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In 2025, China's economy will enter recession due to chip supply cuts, and everything is organized and planned.

author:Optimist Planet P4

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The chip crisis and China's economic challenges

Today's world is entering the digital era, and chips have become one of the core components of modern industry. However, in recent years, the Sino-US technology battle has led to a severe chip supply crisis in China. Tech industry expert Handel Jones warned that if China does not acquire next-generation chip technology or develop its own chip production tools, its economic prospects may be significantly challenged in the near future, and the technology sector will lag behind significantly. In order to meet this challenge, China needs to take practical and effective measures to ensure the stability of the chip supply chain and its own research and development capabilities.

In 2025, China's economy will enter recession due to chip supply cuts, and everything is organized and planned.

Since former U.S. President Donald Trump invoked Section 1237 of the National Defense Authorization Act of 1999 to impose sanctions on Chinese companies in May 2020, the United States has imposed a complete blockade on China's chip industry. Importing more than $300 billion worth of foreign chips each year has become a "weapon" in the U.S.-China tech race. U.S. restrictions and sanctions cover the entire process from chip design to raw material procurement to manufacturing.

The chip industry is a global industry, and its supply chain covers the United States, Europe, Japan and other countries and regions. The laws of Moore's Law make chip technology continue to progress. According to this law, every 18 to 24 months, the performance of the processor will double. This means that if China does not have long-term access to global technical support, the performance of its designs and productions of chips will lag behind the international advanced level, resulting in the technical level of other industries being implicated.

In 2025, China's economy will enter recession due to chip supply cuts, and everything is organized and planned.

Although China has its own chip foundries, these factories can only supply processors for low-end products such as cars and home appliances. The U.S. chip blockade has made China face huge challenges in high-end areas, such as chips needed for advanced applications such as computer servers and artificial intelligence. However, China also has the potential to overcome this challenge. As the world's largest lithium and rare earth mining master, China has obvious advantages in raw materials. In addition, the hard-working spirit and strong independent innovation ability of the Chinese people are also important capital to cope with challenges.

In 2025, China's economy will enter recession due to chip supply cuts, and everything is organized and planned.

In order to cope with the chip supply crisis, China must vigorously promote independent innovation. More resources need to be invested in R&D and production to attract and train outstanding scientists and engineers to promote the development of indigenous chip technology. In addition, China should actively promote international cooperation, carry out joint research and innovation with other chip technology countries, break down technical barriers, and promote global cooperation in the chip industry chain.

The chip industry: the responsibility of the global community

As a global industry, chips need countries to work together to achieve a win-win situation. Blockades and restrictions in any country will have an impact on the stability and sustainable development of the global chip supply chain. In today's complex and ever-changing international situation, all countries should abandon the zero-sum game thinking and jointly maintain the stability and prosperity of the global science and technology industry.

In 2025, China's economy will enter recession due to chip supply cuts, and everything is organized and planned.

In the face of the chip supply crisis, China must strengthen confidence and actively innovate. By increasing investment, cultivating talents and promoting international cooperation, China is expected to make breakthroughs in the field of chips. The rest of the world should also recognize the global nature of the chip industry and jointly maintain the prosperity of the global technology industry. Only by forming a win-win pattern of cooperation can we cope with the current complex and changeable international situation and jointly create a bright future for the technology industry.

In 2025, China's economy will enter recession due to chip supply cuts, and everything is organized and planned.

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