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With the continuous advancement of technology, artificial intelligence has shown great business potential in fields such as healthcare, finance, and manufacturing, providing enterprises with more efficient solutions. However, the development of AI also faces some challenges, including privacy protection, data security, ethics and other issues, which need to be solved by the joint efforts of governments, enterprises and society. In addition, the development of artificial intelligence may also lead to the disappearance of some traditional jobs, which will have a certain impact on the job market.
On Thursday local time in the United States, Li Feifei, a Chinese-American artificial intelligence scientist and professor at Stanford University, appeared at the Bloomberg Technology Summit held in San Francisco and had an in-depth discussion with senior technology reporter Emily Zhang on hot issues such as the safety and ethics of artificial intelligence. In the interview, Li Feifei first showed an open attitude towards being given the title of "AI godmother", she mentioned: "Although this is not my personal pursuit, it does reflect our need to recognize women's leadership in the field of technology. I hope this will be a catalyst to inspire more women to step up on the tech stage and shape the diverse future of the industry. ”
Regarding AI ethics and policy, Li Feifei clearly pointed out: "We must be soberly aware that the progress of AI is like a double-edged sword, which brings convenience and efficiency, but may also lead to complex problems such as privacy leakage and changes in employment structure." Therefore, strengthening public education, raising a general understanding of AI technology, and establishing a transparent and accountable regulatory system are indispensable parts of protecting the well-being of society. ”
Regarding the risks of AI, she said, "I am more concerned about the more urgent and catastrophic social risks. I am also concerned about the over-hype about the risk of human extinction. They're more like plots out of science fiction, although it does make us think."
Looking back at the development of the artificial intelligence industry:
-- The artificial intelligence industry is in a stage of rapid development
Compared with the development process of international artificial intelligence, the mainland artificial intelligence industry started late, germinating in 1978. With the rapid development of the Internet and the iterative update of technology, the artificial intelligence industry has gone through a period of exploration and growth in the past nearly 20 years, and is currently in a stage of rapid development. The 13th Five-Year Plan for National Science and Technology Innovation issued by the State Council in 2016 clearly mentions that artificial intelligence will be listed as a major scientific and technological project at the national strategic level. In 2020, the "14th Five-Year Plan" pointed out that artificial intelligence, as an important part of the construction of "new infrastructure", will be the core driving force of a new round of industrial transformation, shouldering the goal of promoting the transformation and upgrading of the trillion-dollar real economy industry.
-- Artificial intelligence has a wide range of application scenarios, and the Internet and financial industries have the highest penetration
In recent years, artificial intelligence technology is being applied to different scenarios, mainly including security, finance, transportation, logistics, healthcare, retail and other fields. Due to the different levels of scenario complexity, technology maturity, and data disclosure, the penetration of AI technology in each scenario is also different. According to IDC data, the top five industries in terms of application penetration in Chinese's artificial intelligence industry in 2022 are the Internet, finance, government, telecommunications and manufacturing, among which the growth rate of artificial intelligence applications in the financial and telecommunications industries is more obvious.
-- Artificial intelligence investment and financing activities have entered a relative cooling-off period
The investment and financing activities of Chinese's artificial intelligence industry experienced rapid growth from 2012 to 2018, with the financing amount reaching 266.8 billion yuan and 1,396 investment events in 2018. In 2021, it reached a record high, with the financing amount increasing to 476.1 billion yuan and 1,362 investment events. In 2022, the investment and financing activities of Chinese's artificial intelligence industry will enter a relatively cooling-off period, with the number and amount of investment and financing showing a downward trend, with the financing amount falling to 173.1 billion yuan and the number of investment events decreasing to 963. In 2023, the investment and financing activities of the artificial intelligence industry will pick up, with investment events declining but the financing scale increasing, with the financing amount reaching 263.1 billion yuan. As of December 14, 2023, a total of 10,110 investment events have occurred in Chinese's artificial intelligence industry, with a total financing amount of 3,776.2 billion yuan. Among them, the investment events were mainly concentrated in the fields of enterprise services, advanced manufacturing and automobile transportation, accounting for 38%, 31% and 13% respectively.
-- The market size of the artificial intelligence industry
Benefiting from the support of national policies and the drive of capital and talents, the mainland's artificial intelligence industry has flourished and has entered the forefront of the world. According to data released by the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology, the scale of the mainland's artificial intelligence industry began to grow rapidly from 2019, with a year-on-year increase of 33.3% in 2021 and a year-on-year increase of 18% in 2022 to 508 billion yuan. According to preliminary statistics, the scale will reach 578.4 billion yuan in 2023, and the growth rate will slow down to 13.9%.
According to the report of the Prospective Industry Research Institute, the continuous innovation of artificial intelligence technology has promoted the in-depth development of application scenarios, and has led to a wave of technology represented by AIGC, digital human, multimodal, AI large model, and intelligent decision-making. These cutting-edge technologies inject a wide range of possibilities and great potential into the market, and at the same time, enterprises' active promotion of their own digitalization and digital transformation has also generated a demand for the diversity of AI technologies, laying a solid foundation for the long-term growth of Chinese's artificial intelligence market. According to forward-looking estimates, during the period from 2024 to 2029, the market size of the mainland artificial intelligence industry will be further expanded, and the market size will exceed the trillion mark in 2029, achieving the scale target of 1,000 billion yuan in 2030 in the "New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan" ahead of schedule.
Zhao Jingwu, assistant dean and associate professor of the Law School of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, said that a country's legal regulation of artificial intelligence not only affects its own industrial development and risk governance, but also determines the country's voice in global artificial intelligence governance. At the same time, in the context of globalization, the transnational nature of the development and application of artificial intelligence technology also requires the international community to jointly face and solve the challenges brought about by technological development.
Prospective Economist APP Information Group
For more research and analysis of this industry, please refer to the "Analysis Report on the Development Prospect Forecast and Investment Strategic Planning of China's AIGC Industry" by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute.
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