The situation in Eastern Europe is changing, and between Ukraine and Russia, a pair of former brothers, swords and swords are facing each other, and it seems that just a small spark can detonate the situation.
The most bizarre thing in this matter is the attitude of the United States. Since last year, this round of crisis in Ukraine has intensified, and it is clear that the United States is planning to promote it. In other words, it is the United States that triggers the crisis of war.
Now seeing that war may really break out, the United States is angry and corrupt to stop the war, and the US and Western media are overwhelmingly rendering that Russia may send troops to Ukraine, in fact, it is to use public opinion pressure to force Russia to make a commitment not to invade Ukraine.
Whether or not this plan works, the U.S. government does not want to really let Russia and Ukraine go to war. After all, when the arrow is not shot, it is the time when the threat is greatest. If russia is really forced to move, the chips in the hands of the United States are useless.
But then there is a paradox. It was the United States that provoked this round of Ukraine crisis and pushed Russia and Ukraine into war. It is also the United States that has now stepped forward to prevent the real outbreak of war. Isn't this just taking off your pants and putting it in there, in vain?
Next, let's uncover the truth behind the fog of this matter.
To understand why the situation in Ukraine has developed to this point, we must first understand what benefits the United States, as the driving force behind the scenes, wants to gain in this Ukrainian crisis.
On the surface, the United States has co-opted Ukraine and provoked relations between Russia and Ukraine, of course, in order to sanction Russia.
But today's Russia is neither the Soviet Union that rivaled the United States during the Cold War; nor is it 2014
A few years ago, under Putin's slogan of "give me 20 years and give you a strong Russia", it quickly recovered, and at one time the per capita GDP was close to 20,000 US dollars, and Russia was at its peak for 30 years.
On the contrary, after several years of sanctions in Europe and the United States, Russia's economy is almost cut off, and if it were not for trade with a large eastern country to continue its life, the economy would almost collapse.
The economic base determines the superstructure, the economic situation is not good, and the most direct consequence is that the domestic people's minds have changed, and with the tough wrist of Emperor Pu, it is still impossible to avoid Alexei Navalny, which is the opposition supported by Europe and the United States, which is an example.
In a word, Russia does not have any oil and water now, and using Ukraine to touch Russia's bottom line will not be of any benefit to the United States except for forcing Russia to break the jar and break it, "and die with You".
So it's clear that the reason for wanting to use Ukraine and beat Russia to death with a stick doesn't hold water.
So why does the United States have to win over Ukraine and put a knife in Russia's eyeballs? In fact, this matter has something to do with the big countries in the East. At present, the comprehensive national strength of the United States is weak, and if it wants to encircle our country, it cannot be done on its own strength alone. Under this reality, the United States naturally wants to find helpers.
Globally, there is only one force that can help the United States in terms of economic strength without much revolt, and there is only one, that is, the European Union. So the so-called "reorganization of the US alliance system" came.
The problem is that the EU is not a fool, people also have their own interests, it is impossible for you to believe what the United States says. In the matter of encircling the great powers in the East, the interests of Europe and the United States are not consistent. Therefore, the EU ostensibly cooperates with the United States to sanction china, but in fact, it does not contribute to the work, but wants to make a profit.
This is naturally detrimental to the global strategy of the United States. In order to bind the EU and make the EU, once the little brother, become "obedient", then it is a good way to mention the Russian threat and make the EU have to ask the United States.
Speaking of this, the reason why the United States has provoked contradictions between Russia and Ukraine is obvious: that is, to use the Ukrainian crisis to bring pressure to the European Union, and finally achieve the goal of the Eu and the United States being deeply bound and only the United States taking the lead.
To achieve this goal, the EU must feel the pressure of Russia's external expansion and force Russia to use force against Ukraine, which is a concrete manifestation.
But the use of force is not the same as the use of force. Like Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, covert rivalry is a way to use force. And letting Ukraine and Russia, the whole country fight, is another way.
For the United States, obviously the first way is a little better. It can not only achieve the separation of Russian-European relations and force the EU to obey the purposes of the United States, but also avoid involving the United States itself in war and bring greater losses.
The second way, although it can also achieve the goal of binding the European Union, but Russia and Ukraine really have a large-scale confrontation and launch a national war, and the United States, as the leader of NATO, cannot hide from it at all. This is not something that Biden can count when he says that we will not intervene militarily. At that time, the situation will force the United States to get involved, and even if it does not directly participate in the war, it is inevitable to support proxy wars like Syria.
At present, if the United States really has the economic strength to support a proxy war in Eastern Europe, it will not withdraw its troops from the Middle East.
To sum up, the promotion of relations between Ukraine and Russia is indeed the handiwork of the United States. But in terms of overall U.S. interests, the best way is to lead without actually letting Ukraine and Russia fight.
So why aren't things going in the direction the U.S. government wants?
There are many reasons why the situation in Ukraine has not developed in the direction that the United States Government wants. The simplest example is Russia's subjective initiative.
The United States is certainly one of the chess players in the struggle between the parties in Eastern Europe, but not everything is up to him. At least Russia will not follow the command of the United States. And this process of game between the two sides will naturally produce collisions, and eventually promote the Pattern of the Middle East to gradually break away from the control of the US government.
But similar reasons are secondary factors, and what really pushes things beyond the control of the U.S. government is actually their own internal divisions.
The reason is very simple, if the United States is united in its heart, then the game between Russia and the United States is a competition of comprehensive national strength between the two sides, and Russia is at a disadvantage and cannot shake the layout of the United States.
Now that there are differences within the United States, the strength of 10 points can only use 3 points, and naturally there is no way to control the development of the situation. So who is internally distracting the U.S. government?
In the case of the Ukraine crisis, a very important problem encountered by the US government is the US military-industrial complex. The U.S. government is only trying to get ready to go, forcing Russia to make concessions, and the EU is subordinate to itself.
However, the military-industrial complex really hopes to promote war between Russia and Ukraine, and then whether it is selling weapons to Eastern European countries or trying to find a way to ask for military expenses from the US government and share the cake, it is much greater than simply introducing it and not issuing it, and the benefits obtained are much greater.
In the past two days, the Russian defense minister has spoken to the outside world, saying that the US private military company, in order to support Ukraine's provocation of Russia, has smuggled in some chemical agents.
In layman's terms, this is the Russian defense minister, suspecting the U.S. military-industrial complex, to supply Ukraine with "chemical weapons."
This news cannot be determined to be true or false, but the will of the US military-industrial complex to support the Ukrainian military and try to push the situation in the direction of war is most likely true.
The U.S. military-industrial complex is a very general concept. To put it simply, it is arms dealers, arms manufacturing companies, and so on. For them, only by constantly waging wars and selling arms can they make money. Therefore, peddling war is an inevitable choice.
In the past, when the United States did not withdraw its troops from the Middle East, these people were busy in Afghanistan, sharing the 2 trillion US dollars spent by the US government, stealing other people's oil in Syria and Iraq, so they could have a heart with the US government. Now that the United States is constantly withdrawing its troops from the Middle East in order to shrink strategically, the channel for military-industrial complexes to pay has become narrower, and it will naturally find ways to plan new wars.
In fact, in order to reach a compromise with these people, the new US government has not spared no less effort, the most typical of which is to rob the French and Australian submarine contracts, which is almost obviously to seek benefits for the military-industrial complex.
But the tens of billions of dollars in submarine contracts obviously can't satisfy the appetite of these people. After all, if people fight Afghanistan, they have to spend $2 trillion, a cup of coffee, and a "little money maker" who can pay $1400.
Now that the U.S. government is bent on strategic contraction, the military-industrial complex is certainly not satisfied. So they looked for an opportunity to support Ukraine and promote the situation in Ukraine in the direction of war, which was understandable.
As for whether this can be done, it is difficult for anyone to say now. After all, before the outbreak of the First World War, no one thought that the "Sarajevo assassination case" would lead to the outbreak of the First World War, right?
After talking about the United States, let's talk about Russia. As mentioned above, it was revealed that the US private military enterprises were shipping "chemical agents" to Ukraine, and it was the Russian defense minister who made the US military-industrial complex, the black hand behind the scenes, surface.
Logically, the greater the internal divisions in the United States, the better it is for Russia, so why did the Russian defense minister do this?
The reasons can be considered from two perspectives. The first is to justify war.
Just as the Americans, at the United Nations Security Council, held a bag of laundry detergent and said that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction, thus using force against Iraq. Even if Russia really wants to fight Ukraine, it will certainly need a reason, and it will have to throw the pot to others.
The explosion of the fact that the United States private enterprises have shipped chemical agents to Ukraine can be seen as Russia looking for justice for its own troops and paving the way for public opinion in advance.
Of course, the probability of this reason is relatively small, because the United States is not Iraq, the offensive of public opinion, not to mention that the Americans do not care at all, even if they really care, relying on the hegemony of global public opinion in the United States, it is easy to reverse black and white after the fact, and hit a rake backwards, which they often do.
Since it is unlikely to justify the war, the second option is more likely, that is, to remind the United States and the world not to be kidnapped by the US military-industrial complex.
In other words, Russia did not want to really go to war, so it found that the US military-industrial body gave the US government a preventive injection in advance after promoting the signs of war, reminding them not to be kidnapped by the military-industrial complex.
Of course, this can also be seen as a means of pressure, after all, the current situation in Ukraine is so tense, both sides are almost on the trigger, any one of them is really likely to trigger war. And the longer this stalemate lasts, the greater the probability of an accident.
The Western media is everywhere to publicize that Russia wants to do something to Ukraine, and it is easy to make people preconceived that Russia is really going to do something to Ukraine. In fact, this is not the case, just as the United States is reluctant to go to war with Russia, ukraine's slightly richer east is under the influence of Russia, and the anti-Russian and pro-European west is economically withered.
Taking so much effort to lay down Ukraine would do nothing but add to the burden on itself.
To sum up, The current Russia and the United States are hemp stalks fighting wolves, and both ends are afraid. The United States is afraid that Russia can't help it, and it really does something to Ukraine, and Russia is afraid that the United States really doesn't care, forcing itself to do itself to Ukraine.
If both sides can maintain absolute sanity, then "maximum pressure" is, in the final analysis, only a means of negotiation. But if the government can maintain absolute sanity, the military-industrial complex in the United States and the soldiers on the Russian-Ukrainian front may not be able to maintain absolute sanity.
This is where the current situation in Ukraine lies most dangerous.
As the saying goes, most of those who drown are watery.
Since the previous president of the United States, "maximum pressure", a means of business negotiations, has been increasingly used in the field of international politics. Admittedly, many times, extreme pressure does work.
But the collision between two countries, after all, is not two companies, winning or losing is only a matter of money. And compared with the country, the size of the company is small after all, small is easy to be controlled, not easy to make mistakes.
The game between major powers like Russia and the United States is related to the safety of hundreds of millions of people and billions of people, and the various interests contained in it are intricate, and it is almost impossible to achieve accurate micro-manipulation like manipulating a small company.
From this point of view, at present, between Russia and the United States, taking advantage of the Ukraine crisis may turn into war, playing games with each other, and "maximum pressure" on each other is undoubtedly very dangerous and very unreliable. The longer the two sides have been deadlocked, the greater the probability that the Ukraine crisis will turn into war.
Now the Western media regard this incident between Russia and Ukraine as another "Cuban Missile Crisis."
At that time, the Cuban Missile Crisis was only about 1 month, and the real stalemate lasted for several months or even half a year, who can guarantee that the finger placed on the nuclear button will not cramp?
In the "Art of War of Sun Tzu", it is said: "Soldiers, the great affairs of the country." The land of the dead and the living, the way of survival, must not be ignored. ”
Now the United States is using this matter as a means of exerting pressure, which not only shows the irresponsibility of these people, but also shows that the United States at present has indeed been forced to the point of unscrupulous means. Compared to the Ukraine crisis itself, perhaps this is something worth noting.