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The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

author:Xiao Zhao talks about finance and economics

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introduction

India, a rising star that once shone with a ray of hope, has now faced an unprecedented storm. With the massive withdrawal of funds and the sharp depreciation of the currency, the alarm of the Indian economy has been sounded. As the U.S. economic strategy makes waves around the world, how India holds its ground has become the focus. From inflated stock markets to lagging GDP growth, from soaring inflation rates to sharp currency depreciation, every corner of India's economy is being tested.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

The impact of U.S. economic strategy on India

Recently, the United States withdrew hundreds of billions of funds from India. This once investment hotspot is now facing a massive outflow of capital. Behind the economic strategy of the United States is the pressure of its huge national debt and continuous war spending. The $34.5 trillion national debt is like a mountain weighing on the head of the US economy. And in order to prop up its military operations in Europe and the Middle East, the United States has had to look for sources of funding around the world. India, as an important part of emerging markets, has naturally become a target for the United States.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

Against this background, the United States began to take more aggressive financial operations. From the freezing of Russian assets to the withdrawal of Indian funds, the "harvesting" of the United States on a global scale is becoming more and more obvious. India's economic woes are not entirely external. Rising inflation, sharp currency depreciation, and declining foreign exchange reserves are all underlying economic problems that are weakening the foundation of the Indian economy. India, as a major importer, has a highly dependent economy on foreign countries. In the current international financial environment, this dependence undoubtedly increases the risk to the Indian economy.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

Against this backdrop, the impact of international capital flows on the Indian economy has become increasingly significant. From Foxconn's 10-billion-dollar chip factory being halted to Disney's retreat, India's investment environment is facing a severe test. And Tesla's proximity to China has frustrated India's electric vehicle dream.

Inherent challenges to the Indian economy

The once glorious Indian stock market once attracted the attention of global investors. The truth behind this boom is a serious disconnect from gross domestic product (GDP) growth. The surge in the stock market is not built on a solid economic foundation, but more like a carnival of capital. When the bubble bursts, it will leave an economic void and investor disappointment.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

India's inflation rate has reached 6.95%, a 17-month high, and this figure is behind the rising cost of living and the weakening purchasing power of ordinary people. The depreciation of the currency and the sharp decline of the rupee are a direct threat to the stability of India's economy.

The contrast between India's external debt and foreign exchange reserves is even more worrying. The persistence of the trade deficit, high external debt, and declining foreign exchange reserves are all warnings of the fragility of the Indian economy. The country's government debt has reached 78.3% of GDP.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

The outflow of capital is another major challenge facing the Indian economy today. From the halt of Foxconn's chip factory to Disney's retreat to Tesla's proximity to China, all of this is indicative of international capital's concern about India's economic prospects. The outflow of capital not only takes away capital, but also takes away employment opportunities and the potential for economic development.

India's industrialization process is the key to its economic development. However, India's path to industrialization has been fraught with difficulties. The imperfection of infrastructure and the incompleteness of the industrial system are all important factors restricting India's industrialization. Without a solid industrial base, there can be no sustainable development of India's economy.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

International capital flows and India's future

Industrialization is the only way to modernize the economy, but India's path to industrialization has been full of ups and downs. Structural problems such as weak infrastructure and incomplete industrial system have severely constrained India's industrialization process. In the context of globalization, there can be no sustained economic growth in India without a solid industrial base.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

The outflow of capital is not untargeted, but reflects investors' confidence in a country's economic prospects. The deterioration of India's economic indicators, such as declining foreign exchange reserves, rising inflation, and currency depreciation, has undoubtedly weakened investor confidence. And the lack of confidence is more fatal than the loss of capital.

India's institutional deficiencies are also a significant source of capital outflows. The lack of effective market regulation, the imperfection of the legal system, and the inconsistency of policies have all increased the uncertainty for investors. In today's globalized world, a stable, transparent and predictable investment environment is the key to attracting foreign investment.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

India's large population is seen as a major advantage, but the use of this advantage requires a good social governance and economic development environment. However, India's insufficient investment in education, health care, and social security has prevented its demographic advantage from effectively turning into a driving force for economic growth.

epilogue

To address the current challenges, India needs to adopt more precise and far-sighted economic policies. This includes strengthening market regulation, improving the legal system, improving infrastructure, and rationally allocating education and health resources. Every step of progress is a severe test of the Indian government's ability to govern.

The United States has withdrawn hundreds of billions of funds from India, and India may decline for 20 years

Despite the many challenges facing the Indian economy today, we should also see the potential opportunities. India's young workforce, large domestic market, and strengths in areas such as information technology are valuable assets for its future development. How will India find its own position in the tide of globalization and how will it make use of its advantages to achieve sustainable economic development? We will wait and see.

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