Kaohsiung fire affects Chen Qimai's re-election? Taiwan media: The Blues need to find a strong challenger Zhang Yazhong, who has high will but no high fire responsibility, and has not yet emerged as the focus of the election attack and defense, Chen Qimai

After Chen Qimai, the dpp's governor of Kaohsiung, took office in a by-election, he was originally optimistic that there would be no suspense for re-election next year, but unexpectedly, the fire in the "city within a city" dealt a heavy blow to political prestige. However, the Blues were seriously injured after the removal of former governor Han Hanyu, and even if some people were named one after another, they were not in the climate, and it was expected that they would not be able to get benefits.

<h1 class= "pgc-h-arrow-right" > Zhang Yazhong has a high willingness but not a high voice</h1>

The KMT challenged Kaohsiung's city chief candidate to "Chuanbo" Li Sichuan, who had the highest acceptance among the Blue Army supporters, but during the "boycott of Han", he once stated that if Han was deposed, it would be the entire Han team that was deposed, and he was one of the deputies, so he was not convincing, so his personal willingness has not been high.

Recently, due to the election of the chairman of the Kuomintang, one of the candidates, Zhang Yazhong, has exploded, and for the Blue Army iron fans, he is optimistic about his explosive power, and has the starting style of "copying" the "Korean Wave" phenomenon in 2018. However, Zhang Yazhong has publicly stated that he cannot think from a human point of view to the representative of Kaohsiung, which is equivalent to giving a "soft nail".

In addition to the Kuomintang, the recent names of the outside world who can compete with Kaohsiung's commanders are Gao Jinsumei, a "legislator" of non-party minorities, and Ke Wenzhe, the minister of Taipei who is also the chairman of the People's Party, but the parties concerned have expressed no ideas or clarifications on this, and Chen Qimai, who has been "fighting for two years and four years", cannot find an opponent next year for a while.

<H1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" > fire responsibility into the focus of the election offensive and defensive attack</h1>

The outside world had expected that after Chen Qimai took office in the by-election in August last year, he had not been bad at defending the epidemic for more than a year, but a fire in the "city within a city" not only burned the biggest disaster in Kaohsiung's history, but also burned out a series of public safety questions. Even though blue and green have governed for 40 years, the fires have now occurred during Chen Qimai's presidency, which still triggers political attacks and defenses.

In particular, when Chen Qimai went to the political discussion program 10 years ago, he died on the Taichung nightclub fire alarm 9 times, choking on the political responsibility of the administrative officer is to step down, becoming a breakthrough for the Blue Army to directly attack how he should bear political responsibility.

In other words, the "city within the city" fire not only burned out the safety of the basic skills of the city, but also dealt a blow to Chen Qimai's political prestige, and the biggest doubt did not come from others, but from what he himself said 10 years ago.

< h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" > Chen Qimai's opponent has not yet emerged</h1>

For Chen Qimai, what is more favorable for next year's election is that the KMT, which has the largest "opposition party, at present," has not yet been able to find a challenger. On the other hand, if Kaohsiung voters want to vote, if they cannot form a blue-green duel of equal strength, under the premise of cold election, it is generally expected that the re-elected will sing a one-man show.

Analyzing the last three Kaohsiung mayoral elections, Chen Ju received nearly one million votes in 2014 as the highest in the past, less than 4 months before the vote that year, and 32 deaths in Kaohsiung, but Chen Ju still swept Yang Qiuxing, who was nominated by the Kuomintang, with nearly 70% of the votes. Prove that if the opponent is not a threat, even if a major disaster occurs, it is impossible to influence the middle voters, kaohsiung is still green camp.

After the former Kaohsiung City was laid down by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Hsieh Chang-ting in 1998, it was not until 2018 that it was swept away by the "Korean Wave". The former Kaohsiung County, after Yu Chen Yueying's victory in 1985, began the yu jiaban ruling era, counting from 2018 after the merger of the county, the DPP ruled in Greater Kaohsiung for 20 or 30 years.

After Chen Qimai won the DEMOCRATIC Progressive Party primary election in 2018, he was optimistic about continuing the lifeblood of the Green Camp's rule, but unexpectedly encountered the Kuomintang's strange soldier Han Hanyu three months before the election, and finally Chen lost 742,239 votes to Han's 892,545 votes, which is also the lowest in the Green Camp Mayor Election after the merger of the county market, with a vote rate from 68.08% to 44.79%.

In the 2020 Kaohsiung City Mayor by-election, Chen Qimai 671,804 votes, Kuomintang Li Meizhen 248,478 votes, the People's Party Wu Yizheng 38,960 votes, the Green Camp's vote rate rose to 40%, not only returned to the fundamentals of green big blue small, from the two election analysis in 2018 and 2020, it also shows that the middle voters in Kaohsiung are at least about 25%.

With about 1.5 million votes cast in Kaohsiung, 25 percent equals about 375,000 middle voters, and the DPP still has Chen Qimai as its greatest common denominator more than a year before next year's election. But for the KMT or other "opposition parties," who can threaten their opponents? I am afraid that this is the most realistic problem at present. (Source: Zhongshi News Network)