Meat, grain, egg market: corn with meat prices rise, eggs to maintain stability, wheat encountered a new crisis

In the past two days, the price of live pigs has changed from the previous sluggish state and risen strongly, not only increasing the increase, but also significantly expanding the area of rise. There are two main reasons why pig prices can rise:

1. Near the end of the year, pork consumption increased, and many consumers began to prepare New Year goods, increasing the demand for pork. The recent slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises continues to be at a high level, which can also reflect the increase in pork demand from the side.

2, as the pig price fell to 7 yuan again, some pig farmers pressed the fence to sell, coupled with the pig price in the middle and early January has not been ideal, pig farmers sell pigs in advance, resulting in a shortage of recent pig supply.

After the rise in pig prices, pork prices also rose sharply, and the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market on January 21 was 22.05 yuan / kg, up 1.1% compared with the previous day. The wholesale market pork prices in various regions are 22 yuan / kg in Changzhi County, Shanxi, 19 yuan / kg in Donggang District, Shandong, 20 yuan / kg in Zhongjiang County, Sichuan, 23 yuan / kg in Anda City, Heilongjiang, 24 yuan / kg in Lixin County, Anhui, 29 yuan / kg in Wangdu County, Hebei Province, 20 yuan / kg in Shulan City, Jilin Shulan City, 20 yuan / kg in Jiangchuan District, Yunnan Province, 26 yuan / kg in Guan County, Shandong, 28 yuan / kg in Donghai County, Jiangsu Province, and 22 yuan / kg in Weishi County, Hainan. Wholesale prices are still like this, retail prices have generally risen to 30 yuan / kg, and high-priced areas are even close to 40 yuan.

At the same time as the price of pork rose, the price of corn was not idle, but rose with the rise of meat prices, Shouguang Chenming and Juneng rose by 20 yuan / ton, Zhucheng Xingmao and Chengwu Dadi rose by 10 yuan / ton, and Changle Shengtai and Feicheng Fukuan rose by 20 yuan / ton respectively. In recent times, there are three main reasons for the rise in corn prices:

1. Recently, a wide range of rain and snow weather has swept the mainland, affecting the arrival of corn in enterprises.

2, near the end of the year, the farmers who intend to sell grain have sold almost, do not want to sell is still waiting to see, most farmers have begun to prepare for the Spring Festival, grass-roots shipments are weak, affecting the supply of corn in enterprises.

3, the previous continuous decline in pig prices, so that many pig farmers chilled, but some pig farmers are optimistic about the market in the second half of this year, the number of pig farms began to increase, the demand for corn at the feed end increased, stimulating corn prices to rise.

However, for the follow-up corn price, the industry's more unified view is that it is difficult to rise and fall, mainly in a narrow range adjustment, especially in the market that is difficult to rise and fall a few years ago. After the year, there will be an increase in the amount of grass-roots grain, traders and manufacturers will replenish warehouses and build warehouses, prices will be stable and slightly fluctuated, and after April, the surplus grain at the grass-roots level will decrease, and traders will hold grain prices to rise.

Egg prices remain stable

The rise in pig prices and corn prices did not affect egg prices, egg prices fell steadily, of which Pudong and Puxi in Shanghai fell by 0.11 yuan and 0.7 yuan respectively, Guangzhou in Guangdong fell by 0.05 yuan, Henan Shangqiu fell by 0.03 yuan, and other regions remained basically stable.

The supply of eggs has been affected by the triple impact of weather, Spring Festival and epidemic prevention and control, resulting in a decrease in the supply of eggs in the sales area. Egg prices have not fallen because near the end of the year, many urban workers returned to their hometowns for the New Year, and the demand for eggs in large cities weakened, and in this state of two-phase offsetting, short-term egg prices are likely to remain stable.

Wheat faces a new crisis

Judging from the above analysis, the price of corn, pigs and eggs a few years ago either rose or remained stable, that is not to say that millet prices can also usher in a stable rise in the market, of course, not, follow-up wheat will encounter two "new crises":

With the end of household flour stocking, flour demand will gradually turn cold, which is not conducive to the continuous high operation of wheat prices.

Crisis two, the Spring Festival is approaching, the grass-roots flour enterprises are basically completed, enterprises will be stopped one after another, and wheat demand will be cold. In addition, on the 26th, a new round of reserve grain auction will be held in the middle of the grain reserve, the wheat auction turnover rate on January 19 is 93.67%, on January 19, the wheat auction turnover rate is 91.52%, and the turnover rate of the two auctions is above 90%, indicating that the auction of the grain reserve will have a greater impact on the wheat market.

It is expected that the ideal state of wheat years ago will be to maintain a relatively stable state, and wheat prices are likely to decline to a certain extent as the demand side falls in the next year.