Introduction: At the end of the stock market in 2021, from the perspective of market value changes, the new energy sector has become the biggest winner; and the Ningde era of the sector is the only one.
In 2021, the three major indexes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets collectively closed the K line, of which the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 4.8% per year, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.67% per year, and the ChiNext Index rose by 10.02% per year. At the same time, the Hang Seng Index recorded an annual decline of 14.08%, the lowest performance among the world's important indexes.
From the perspective of individual stock performance, among the most concerned stocks in 2021, CATL definitely occupies a place. This stock, which has successfully exceeded the trillion mark in market value, leads the way in the auto stocks registered in the automotive K-line statistics with an annual increase in market value of more than 550 billion yuan.
It is not only a unicorn in the new energy sector, with a total market value of 1.37 trillion yuan, "Ning Wang" has successfully ranked among the top five A shares, reaching the highest value of the A stock market - half of the market value of Guizhou Moutai (2.6 trillion), and the stock price was once close to 700 yuan / share.
This year, the Ningde era enjoyed the dividends of the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market, the supply of power batteries exceeded demand, and the expansion of production capacity blossomed in many places. This year, CATL expects that the net profit attributable to the shareholders of listed companies will reach 14 billion to 16.5 billion yuan, an increase of 150.75% to 195.52% year-on-year, truly achieving a win-win situation of soaring valuation and performance explosion.
As of December 31, 2021, CATL closed at 588 yuan / share, although it was not as high as 692 yuan / share on December 3, but the growth rate of 67.47% was enough to make a number of traditional vehicle companies cast envious eyes.
When it comes to traditional vehicle companies, the best performer is BYD. Among them, BYD's A-share annual increase reached 37.99%, and the market value increased by about 250 billion yuan; the annual increase of H-shares was 31.2%, and the market value increased by about 180 billion yuan.
The above three stocks are also the top three stocks in the auto stock market value list; if you add the increase in the market value of Great Wall Motors and Tianqi Lithium, these five stocks alone contributed nearly 1.2 trillion yuan to the overall market value change, setting the overall tone for the overall market value to thicken.
Looking back at BYD, it will reach 740,000 sales in 2021, of which the sales of new energy vehicles exceeded 600,000 and the number of fuel vehicles exceeded 136,000. From its monthly sales trend, it can be clearly seen that its new energy vehicle business "high triumphant song" rushed to 100,000 vehicles, while the traditional automobile business "stopped" and fell back to the level of 5,000 vehicles.
To a certain extent, BYD is regarded as the closest to the concept of new energy in the domestic traditional car companies because of its battery business, so it is often compared with Tesla by the industry, and it has also skyrocketed in the capital market because of the Tesla concept.
At present, bydir semiconductor spin-off listing is only the last "dormant", Wang Chuanfu is also about to sit on 3 listed companies. This IPO may also help BYD enter the trillion market value club, after all, its valuation has now rushed to 30 billion yuan.
However, it is puzzling that after the news that BYD Semiconductor is one step closer to the ChiNext board, BYD's stock prices in the A-share and H-share markets have fallen by 6% and 9% respectively as of the close of the 28th. It seems that the olive branch of the "first stock of the core" is not very powerful, or affected by Tesla's 11.55% plunge.
Nowadays, the Ningde era has "become king", can BYD "slowly become king"? See.
In addition, it is worth mentioning that in the annual market value list, the market value of the new energy sector has increased by more than one trillion yuan, in addition to the above companies, Enjie shares, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Ganfeng Lithium Industry also performed well; especially Tianqi Lithium, the stock price rose by 172% a year, from less than 40 yuan / share, successfully breaking through the 100 yuan mark.
The next Xiaokang shares and Xiaopeng Automobile, the market value changes are also close to 60 billion yuan, but the stock price and market value scale are obviously not a heavyweight.
So who will have a significantly compressed market cap in 2021?
First of all, the market value of Boss Xu's Evergrande Automobile evaporated by 180 billion yuan, ranking at the bottom of the list; the stock price fell from about 30.2 yuan / share at the beginning of the year to 3.52 yuan / share; the market value also shrank from more than 260 billion Hong Kong dollars to less than 40 billion Hong Kong dollars, which can be described as stretched. If you follow the highest and lowest prices, the decline is even more amazing.
In the hot new energy vehicle track, Evergrande Automobile has not yet achieved mass production delivery, and the 2021 real estate thunderstorm, Evergrande Group's high debt, has also had a very serious impact on it. If you use one word to describe the current situation of Evergrande Automobile, the author thought of walking on thin ice.
Let's take a look at the three forces that have landed in the US stock market. Among them, WEILAI's market value evaporated by 164.8 billion yuan, ranking second from the bottom of the list; while Xiaopeng Automobile and Ideal Automobile rose, with their market value increasing by 58.6 billion yuan and 46 billion yuan respectively, and the Hong Kong stocks of the two companies were also bullish.
In 2021, Xiaopeng Automobile surpassed WEILAI (91,000 units) and Ideal Automobile (90,000 units) with a cumulative delivery of 98,000 units. Weilai Automobile, which "holds high and fights high", inevitably faces "cold in the heights", and after "Ning Wang" enters the field of power exchange, the pressure is estimated to be not small; and Xiaopeng Automobile, which is engaged in intelligent pure electricity and flying cars, has more stories to tell in the capital market; the ideal car goes to the world with a model, although the sales volume is temporarily lagging behind, but it has made a lot of money.
However, the market pattern of new energy vehicles cannot remain unchanged, and Nezha, Zero Run, weima, etc. are also trying to rank among the first camp.
In addition, the performance of autohome double stocks was underperforming, with a 70% decline in stock prices and a total market value of more than 100 billion yuan. Just confirms that sentence, "Flowers are not red for a hundred days", the auto home that was once beautiful and indispensable, has now lost its former glory under the rapid and strong rise of Yiche and The Emperor of Understanding Cars; and the entry of Ping An Group has laid the groundwork for its current situation.
In addition to the top three declines, it is worth noting that saicid motor, Geely Automobile and Dongfeng Group shares, three traditional car companies, appeared in the list of the top ten declines in market value.
The wisdom of SAIC, the extreme krypton of Geely Automobile, and the Lantu of Dongfeng Group, which one can make the group realize the valuation in the capital market? Worth looking forward to.
Bidding farewell to the complex and changeable year of 2021, since it is a foregone conclusion, there is no need to struggle anymore. In terms of the 73 stocks and four major sectors registered in the automotive K-line statistics, the new energy sector has the strongest performance, and bull stocks are frequent; although the performance of the passenger car sector is not as good as that of the new energy sector, the author believes that it may take time to get rid of its own burden and accumulate thick and thin.
In contrast, the dealership segment and the commercial vehicle segment performed weaker. According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, commercial vehicle production and sales will decline in 2021, while due to factors such as increasing downward pressure on the economy and shrinking demand, the association expects commercial vehicle sales to be 4.5 million units in 2022, down 6% year-on-year.
However, whether it is a dealer group or a commercial vehicle sector, focusing on the mid-to-high-end market with stronger and more room for growth may reduce some risks.
For 2022, some analysts believe that the recovery of the world economy is still unstable, and the global stock market may experience the shocks brought about by policy "tightening". All in all, in 2022, when the epidemic continues to be chaotic, the world will face more serious challenges; listed auto companies are no exception.
However, the times create heroes, no matter what kind of era, there will always be strong people.