When Taiwan's 2024 polls were closed, the prediction of the results of the "legislator" was released, and Han Kuo-yu's appointment as the head of the legislature was stable.
According to the closure forecast of the Internet thermometer, the KMT is expected to win 54 seats in the legislature, the DPP 48 seats in the legislature, the People's Party 8 seats, and the non-party membership 3 seats. According to this result, the Kuomintang has established the largest party in the legal body, but the three parties are less than half. In this case, with Han Kuo-yu as a link, the blue and white can be achieved in the legislature. With the relationship between Han Kuo-yu and Ko Wenzhe, it is not difficult to become the head of the legislature. Objectively analyzed, if it were not for the commitment of the head of the legislature, Han Kuo-yu had run for the leadership of the Taiwan region, and the relationship with Hou Youyi was not good, so why would he wade into the troubled waters of the 2024 election?
Speaking of the Internet thermometer's customs closure data on the "legislator" election, and then talking about the customs closure data for the election of the leader of the Taiwan region, Lai Xiaopei's election rate is 38.33%, Hou Kang's election rate is 37.06%, and Ke Ying's election rate is only 24.61%. Combined with the closed polls of other institutions, Lai Qingde and Hou Youyi are in the stage of twisting twists. In this context, Hou Youyi should show the determination to break the boat, that is, to resign as mayor of New Taipei. If Hou Youyi does not dare to resign as mayor of New Taipei, it means that he has no determination to win the election, how can he snatch the supporters of the People's Party? In the 2022 Taipei mayoral election, Jiang Wanan resigned as a "legislator" ahead of schedule and finally defeated Chen Shizhong and Huang Shanshan.
Even if Hou Youyi does not resign, if he loses in 2024, will there be a future? After losing in 2020, Han Kuo-yu was removed from the post of mayor of Kaohsiung by the Democratic Progressive Party. Zhu Lilun also lost the election in 2016, although he was not recalled, but it was not that the DPP did not want to recall, but the threshold was a little low at that time. According to Taiwan's latest rules, as long as more than 25% of eligible voters vote, and more than 50% of the voters who vote agree, the current county mayor can be removed. What is Hou Youyi still thinking, did he still leave a way back for himself, thinking that he lost the election of the leader of the Taiwan region, and he could continue to be the mayor of New Taipei for the next election?
