On June 25, 1950, the Korean War officially broke out. At that time, the leader of North Korea, Kim Il Sung, in order to deal with Rhee In South Korea and thus achieve the goal of unifying Korea by force, exchanged 9 tons of gold, 40 tons of silver and 15,000 tons of other ore for weapons and ammunition worth 138 million rubles and equipped with three divisions of weapons and ammunition from the Soviet Union.
At the same time, Kim Il Sung requested that three Korean divisions (formerly the 156th, 164th, and 166th Divisions) of the Chinese People's Liberation Army be transferred to the Korean People's Army and incorporated into korea with equipment.
The three divisions, tempered by the fierce fire of the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the War of Liberation, greatly enhanced the combat effectiveness of the Korean People's Army. For more than two months, Kim Il Sung commanded the Korean People's Army, using the power of the Raku to destroy the South Korean army and throw away its armor, squeezing the forces of Syngman Rhee of South Korea to a corner of the southeastern part of the Korean Peninsula.
Kim Jong-il seemed to be seeing that his ambition to reunify Korea was about to come true.
However, the Americans intervened, their troops landed in the Inchon area, and then the so-called "United Nations Forces" marched into Korea one after another, and the entire Korean War was reversed, and the situation developed in a direction unfavorable to North Korea's Kim Il Sung.
The deteriorating situation in the Korean War forced China to face the Aggressors led by the United States; under our repeated warnings that "no one is allowed to cross the 38th Line," the "United Nations Army" led by the United States still brazenly ignored it and crossed the 38th Line and advanced to the vicinity of the Yalu River; some cities in northeast China were bombed, and US warplanes even went deep into the Shandong Peninsula to harass them.
On October 19, the Chinese Volunteer Army officially entered Korea, and a vigorous War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea officially began.
Let's imagine that if Kim Il Sung had been able to send enough troops to the Inchon area and effectively prevent the US landing, then the Korean People's Army would not have fallen into passivity so quickly, and the direction of the Korean War would not have changed so much.
Everyone in the world knows that before the US military landed in Inchon, our side repeatedly reminded Kim Il Sung to pay attention to strengthening the defense of this area, but it did not attract Kim's attention, and Chinese prediction of the "US landing in Inchon" was not a vacuum, but a scientific analysis. This accurate prediction was initially not made by the Supreme Commander, but by an ordinary combat officer.
Lei Yingfu, also known as Leiting Chen, is a native of Leihe Village, Mengjin County, Luoyang City, Henan Province. During the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, he was praised by Chairman Mao as a "talented son of Luoyang" and recommended to Chief of Staff Ye Jianying as a military secretary. After the founding of New China, he served as the military secretary of Premier Zhou Enlai, deputy director of the First Bureau of the Operations Department of the Central Military Commission and director of the War Office of the General Staff Department, and later deputy director of the Operations Department of the General Staff Department, deputy director of the Education Department of the Platon Logistics College, and was promoted to major general in 1961.
In August 1950, just as the Korean People's Army was gaining momentum, Ray Yingfu put forward his own judgment: the US military would soon carry out an amphibious landing in Korea and further invade the Korean Peninsula.
Why would Rayingv say that? He mainly analyzed the following reasons:
At that time, the U.S. army and Rhee Rhee's army in South Korea, a total of 13 divisions, were assembled in the Luodong River Delta of the Korean Peninsula. The area here is small, and it is in the waterside beachhead, which is not conducive to attacking or defending, but the US army and the South Korean army have insisted on making a dead-end appearance, which is completely contrary to the law of war and even more contrary to common sense.
Second, since the United States defeated the Japanese fascist army in 1945 and occupied Japan, it has not carried out any other military action. However, in recent times, the US military has gathered the strength of two divisions to form the 10th Army, but the 10th Army has not been deployed and stationed, but has carried out daily surprise landing operations. At that time, the entire territory of Japan was under the control of the US military, and the Japanese army had been forcibly disbanded. The appearance of the 10th Army and combat exercises clearly had other purposes.
After World War II, the fleets of the US army and the British army, which had been wandering in the Mediterranean and pacific for a long time, were quietly moving closer to the Korean Strait, and while cheering for the Syngman Rhee clique, the number of soldiers on board far exceeded the general naval personnel allocation.
MacArthur, who was the commander of the U.S. Pacific and Japanese occupation forces, was an excellent master of amphibious operations, and in the war against Japan, he invented the "island-jumping tactic" and successfully commanded 11 amphibious landings. He is precisely the one who advocates intervening in the situation on the Korean Peninsula, and he is a die-hard anti-communist figure.
When Lei Yingfu put forward his opinion to Premier Zhou, Premier Zhou attached great importance to it, and he immediately took Lei Yingfu to the Juxiang Bookstore in Zhongnanhai to report to Chairman Mao. After listening to his analysis, Chairman Mao frequently nodded his head and further asked: "There are many areas suitable for landing on the west coast of North Korea, so where do you think the US military is most likely to land?" ”
"Incheon Port." Without hesitation, Rayyingv replied, "The landing conditions of Incheon Port are very poor, there is no seashore near it, only a mud island up to 3.2 kilometers wide, and the tide difference is very large, with an average tide difference of 6.9 meters, and at high tide, the tide difference is more than 10 meters." There is a curved channel here, 2 km wide, about 90 km long and more than 10 meters deep. If U.S. troops want to land from this area, they can only take advantage of the high tide and the full tide in the evening. ”
Chairman Mao further asked, "So, if you analyze it, when will the US troops land?" ”
Rayingoff continued the landing time of the US troops: there were three suitable time points for landing, namely September 15, October 11, and November 2, and the tide occurred at these three time points. Since the Yellow Sea monsoon was very strong after October and the ships were extremely difficult to navigate, only September 15 was the most suitable for landing.
Chairman Mao's analysis, based on geographical and meteorological scientific data, was meticulous and clear, and Chairman Mao greatly agreed with it after hearing this; he thought that this was a strategic issue worthy of attention, and immediately ordered someone to send a telegram to Stalin and to inform Kim Il Sung, hoping that he would send heavy troops to defend the port of Inchon and make full preparations.
It is a pity that this intelligence analysis from our side did not attract attention, especially Kim Il Sung did not take it to heart, when the Korean People's Army was victorious one after another, Kim Il Sung had already seen the dawn of the final victory, and naturally felt that our reminder was somewhat "superfluous."
In this way, a strategic opportunity that could rewrite the direction of the Korean War passed quietly, just as the Japanese-compiled "Korean War" pointed out: Whether the Inchon landing was a success or a failure can be said to be first of all in the psychology of the North Korean army and in the heart of Kim Il Sung.