On March 10, Shen Hui, CEO of electric vehicle startup WM Motor, released his forecast and evaluation of the rise in auto oil prices on the evening of March 9.
Shen Hui
"International oil prices rose to $130 a barrel," he said. At 24:00 next Thursday, domestic oil prices should rise sharply, and No. 95 gasoline will break through 9 yuan / liter. According to the calculation of refueling 50 liters, it costs more than 450 yuan. The 450 yuan fuel bill can be converted to charge pure electric cars for several months. According to the calculation of 100,000 kilometers in 5 years, the electricity consumption of smart pure electric vehicles can save about 80,000 yuan more than the fuel cost of oil vehicles, which is almost equal to four LV or Hermès entry-level bags. So, what else are you thinking about? Come and power up! ”
According to public information, the next round of domestic refined oil price adjustment will be carried out at 24:00 on March 17, that is, Shen Hui said "next Thursday", it is expected to raise the oil price by about 1040 yuan / ton, equivalent to a calculation, about 0.78-0.94 yuan / liter of the increase, and the current domestic Price of No. 95 gasoline is mostly in the range of 8.4 yuan / liter to 8.8 yuan / liter. So with the increase, oil prices are indeed likely to break through 9 yuan.
Netizens have also ridiculed "No. 95 is full, the family is ruined", "Is it too late to buy new energy vehicles now?" ”。
Shen Hui is also in this context, to give everyone a rough calculation of an account, said that according to the current oil price and electric vehicle electricity cost comparison, 5 years to save more than 80,000 yuan, can buy 4 luxury bags.
However, the message given to him by netizens is more rational, and some netizens asked: "Do you want to change the battery after 5 years and 100,000 kilometers?" Do you change it at your own expense or for free? How much does it cost to change the battery? How much residual value is left on the tram after 5 years?"
Another netizen left a message saying: "Why don't you count the parking fee paid by the public charging place?" ”
Someone else said, "I can run again after running four or five hundred kilometers and five or six minutes with fuel, but what about you?" But I have to wait in line in the service area to charge, and when you are charged, I have reached my destination. ”
Digital blogger Osawa Technology SHOW also commented on the arguments for buying electric vehicles due to rising oil prices:
Some home without charging piles, a year can not drive 20,000 kilometers of new energy owners do not YY save money, do not need more, 3 years later to see your new energy daddy can still be worth a few dollars? The choice of new energy is no oil label forced (first-tier cities) plus a small number of car play, taking money to say things is nothing more than self-comfort. Smelling a little gasoline is much more comfortable than queuing up outside in the winter to charge.
In general, Shen Hui called everyone to buy an electric car when the oil price rose, and from the perspective of saving money, he did not fully convince everyone. Because of the purchase or popularity of electric vehicles, it is also necessary to consider whether there are charging piles at home, the ability to maintain the value of electric vehicles, the problem of power loss in winter, and the convenience of power replacement or charging.
Taking the charging pile alone, on December 20, 2021, Shen Hui also publicly sighed on the Internet: "Every time I hear the owner complain to me about the difficulty of installing the charging pile, the mood is very heavy. This year, WM delivered more than 40,000 vehicles, but nearly 20,000 charging piles distributed with the car could not be delivered. ”
In some cities and communities, the installation of charging piles does have a very cumbersome procedure or even simply do not let the installation, these are real problems.
Therefore, even if the domestic oil price runs into the 9 yuan era, the purchase of electric vehicles must be rationally considered, and cannot be blindly selected.
Of course, there are also optimistic netizens who say: oil prices will not fall after that.