Now in the world, the form of war is diverse, not only military war, but also including trade war, financial war, information war, network war, etc., this article mainly talks about financial war, the so-called "financial war" is a new type of combat model proposed in modern times, its main content is through a means of foreign exchange, first throw away the temptation of interests, and then through the country's bank loans to obtain a large amount of the country's national currency.
After a large amount of this currency is invested in the stock market, causing large financial fluctuations, and finally through this large-scale financial fluctuations causing the country's currency exchange rate to depreciate, and then repaying the country's loans, and earning a large amount of the difference. This is a form of financial warfare in which Soros shorted the currencies of other countries.
However, this is only a financial war led by private financial predators, if it is replaced by the US government, then the consequence is that the country targeted by the United States will fall into a financial catastrophe, with serious domestic inflation, a sharp depreciation of the currency, and a complete collapse of the national financial system, which is the financial war launched by the US government.
However, not every country can do this to the extent of the United States, to provoke a large-scale financial turmoil, there must be two killer weapons: oil, the dollar, in other words, the essence of the United States' strategic control over the Middle East, is to control the Middle East's oil resources and oil pricing dominance, to pave the way for the financial war provoked in the later stage.
In preparation for the financial war, the United States sharply lowered the interest rate on the dollar
Generally speaking, before the United States launches a financial war against a certain country, it will take the initiative to lower the exchange rate of the US dollar, and through this way of lowering the interest rate, the country's currency will increase in value, so as to lure the capital of a certain country to invest abroad; because every time it launches a financial war, it must first draw out the domestic capital of the enemy country, and if the capital does not come out, no amount of effort will be in vain.
However, generally speaking, when the countries that are at loggerheads with the United States see that the interest rate of the dollar is so low, they will not be able to control their desire for financial profits, so a large amount of private capital will take the lead, and a large amount of hot money will pour abroad, followed by their own governments will also take action, and the government will also throw a large amount of foreign exchange reserves to invest overseas.
As a result, once a large amount of the country's capital flows out, it will fall into the trap carefully set by the United States, and once the United States shrinks the trap pocket, then the country's overseas capital will be directly hollowed out, and the country's government and capitalists will lose all their money, so a domestic financial catastrophe will come into being.
The capitalists have outflowed funds, but the government does not dare to intervene, for fear of being stigmatized as "undemocratic".
In fact, many countries in the world are well aware of this kind of US practice, but the national government can see this kind of trick, but the domestic capitalists cannot see it, and the government cannot interfere in the thinking of the domestic capitalists at all, because once it intervenes, the international social organizations headed by the United States will criticize the country for being excessively involved in the operation of the domestic economy and for harming the country's democracy.
Therefore, knowing that this is a trap of the United States, the governments of the countries are also bitter and unable to speak, after all, in the face of interests, how the capitalists decide is their business, and it is inconvenient for the government to interfere.
Therefore, even if the government does not throw away foreign exchange capital, their own capitalists will follow suit, in short, no matter what the United States does, it can cause a lot of economic impact on the country, this is the cleverness of the US financial war operation, no matter what the government does, the ultimate big winner is the United States. This is how the United States prepared before launching a financial war.
The first stage of the financial war: the lock-up period
Generally speaking, the United States will not directly engage in the preparatory stage for a financial war, and that will not achieve the greatest effect of a financial war. (Next, for the sake of understanding, the author lists the hostile country of the US financial war as country A, and the country in which country A invests capital as country B.) ）
For example, after a large amount of capital from country A flows into country B, country B will get economic help, so country B will vigorously develop its own industries, at this time, the role of oil will be highlighted, a large amount of oil will be continuously imported into country B, and country B has indeed made a lot of money, and it has also driven the profits of country A's investment enterprises, so country A has also made some money.
Therefore, country A and country B firmly believe that the economies of the two countries are closely related, and the capitalists of country A will continue to increase their investment in country B in order to obtain greater profits; after country B receives investment from country A, they will also have the confidence to continue to develop their own industry, agriculture, manufacturing, economy, trade, financial system, and so on, so the amount of oil imports will become larger and larger.
The increase in the U.S. exchange rate has led to an increase in costs for country B, and country A is facing financial pressure
At this time, the United States is about to take action, because the currency for the settlement of oil in the world is the US dollar, so as long as the United States raises the exchange rate of the US dollar, then it will inevitably increase the financial pressure on A and B; however, at this stage of development, it is impossible for country B to stop, because national construction has reached a critical stage, and even if it is hard, it must persevere, therefore, country B gritted its teeth and continued to import a large amount of oil.
However, the gradual increase in the US dollar exchange rate has led to a gradual increase in production and construction costs, the economic system of country B is facing a serious crisis, and country A is also facing the financial pressure of foreign capital, country A will retreat, at this stage, the United States has appropriately stood up and announced to the world: the increase in the US dollar exchange rate has led to the increase in international oil prices, which is temporary, and I hope that countries will not fall into panic.
Therefore, the people of country A will push the government of country A to continue to increase investment in country B, so the government of country A must grit its teeth and continue to insist, this is the first stage of the financial war: the capital lock-up period, the foreign capital of country A will be trapped, if you want to withdraw capital, then you will inevitably lose most of the investment, which will also be a financial catastrophe for country A.
The second stage of the financial war: the period of monetary inflation
In the second stage of the financial war, the United States will control oil and the dollar to cause A and B to fall into monetary inflation; because country B insists on gritting its teeth and continuing to develop, it will inevitably spend a lot of money, and this large amount of capital will inevitably flow into the pockets of the United States and Middle Eastern oil exporters.
Then, the United States, together with some countries in the Middle East, sold a large number of the currencies of country B to the international stock market, so that country B depreciated its currency sharply because of its economic difficulties, and then the currency of country B would fall into inflation, and the result of inflation would be to cause turmoil in the domestic market economy, and prices would rise sharply, and the money that the people of country B had worked hard to save would become a worthless currency within a few days.
The investment of country A in country B will also fall into the imbalance of income and expenditure, which will directly lead to the investment of country A in country B will be unprofitable, not only that, but the government and capitalists of country A must continue to invest in blood transfusion, otherwise all the industries in country B will face the crisis of bankruptcy.
Country A has nothing to return to, and it can't go bankrupt casually
Generally at this point, country A will understand that from the very beginning, it is the result of the financial war manipulated by the United States behind the scenes, but they have no way to recover the funds, and they cannot go bankrupt casually, because once the international investment company goes bankrupt, then the corporate legal person will have to compensate a large amount of capital to country B, which is the risk regulation of general international investment, if the capitalists of country A do not compensate, then they will be warned by the blacklist of international financial organizations.
Therefore, in the period of monetary inflation, the economy of country B will be shorted, and by the way, the foreign exchange investment of country A will also be shorted, but country A has not really been shorted during this period, because country A has not yet fallen into the economic embarrassment of country B.
The third stage of the financial war: financial paralysis
Generally, after the United States reaches the third stage, they will let go of country B, because their target is country A, and the United States does not need to push country B into a desperate situation, if during this period, the United States injects some funds to save country B, then the United States will get the dependence of country B, which is the means by which the United States attracts allies.
After the United States cripples country B, it will also short-sell most of the foreign exchange capital of country A; country A, which has no foreign exchange capital, is just pork on the board and is at the mercy of others; as a result, American financiers will enter the market of country A in large quantities, and they will obtain a large amount of loans from the banks of country A, and then invest their money in the stock market of country A.
Speaking of which, some people may ask: Why did the Bank of Country A lend money to these capitalists knowing that they had ulterior motives? The answer is very simple: The huge dollar system behind these capitalists, and they were able to borrow so much money with a large amount of foreign exchange as collateral. And the Bank of Country A also continues to have a large amount of foreign exchange, and the inflow of American capitalists is a huge face value of American foreign exchange for them, and they will certainly not let go of these financial predators.
As a result, these financiers relied on the huge reserves of US dollars behind them to sell a large number of country A's currency in the stock market and the international stock market, and it only took one month for the United States to completely collapse the currency of country A, and then cause the financial paralysis of country A.
After the financial paralysis, country A will fall into financial chaos completely, so the financial war in which the United States surrenders without a fight is enough to set the economy of country A back several decades.
end
The financial war of the United States is highly effective and terrifying, especially for small countries, which is completely deadly; not to mention the US government, even some financial predators can bring down the financial system of small countries together, and the Asian financial crisis that occurred in the past is a lesson from the past, and Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korea, which have small economies, have been hit hard, but this kind of financial war still has a certain ability to resist big countries.
With the gradual shaking of the dollar system in recent years, the United States, which has gradually lost its dollar advantage, can no longer launch a classic financial war, after all, today's world currency is not only the dollar, but also the euro, the pound and other currencies have become hard currency, but in any case, the United States' financial tactics are still very superb, which is also the most terrifying place in the United States: there is no need for the army, only oil and dollars can be shorted in a country's economy.