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If Guan Yu had not carelessly lost Jingzhou, would zhuge Liang of the Shu state have succeeded in his Northern Expedition?

It is the ideal is very full, the reality is very bone, the dream is very idle, and the hard work is very difficult. During the Three Kingdoms period, Liu Beisan Gu Maolu invited Zhuge Liang out of the mountains, and Zhuge Liang presented him with the "Longzhong Pair" strategy, although in the end Liu Bei realized that there was one of the three worlds, but was the Shu Han built by Liu Bei really the Shu Han that Zhuge Liang wanted to have in the Longzhong countermeasures? The answer should be no.

If Guan Yu had not carelessly lost Jingzhou, would zhuge Liang of the Shu state have succeeded in his Northern Expedition?
If Guan Yu had not carelessly lost Jingzhou, would zhuge Liang of the Shu state have succeeded in his Northern Expedition?

When Zhuge Liang first came out of the mountains, Liu Biao occupied all of Jingzhou, and had not yet died of illness, Zhuge Liang said to The Center in Longzhong: "Jingzhou is north of Han and Qiu, the South China Sea is exhausted, the east is connected to Wuhui, and the west is Tonba Shu, this country of martial arts, and its lord cannot be defended. The Jingzhou that Zhuge Liang refers to here is the complete Jingxiang Nine Counties ruled by Liu Biao at that time. For the sake of Liu Bei's great cause, Zhuge Liang reminded Liu Bei at that time that he should be prepared to capture Liu Biaojing Prefecture, but with the development of the situation later, the situation was not satisfactory. Zhuge Liang was bent on making preparations for Liu Bei's capture of Jingzhou, Liu Qi was Liu Biao's eldest son, but he could not tolerate Liu Biao's wife Cai Shi, doubly persecuted, Liu Qi begged Zhuge Liang, went upstairs to the ladder, Zhuge Liang sent Liu Qi out to guard Jiangxia, which not only protected Liu Qi's life, added a legal code for Liu Bei to occupy Jingzhou in the future, but also laid a good foundation for Liu Bei to escape and survive in the future. In 208, Cao Cao led a large army to march south, and Liu Biao fell ill and died, so he let his youngest son Liu Chun inherit the lord of Jingzhou. Romance of the Three Kingdoms? The Biography of the First Lord reads: "Zi Zhen is standing on behalf of the emperor, and sending envoys to surrender." The first lord Tun Fan, not knowing that Cao Gong had arrived, and zhi Wan was hearing about it, so he sent them away. After passing through Xiangyang, Zhuge Liang said that the main attack on Jingzhou was the first, and Jingzhou could have it. First lord, I can't bear it. It is the horse that hulishes, and the fear cannot arise. Most of the people around Chun and Jingzhou returned to the lord. According to historical books such as "Heroes" and "Wei Luo", Liu Biao was also recorded as critically ill and advised Liu Bei to succeed him, but Liu Bei refused. Liu Bei was also very popular in Jingzhou, and Zhuge Liang's persuasion of Liu Bei to attack Jingzhou was also a good suggestion. Liu Bei is not the lord of Jingzhou, but also allows Liu Qi to succeed to the throne, and the jingzhou scholars should be very supportive. With more than 100,000 soldiers in Jingzhou, confrontation with Cao Cao should not cause Jingzhou to fall immediately, if sun quan is united against Cao Wei, perhaps Sun Liu's alliance will no longer be dominated by Sun Quan, and there will no longer be a future borrowing of Jingzhou. Liu Bei could sit in Jingzhou like Liu Biao, and then sit in Bashu. Some people say that the Yizhou mentioned in Zhuge Lianglong does not include Hanzhong and other places, which is a bit of a matter of course. Zhuge Liang asked Liu Beixi to take Bashu, and it is said in the Longzhong Pair: "Yizhou is dangerous, fertile and thousands of miles, the land of Tianfu, and Gao Zu became an emperor because of it." Liu Zhang is weak, Zhang Lu is in the north, the people are rich but do not know how to save, and the wise man thinks of Mingjun. It can be seen from this that Zhuge Liang let Liu Bei take Yizhou because he wanted Liu Bei to follow the path of success of Liu Bang, the ancestor of Han Gao, and the Yizhou he said naturally included Han and other places, otherwise, how could Liu Bei be allowed to "lead the people of Yizhou out of Qinchuan"? It shows that taking Yizhou to occupy Hanzhong has long been a part of Zhuge Lianglongzhong's countermeasures, not the capture of Hanzhong that Fa Zheng first proposed. However, because of Liu Bei's benevolence, Jingzhou was easily occupied by Cao Cao, and Liu Bei had to defect to Liu Qi in Jiangxia. For the sake of Liu Bei's great cause, Zhuge Liang suggested that he send an envoy to Jiangdong to persuade Sun Quan to form an alliance with Sun Liu. Although this result defeated Cao Cao, it was Sun Quan who contributed the most and made the greatest contribution in the Battle of Chibi, and Jingzhou should belong to Jiangdong, and Liu Bei could only borrow it temporarily. At the same time, Jingzhou was also occupied by Cao Cao of the three most dangerous counties, which added great difficulties to the future connection between Jingzhou and Hanzhong. In Zhuge Liang's Longzhong countermeasures, the so-called Liu Bei's three divisions of the world should occupy all of Jingzhou and Yizhou and Hanzhong, of course, including the three counties of Shangyong. If Shu Han really reached such a situation at that time, Shu Han's territory, population, and army could all be matched with Eastern Wu, and a general who could well implement Longzhong's countermeasures was sent to guard Jingzhou and wait for the times to change. Once the world changes, the generals out of Wan, Luo, Liu Bei out of Qin Chuan, two large armies, a joint attack on Cao Wei, if the well-married Sun Wu to give cooperation, naturally can suppress Cao Wei, "If so, then hegemony can be achieved, and the Han room can be prosperous." ”

If Guan Yu had not carelessly lost Jingzhou, would zhuge Liang of the Shu state have succeeded in his Northern Expedition?
If Guan Yu had not carelessly lost Jingzhou, would zhuge Liang of the Shu state have succeeded in his Northern Expedition?

Therefore, the shu han kingdom expressed in Zhuge Lianglongzhong's countermeasures should be much larger and stronger than the territory of the Shu Han kingdom that was actually established later, and if it can really realize the shu han kingdom in Longzhong, I believe that once the world changes, shu Han will be able to restore the Han room and unify the world. In the actually built country of Shu Han, even if Guan Yu did not carelessly lose Jingzhou, it was difficult for Shu Han to succeed in the Northern Expedition.

If Guan Yu had not carelessly lost Jingzhou, would zhuge Liang of the Shu state have succeeded in his Northern Expedition?

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