#俄乌是个无解局吗 #
Text/Empty Mountain
As the THREAT from NATO escalates, Russia is also stepping up its deployment to deal with a possible conflict in the direction of Ukraine. According to the latest news from the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the intelligence held by the Ukrainian army shows that the "Iskander" missile brigade of 3 brigades of the Russian army is currently deployed in the surrounding areas of Ukraine, plus the Kapstinyar base, and the Russian army currently has at least 192 "Iskander" missiles equivalent to 4 brigades and has aimed at important targets in Ukraine, including the capital Kiev, which are within the range of Russian tactical missiles. The Ukrainian army feared that once the conflict broke out, the Russian army would launch a large number of tactical missiles in the first wave of offensives, completely destroying the Ukrainian command center in Kiev.
According to the US media recently broke the news, the staff of the Russian Embassy in Ukraine has begun to withdraw from the country, which is likely to be a precursor to the Russian army's attack, at the same time, gavrilov, head of the Russian delegation who is engaged in arms control negotiations with the West, issued a warning ultimatum, either the West accepts Russia's proposal, or Russia itself will ensure its own security, "the countdown has begun."
For the so-called Russian invasion threat, US President Biden threatened that it would be a "disaster without compromise", the United States would impose "unprecedented sanctions" on Russia, and Russian banks would never be able to use dollar transactions and face serious economic losses. But military experts point out that while Biden's warnings are highly tuned, they still do not threaten to use force. NATO has made it clear that it will only send troops to protect the security of its member states, and Biden stressed that Ukraine is not ready to join NATO, which is tantamount to reaffirming that NATO will not send troops to protect Ukraine.
The reason why the UNITED-led NATO is reluctant to send troops to support Ukraine is obviously afraid of an all-out war with Russia, even if it does not use nuclear weapons, the Russian military still has the conventional military strength that makes Europe focus on it. Take the "Iskander" ballistic missile, which the United States has recently paid great attention to, as an example, which is a new generation of land-based tactical missiles vigorously developed by the Russian military in recent years, with an open range of 500 kilometers, but it is said that the actual range has exceeded 1,000 kilometers.
According to the russian military's establishment, a "Iskander" missile brigade under the jurisdiction of 2 missile battalions, a total of 12 missile launchers, plus spare ammunition a total of 48 missiles, 4 missile brigades mean that the Russian army deployed 192 "Iskander" missiles around Ukraine, the US military has always claimed that this tactical missile can be equipped with a nuclear warhead, is a tactical nuclear weapon, although the Russian military does not recognize, but military experts believe that from a technical point of view, this is indeed not difficult.
The Pentagon said the Iskander launch system can launch two kinds of missiles, one is the 9M723 ballistic missile, and the other is the 9M728 cruise missile, the former can carry a 1.5-ton warhead, including high-explosive warheads or submunitions, and can also carry thermobar and ground-penetrating bombs; the latter can carry nuclear warheads in addition to conventional warheads. Of course, the possibility of the Russian military using tactical nuclear weapons is not very likely, but in conventional conflicts to use the "Iskander" missile equipped with ordinary warheads, the possibility is still very large, in the previous Middle East conflict, the Russian army has tested the actual combat performance of this missile in Syria.
Military experts pointed out that if war between Russia and Ukraine really broke out, then "Iskander" would be of great use, and the Russian army could launch a large number of tactical missiles at the first time to destroy Ukraine's key military and political targets, including command centers, airfields, arsenals, military barracks, and so on. In addition, the Russian army can launch missiles at the rear targets in western Ukraine to carry out precision strikes, without the risk of sending air force fighters to fly over half of Ukraine's airspace, and can quickly destroy important targets in the rear of the Ukrainian army.
For Ukraine, there is basically no defensive weapon against the "Iskander" missile, Ukraine's air defense system has completely inherited the Soviet Union, and today it has aged badly, only a few sets of S-300V air defense missiles have a certain anti-missile capability, but even if the Ukrainian army's S-300V also has the ability to dispatch, it will certainly be the priority target of the Russian military tactical missiles and the air force, and the role that can really be played in wartime is very limited, it can be said that in the face of the superior strength of the Russian army, if only the Ukrainian army itself, It is likely to face a passive situation of one-sided beating.