This is a good thing to use our old saying, a fall into the rice tank, up and down is a mystery!
As for those who are reconciled and do not make peace, we will put aside, but one thing is certain, that is, the result of the Hundred Regiments War brought shock and extreme shock to Chiang Kai-shek.
His shock was not to say anything else, but to find that the Eighth Route Army had only eight regiments in the initial formation of the army, and in a short period of time, it was possible to gather one hundred and five regiments to beat up the Japanese.
This speed.
So we can see in history that Chiang Kai-shek began to ponder the comprehensive suppression of the Eighth Route Army and the New Fourth Army, and this became a thing he put on his mind.
Among other things, the Anhui Incident that occurred to the New Fourth Army is an example.
You know, the Battle of the Hundred Regiments began on August 20, 1940, and ended on December 15, 1940.
The Anhui Incident, which occurred on January 6, 1941, was besieged by more than 80,000 Kuomintang troops, and only more than 2,000 people successfully broke through. Following Chiang Kai-shek, he announced the cancellation of the new Fourth Army.
Speaking of this, it is estimated that some friends will ask: "Is this related to the topic?" ”
It doesn't matter, at least it can explain the origin of the subject's problem. Do you see this also foreign invasion? Little Japan is right in front of us to fight and die? Chiang Kai-shek began to ponder the matter of targeting the Communist Party.
Therefore, many people inevitably have an idea that if there is no victory in the Hundred Regiments War, Chiang Kai-shek will not make peace with the Japanese.
So let's analyze this matter.
First of all, let's look at a situation at home and abroad at that time.
First domestically.
The Battle of Wuhan was over, and the First Battle of Changsha was over. These two events occurred in June 1938 and September 1939, respectively.
Everyone knows that before the Battle of Wuhan, on the frontal battlefield of the Anti-Japanese War, the Kuomintang troops were basically in a process of defeat and retreat. Even if there is a victory, but there are not many highlights, for example, the Battle of Taierzhuang, although it was won, killed a lot of Japanese, but fought very hard.
Then by the time of the Battle of Wuhan, the Casualties of the Japanese had reached 257,000.
This is a very surprising number, although the result is that the Japanese won, but it is also a result caused by our voluntary withdrawal from Wuhan.
The significance of this battle was that the Japanese were sharpened. After all, the offensive requires troops, and in the face of such a large number of casualties, the gap in the offensive troops will appear, which is bound to cause the momentum of the offensive to decline.
To use an inappropriate analogy, the attacking party has a spear and a shield to attack fiercely, and as a result, in the process of fighting, the opponent breaks the spear, leaving a stick, which must be reduced in combat effectiveness, if you take his stick away, he will be left with a share of defense.
After the Soviet-German battlefield was fought in a battle for the defense of Stalingrad, why did the Germans lose the strategic initiative? That is because the German offensive forces were completely destroyed, there were some defensive troops and mobile reserves left.
Therefore, the defense of Stalingrad was a turning point in World War II, and there was nothing wrong with it.
Then the Japanese after the Battle of Wuhan, the same as this reason, but they are not as miserable as the Germans, still have a stick in their hands, or can take the initiative to challenge, but this challenge is not as sharp as the early days of the War of Resistance.
This led to the First Battle of Changsha, the Japanese could only pull out 100,000 troops to attack Changsha, and as a result, Xue Yue gave these guys a heavenly furnace method of warfare, and this burned, and the good guys suffered more than 30,000 casualties.
Speaking of this, it is estimated that a small partner will ask: "When people ask you about the Hundred Regiments War, why did you get involved in the Battle of Wuhan and the First Battle of Changsha that happened before?" ”
In fact, this is to tell the big guys that the Japanese can't move, and he also began to think about it, and he couldn't take it down on the frontal battlefield, so he began to take some crooked ways.
For example, you sent all kinds of spies, dug walls and feet everywhere, cultivated traitors and traitors, and finally pulled away one of the biggest traitors, Wang Jingwei.
There are also all kinds of local miscellaneous cards, large and small warlords such as Shi Yousan and other surrendered Japanese, and even more they put on top hats for themselves, engaging in what curves to save the country, the typical example is zhang Mengwu in Hebei.
Or, in the case of a five-year bombing of Chongqing with an airplane, more than two hundred bombs before and after, for which the Japanese flew nearly 10,000 sorties.
In this case, the negotiations between the Japanese and the Nationalist government will certainly be a path for the Japanese to take.
After all, the front bar, he really can't move. Why? He wanted to bomb and create the Nanjing Massacre, and he wanted to use bloody massacres and force to intimidate the Nationalist government to take this step.
Speaking of this, it is estimated that some friends have to say: "Your example is too far away, and the nanjing massacre occurred even earlier!" ”
It's early! But you must know that the Japanese strategy is also slowly changing, you turn over the all-out war of resistance and the initial battle of the Japanese combat, the Japanese casualty figures will be clear.
At the beginning, every battle of the Japanese, his casualties, that is, thousands of people, but after the second cooperation between the Kuomintang and the Communists and entering the all-out war of resistance, the casualties of the Japanese were more than 10,000.
The Japanese were beaten up, so his attitude was slowly changing, and you don't forget that at the beginning they were going to destroy Great China in three months, but what happened? Then it wasn't shut up.
After the Battle of Wuhan, they were completely awake, oh, they couldn't move.
So what is the situation at this end of our Chinese?
You can say you are confused!
Some people feel that the War of Resistance Against Japan will soon end and that it would be called the theory of quick victory if the Japanese were beaten back to the island; others felt that they would not be able to defeat Japan at all, very pessimistic, and there were not many of them, otherwise there would not have been so many traitors at this point, who would have been pulled over by the Japanese.
At that time, Chairman Mao wrote the famous "On Protracted War" in view of this situation, which was to eliminate some of people's pessimism.
At that time, as soon as "On Protracted War" came out, the big guys understood that the final result of this war china was the final winner, but this war would not end in the short term, and it was necessary to make long-term plans.
Overall, this is one such situation in the country.
So let's look at the international situation.
The international community pursues isolationism, not to mention the United States squatting on the other side of the ocean, whether you are good or not, he does not care, as long as he is good, whoever gives money will do business with whom.
The reason why the Germans and the Japanese were able to launch such a large-scale war was that the United States had a lot of goods behind it. Many of the bombs that the Japanese dropped on Chinese soil were provided by the Americans.
What about the British? On May 25, 1940, a Dunkirk evacuation was fought by the Germans to the British Isles and waited for help.
The British only wanted to draw blood from the colonies and replenish their own blood, and they were not interested in anything else at all.
Let's not say anything else, the Japanese threatened the British with the three or eight big covers, they threatened his colonies, and the good guys and the British immediately closed the Burma Highway.
As for the French, you must not mention it, they surrendered without giving the Germans the opportunity to see the Eiffel Tower, and even if de Gaulle formed a government-in-exile, only the British would recognize it, and few other countries would recognize it.
As soon as the Japanese threatened, the good Guys and the French closed the Vietnamese passage, and at that time, China's purchase of supplies was particularly difficult.
What about the USSR? The Soviet Union signed the Soviet-German Non-Aggression Pact with the Germans before the First Battle of Changsha, and the Soviet Union temporarily avoided the German front.
Moreover, before the First Battle of Changsha, the Soviet Union and the Japanese fought a fight at Nomonkan, and the Japanese were beaten to the point that their noses were blue and their faces were swollen and they could not find the north.
The Japanese are like that, if your fist is hard enough, he will kneel at you for hundreds of years, thousands of years.
Among other things, during the Tang Dynasty, a naval battle at the mouth of the Baijiang River beat the Japanese honestly for a thousand years, and every year they ran to the ground to pay tribute and study. Later, he was not honest, and when he arrived at the Ming Dynasty, he was beaten again, and he was honest for hundreds of years.
When it came to the Qing Dynasty, the Qing Dynasty was beaten, and the Japanese talents rose up, abandoned the Chinese teacher, went to study Europe, and tossed out the idea of breaking away from Asia and entering Europe.
This is a bit of a stretch, just to give an example to the big guys.
So after the Japanese were frightened by the Soviets, they began to dig hills on the border line to repair bunkers, and the whole thing shrank into the belly of the mountain.
Then there was the Japan-Soviet Neutrality Treaty, which, although signed in 1941, was actually drafted as early as October 1940.
So this is the case in the Soviet Union, so the Soviet Union's attitude toward China has also changed, aid has decreased, and the look in our eyes is not right.
What is isolationism, each sweeping the snow in front of his own door, who loves whom.
To sum up
During the Hundred Regiments War, the Kuomintang was generally defeated and retreated on the frontal battlefield, resulting in a very confused idea among the Chinese people and not knowing where the road was.
What about internationally? Small countries have no say, and the British and Americans in larger countries hold their arms and look at them coldly, as long as their lives can go on, others are good or not, they don't care.
As for the Soviet Union, because of the containment of all parties, a temporary balance phenomenon was created, and Germany and the Soviet Union shook hands and made peace, and also moved against Poland.
The Japanese were repaired again, the Soviets temporarily maintained a security, and his assistance to China shrank.
Then, in this case, the morale of the country is bound to decline, and the victory of the Hundred Regiments War is to tell all the people that the Japanese are not terrible, and in our family's territory, are they still afraid of him?
You must know that at that time, the weapons of the Eighth Route Army were even worse than those of the Nationalist Army, and this was won, so in the long run, the Japanese would be doomed sooner or later.
Next, let's see if there was any contact between Japan and the Kuomintang.
Earlier in 1935, there was the infamous HoMei Agreement, when the Japanese Sakai Takashi took off his shoes, laid them on the table, and kept tapping the table with a knife.
The attitude is quite bad.
In the future, there was still contact between Japan and the Kuomintang, for example, on September 17, 1940.
But this kind of contact already has a bottom card here in the Kuomintang, after all, the Japanese can't move, and this waist pole is a little harder. The Japanese want to swallow The Great Huaxia in one gulp, and besides, the Japanese are basically tied up by the Japanese soldiers who pursue militarism, so their attitude towards the Nationalist government is still tough.
The contacts between the two sides are bound to have no good results.
And time is no longer with the Japanese, it has passed into the hands of our Chinese, and the longer it drags on, the weaker the Japanese become. Otherwise they wouldn't have rushed to Attack Pearl Harbor to tease the Americans.
Therefore, it should be looked at as a small editor that there is contact between the two sides, and the Kuomintang is more willing to delay time through this kind of contact, and as for peace, there is a possibility, but it is unlikely.
The reason why it is possible is because the international situation is not good and the pressure of the Kuomintang is relatively large. As long as the Kuomintang can hold on the frontal battlefield and do not allow the Japanese to have too much room for advancement, the Kuomintang will not nod too much to the Japanese.
And through the First Battle of Changsha, the Second Battle of Changsha, and the Third Battle of Changsha, we have seen the fatigue and confidence of the Japanese for three consecutive times.
Of course, he was defeated by the Japanese for the fourth time, but it was also caused by Chiang Kai-shek taking too many troops from Changsha in order to make a statement for the Americans and the British.
Anyway, the Japanese couldn't move.