack probability is 22%, and the Raptors counterattack probability is 14%.
Both the Warriors and defending champion Bucks are 3-1 ahead, and both teams will return to play at home tomorrow, and both are expected to advance to the G5 battle. The Warriors have a 97% chance of advancing, the Bucks have a greater than 99% chance of advancing, the Nuggets have a 3% chance of counterattacking, and the Bulls are as low as 0.7%.
The probability of winning the championship is updated
1. Celtic 42%
2、 Sun 22%
3. Warriors 9%
4、 Bucks 8%
5、Heat 6%
6. Philadelphia and the Grizzlies 4%
7, lone ranger 3%
8, Jazz and other 6 teams less than 1%
9. The Nets and Hawks are out
In terms of the probability of winning the championship, the Celtics, who were the first to advance in the first round, continued to lead the way, and the probability of winning the championship was as high as 42%. The Suns took a 3-2 lead by winning match points, and the probability of winning the championship while they advanced to the future continued to increase to 22%, while the probability of the Celtics and the Suns winning the championship together has reached 64%, and the remaining 10 teams have a total probability of winning the championship is only 36%.
With a 9% chance of the Warriors winning the championship in Third place and defending champion Bucks an 8% chance of winning the championship, when Middleton will be able to return to influence the Bucks' playoff fate. The Heat have a 6% chance of winning the championship, butler and Lowry are both injured, fortunately their problems are not too big. Among the remaining teams, Philadelphia and the Grizzlies have a 4% chance of winning the championship, the Lone Ranger has a 3% chance of winning the championship, and the remaining 6 teams are all less than 1%.
(Text/Drunken Floating Life)