Learn about the Shandong Peninsula property market
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Text/Observer Lao Wang
Towards the end of the year, there are very few people who buy houses at this time. In the face of such a big advantage as interest rate cuts, we also did not see photos of people grabbing houses in the circle of friends.
No matter how much external benefits there are, the final trend of the property market is still determined by two points:
1, can not afford to buy;
2. Whether it is needed or not.
Therefore, at this time, I analyze what market and real estate, I believe that many people may not even have the desire to open and look.
So let's talk about something summative today, hoping to help you who are confused.
1
Blunt people can't wait for "spring"
For a long time, whether you have three old and broken houses under your name, or you have two investment houses in the suburbs, as long as you have a house under your name, you are the winner of the city.
In the past three decades, new and second-hand houses have been almost the same frequency, falling together with the cycle and rising with the bull market. However, with the reversal of population trends, the change of shed reform policies, and the increasing maturity of the subway network, the city's asset logic is undergoing earth-shaking changes.
The icon is from the Iceberg Index
Since 2018, Qingdao's new and second-hand houses have begun to part ways, and there is no trend of re-resonance.
Just like the current post-90s and post-00s who refuse to work overtime after work, as the main force of the current market, the vast majority of people are also unwilling to start their own independent lives in the second-hand housing community with no elevator, no property, and poor apartment type. Similarly, the improved family with a lot of money will not move from the old house of one dark guard to the room of another dark guard as a sign of life advancement.
Buyers, becoming more and more picky, older houses, are also becoming more and more market-free.
Those who stick to the traditional location theory and the blunt feeling of old houses will eventually become the losers of a new round of asset defense war.
2
There is no shortcut to getting rich in Qingdao
However, if you desperately change the asset track, will you definitely replicate the asset miracle of the past?
Whether we are optimistic or not optimistic about the future of the first livable city in the north, in the context of the national population growth of 480,000 in 2021, the city has no possibility of house prices soaring.
From the blue Silicon Valley to the hinterland of Lingshan Bay, many communities that once had a dazzling aura were not only the problem that the rental price could not cover the mortgage at all, but also the assets that shrank sharply in the process of the developer's panicked escape.
Countless dreams of 2021 tell many ordinary people who hope to counterattack by buying a house: in the context of housing and not speculation, qingdao city has no shortcut to get rich by speculating.
Under the law of two and eight, many suburban new projects are just beautifully packaged pits, only the value of a small number of high-quality assets will grow steadily, and gradually bloom the light of wealth in the long years, and this year's 1 million "low-priced" houses can earn 300,000 products next year, which only exist in the lies made up by channel providers.
3
The logic of permanent property behind the surge in luxury homes
In the past three years, the best selling and most affordable in Qingdao is not the new district with many big cakes, but the luxury housing products in the traditional core areas of Shinan and Laoshan. According to the statistics of shells, Laoshan District is the most resistant area for second-hand houses.
No matter how beautiful the seller show in the new district is, your uncle or your uncle.
Qingdao's high-end residential buildings are selling well, and there are two logics in this. Whether it is Hangzhou, Suzhou, Zhengzhou, Wuhan or Chongqing, the logic of assets will change with the development of the city. Every rise of the new city core, there will inevitably be the fall of an old center. For these cities, as long as the regional development is good enough, as long as the residential products are strong enough, then it can become a luxury housing area of the city.
However, no matter how Qingdao develops, the spire mansion will always be located in the southern coastal line, Jiaozhou, Chengyang real estate product strength is strong, can only become a regional rich class gathering area, and will not replace the status of the coastal luxury residential area, which is the so-called permanent property concept.
Under this concept of permanent property, the assets of the wealthy class are naturally the objects of high-quality financing. The wealthy buy a mansion with 10 million yuan in full, which can be used as collateral to lend millions of dollars at low interest.
Qingdao's luxury home sales growth rate of more than 6 million yuan last year reached 87%, and the logic behind 88% of home buyers did not understand.
(Image courtesy of Siyuan)
Therefore, don't expect to speculate on those low-priced leek plates with huge inventory to get rich, and the real capital masters will not buy those junk assets.
4
The divided property market began to punish greedy slackers
Over the past year, I've seen many home buyers, greedy and lazy. Always want the lowest discount, but don't want to spend an hour on a comprehensive understanding of the developer, location, and property.
Of course, they also learn to regard the channel providers on video sites who copy paragraphs and increase exposure as "experts". Many people don't know that the "experts" who only talk about their love of obedience, in addition to liking to study the psychology of the diaosi counterattack, know nothing about the property market.
There is no doubt that these greedy and lazy people eventually became the protagonists of the major leek plates and the rights protection of the house.
In the Qingdao property market, there are still a lot of high-quality assets, why do some people jump into the pit? Because from the very beginning their habits and thinking are wrong.
In the differentiated market, it is more and more difficult to find high-quality assets, and if you want to really find a good product at the best time, it is inseparable from your systematic learning, diligent exploration, and summary of past lessons.
So, when you're just anxious and don't know anything about the property market, don't rush to buy a house.
5
No "scumbag" in the tough years will turn back
In the second half of 2021, the difficulty of the real estate market, I believe everyone has already felt. But even in the years when the head housing enterprises are constantly thundering, there are still people who buy houses without understanding the developer, do not look at the developer's past delivery of the real estate, but just see the low price, go forward to pick up the cheap.
Therefore, the people who buy The house in Yuzhou in West China will only find that there are only a few people working on the original developer's construction site after the postponement of the delivery of the house; the people who bought the Blu-ray house on the west coast will only know how bad the developer's reputation in the main city is after the house is rotten; the people who robbed the low-cost house in zhongnan on the west coast will only find out how huge the team of licang and Jimo's zhongnan owners' rights protection team is at the moment of handing over the house.
In the past few years, we have seen many developers who were originally good, because the steps are too big and have problems, but we have not seen a developer who has had frequent problems before, and after embarking on the road of high turnover, the quality of the house has suddenly improved...
6
Not every house will "bow its head"
The market is not good, many people will think that all new houses will be preferentially reduced in price, and all second-hand houses will be slow to sell for a long time. Seeing that the Shanghai Cooperation Demonstration Zone is in a big price reduction, we think that the houses in Laoshan will also be preferential; when we see that the old and broken cannot be sold, we think that the price of the new houses that are transparent from north to south after fushan will also be greatly reduced.
In fact, under any market, good houses are not worried about selling.
This is good, there are two meanings, one is a good location, good products, there is no comparable competitors on the market, then the high price will also be robbed; the other is cost-effective, the product is in the excellent ranks in the plate, and the price is also very affordable.
Such a house before you did not buy his it is possible, encounter the market bad years you just have the opportunity to get her, this time to want to let its price drop again?
The end result can only be that the house is bought by someone else.
Therefore, in 2022, you can't lie down passively, nor can you be impatient and anxious because of the idea of getting rich and counterattacking, and the doctrine of absolutism will make you more and more distant from high-quality assets on the road of paranoia.
Diligence, reason, prudence, and having the right values and attitudes are the keys to your success.
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