"There are still three years to go before the Eldon Ring of Law goes live, so what mini-game will be used to fill the gap?"
The last game that was sought after by players with the "Live Like a Year" meme was Cyberpunk 2077. At the very least, this shows that The Eldon's Ring of Law does have a sign of a national game.
The think tank editorial board thus launched a quiz topic: After the launch of "Eldon's Ring of Law", what will be the peak online player peak at the same time as the first weekend of painting?
This can be regarded as a "trap problem", you may wish to estimate the peak of players in the first weekend. In fact, although "Elden's Ring of Law" has been satisfying players' appetites for several years, and it has also won the TGA's Most Anticipated Game Award twice, after "Only Wolf" opened the door for Miyazaki's globalization path, it used the famous Western writer George W. Bush. RR Martin's cross-border cooperation means to create a loud global game, but the subject matter of "Eldon's Ring of Law" itself, how much support it can receive on the road to globalization, is still a mystery-filled conjecture.
I interviewed three editors, some of whom were old ass players in the Soul series, and some of whom hadn't even been exposed to them at all, but the answers they gave were surprisingly close without discussion. Perhaps this shows to some extent that Hidetaka Miyazaki has planted some kind of inherent ideas for players throughout the game world.
Edit A: 42W
Giving the highest first-week peak guess of 420,000, he himself bluntly said that it was very bold, and there was some anticipation of big sales.
His calculation is based on the standard of online players based on traditional blockbusters, superimposed on the traffic of many marginal players. As for the traditional hits, it refers to the national AAA masterpieces, such as the recent "Battlefield 2042", "Fading Light 2" and so on.
Such games have a wide national base in terms of theme and IP, and the release date is very close, and the market feedback is very valuable, but among them, the peak player in the first week of "Fading Light 2" is 27W. He insisted on adding a "premium" of 15W players to "Eldon's Ring of Law", with a basis for overseas marketing and the enthusiasm of friends around the country as a reason.
As for the basis of judgment, it is more focused on the marketing level. On the one hand, from the perspective of sound volume, the most anticipated game for two consecutive years has allowed "Eldon's Ring of Law" to accumulate a lot of "eagerly awaited" players.
And in the past six months, "Eldon's Ring of Law" is also in constant action, especially a few days ago when the PC configuration requirements were announced, the minimum configuration requirements were too high, resulting in many players directly "breaking the defense", directly calling the developer Fromsoftware garbage optimization, Miyazaki Hidetaka fell to the altar. Of course, the official still made some concessions in the verbal criticism, and this wave of noise can be regarded as a proper black and red role.
On the other hand, although there is no promotion effort like "Cyberpunk 2077" in China, the continuous "nagging" of the media in recent years has still let people in the domestic game circle know its existence, especially many people are still big professionals. In several of his game groups, many friends around him who don't usually play games have also booked "Eldon's Ring of Law" early, and even some people have bought two copies to give to friends. Many anchors who have finished broadcasting "Fading Light 2" will also go live broadcasting "Eldon's Law Ring" at the first time, which will promote the sales of the work in China in disguise. All of this brought him a certain degree of stimulation and translated into the basis for giving 420,000 exaggerated data.
Edit B: 33W
When I interviewed him, he was dealing with Azerbaijan's foreign affairs – buying the Eldon Ring of Law across regions from Steam. He's a veteran player who knows every inch of Dark Souls 3 and Wolf's maps.
However, the data basis he gave was very "weird", and he directly used the opening score of the first weekend of "Fallout 4" - also 33W. The player's online peak in the first week of Fallout 4 was 47W.
Compared with Fallout 4, the peak of the first weekend was 33W, and the peak of the entire first week was 47W. Considering that the spread before the release of "Eldon's Law Ring" was not as strong as the first week of the release of "Fallout 4", the opening score of 33W was used.
Although "Fallout 4" and "Eldon's Ring of Law" are two games that have nothing to do with the gameplay, theme, and audience, he believes that they are traced back to the "spirit brothers" -
The "Fallout" series and the "Soul" series, from the early days of creation to the current time span, the history is very close, especially they are in the PS4/XBOX360 console generation began to enter the core player circle.
Most importantly, after the niche genre reached the extreme, both series of games began to try genre breakthroughs, and both successfully broke the circle, broke through genre audiences, crossed nationalities and went international.
And "Eldon's Ring of Law" will become an important milestone in the "Soul" series to break through the limits.
In addition, there is an important reference data, Miyazaki Hidego's last work "Only Wolves" in the first week of online player peak is 10W, and the main spread of "Only Wolves" is the East Asian player circle, according to steam's download bandwidth distribution data, Asian usage accounts for roughly 1/3 of the overall, so when "Elden's Legal Ring" breaks through the Asian region and goes global, it is reasonable that its voice reaches three times the previous one.
Edit C: 35W
She also calculated based on the data of "Only Wolves", but first of all, she needs to refer to an "intuitive amount", that is, the average first week online peak of the blockbuster, about 20-30W.
The most important turning point of "Only Wolf" for the "Soul" series should be that it officially entered the PC field. It is not a console version of the port, but a complete root in the PC market - which means that "Only Wolf" already has a mass communication foundation, not only the cloud or play terriers, but indeed through purchase and game behavior, to integrate into the core player circle, expand their own "game social talk".
"Only Wolves" is indeed a big win in East Asian player circles, and "Eldon's Ring of Law" directly pulled "A Song of Ice and Fire" author George W. Bush. RR Martin's act of acting as a screenwriter is even more clever, it increases the color of Western literature, especially in the story and narrative, it is likely to have an atmosphere of integration, and this kind of cross-border cooperation between star production team + showbiz literary and artistic workers can be said to be the top match of the early paving popularity, "Death Stranding" and "Cyberpunk 2077" are doing so, and Miyazaki Hidetaka's personal appeal is definitely not weak.
Therefore, the estimation of the peak player of 35W in the first weekend of "Eldon's Ring of Law" is the simple and crude "Only Wolf" 10W base + "Soul" series globalization 10W + cross-circle star cooperation 10W + a little margin = 35W calculation formula.
In any case, there are still three days to see what kind of surprises this super hit that players have been looking forward to for years. And what is more exciting is how its subsequent spread will be, and where it will take the "soul" series.