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Academician Zhang Boli: The duration of this round of epidemic may be longer

People's Daily Health Client Li Ning

The number of infected people in Shanghai has reached a new high in recent days, and the Health Times has combed and found according to local reports that in the first half of 2021, the 6 rounds of local cross-regional transmission of the new crown epidemic that occurred on the mainland in the first half of 2021, from the emergence of the first local confirmed case to the effective control of the epidemic, zero new local confirmed cases, each round of epidemic time is different, the shortest time is only 13 days, the longest is 34 days.

Now there are 19 days before May Day, how is the domestic epidemic trending? Can residents travel smoothly?

Zhang Boli, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, told The Health Times: "The current epidemic situation presents a multi-point sporadic and local large-scale outbreak, which is caused by the characteristics of the virus strain and the technological progress of prevention and control measures, and the previous law may not necessarily apply to the rebound of this wave of epidemics, and the duration may be longer than in the past, and it is not easy to predict." ”

Academician Zhang Boli: The duration of this round of epidemic may be longer

Professor Hu Bijie, director of the Department of Infectious Diseases of Zhongshan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, said in an interview with Shangguan News that Shanghai's new round of nucleic acid screening should be "due diligence", which will "dig" out potential asymptomatic infected people. Secondly, the frequency and density of nucleic acid screening also continue to increase.

Professor Hu Bijie said that the transmission rate of the Aomi Kerong variant strain is super strong, the incubation period, the initial stage of the disease virus load is also very high, compared with the original strain of the new crown virus in 2020, the load of the Omil jun variant strain increased by 100-1000 times in the same period, and the probability of infection also increased exponentially.

"I believe that dynamic zero clearance can be done, and the key now is to strengthen confidence, work together, and control the spread of the epidemic as soon as possible." Academician Zhang added.

Academician Zhang Boli: The duration of this round of epidemic may be longer

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