【Pre-market analysis on February 9: Today's market rebound can still be expected, but if it cannot break through the 10-day moving average, there is a possibility of falling back in the face of resistance at any time to build a bottom】
【Tuesday Index】On Tuesday, the Shanghai index opened at 3428.54 points, the highest 3453.19 points, the lowest 3390.46 points, and the close of 3452.63 points. A Zheng yesterday's pre-market analysis of "the market still has a high probability, highly depending on the cooperation of trading volume" Prediction verification is accurate.
【Today's analysis】On the third trading day of the Year of the Tiger, the rebound can still be expected, if it can break through the 10-day moving average, this week's rebound is worry-free, and it is necessary to prevent the fall shock to build the bottom:
1, yesterday's deep V rebound of the market, indicating that the daily rebound has not ended, the current technical side, the 5-day moving average has turned upwards, but the upper 10-day moving average is still under pressure, may form a suppression of today's rebound, today's focus on the 10-day moving average gains and losses, breakthrough stability, this week's rising market worry-free; on the contrary, it is necessary to guard against the possibility of falling back to the bottom.
2, technically, the current key to see if you can break through the 3460 points, if you can effectively break through, the formation of a small level of 3 buy points, you can basically confirm the end of this round of adjustment, which is also a necessary condition for the market to bottom.
3, the indicator, yesterday's closing market MACD has begun a golden cross, which means that another 120 minutes back will also appear divergence, if today continues to rebound (more than 3 days), the level of divergence passivation behind will be very large, and even the daily level may also appear divergence.
4, from the perspective of the Shanghai Composite Index analysis, the focus of the latter is to see whether it can continue to advance to the second target 3485-3535 point area, if in this area after encountering resistance to fall, build a bottom pattern, and there is a 60-90-120 minute divergence structure, it is possible to form a double bottom after the recovery.
5, to yesterday, the ChiNext has fallen by 20%, into the technical bear market range, from the middle of December 2021 to build a large double head decline, after the New Year's Day fell below the 3085 points of the neckline, if according to the large double head established by the measurement of the decline, the ChiNext index will fall space will be near 2648 points, but it is impossible to continue to fall, the short-term will have an opportunity for oversold rebound, and the support level that continues to fall may fall in the 2800-2730 point range. Since the ChiNext board is currently passivated at 60-90-120 minutes, the short-term is expected to come out of the oversold rebound in this range.
6. If the Shanghai Securities Continues to rebound today, it is necessary to pay attention to the rhythm of index and plate rotation, and carry out dislocation to sell high and low. From today onwards, it should be noted that the Shanghai Securities May rise and fall at any time, and the shanghai securities funds will come out, and the biggest possibility is to return to the ChiNext board.
【Comprehensive judgment】 Today's market rebound can still be expected, but if it cannot break through the 10-day moving average, there is a possibility of falling back in the face of resistance at any time. If it can break through the 10-day moving average, the market is expected to advance in the second target of this round of rebound, the 3485-3535 point area.
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(Personal opinion, for reference only, operate accordingly, at your own responsibility)
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