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Question: Why is it difficult for Sheng Tang to reappear in the hereafter?
01
The reasons are not complicated at all:
Caused by climate change.
Chinese history seems to be very complicated, full of all kinds of accidental factors, and it seems that a hero or a traitor may completely change the course of history.
But if we look at this problem from another angle, we will feel:
In the face of nature, human beings are extremely small.
No nonsense, above.
Take a closer look, what do you think?
When the Tang Dynasty came, it was clear at a glance.
Just two words:
warm.
The same is true of the list of gods
02
What is the impact of the temperature on the farming peoples and the nomadic peoples:
Don't look at the average temperature only a few degrees change, if the average temperature is two degrees higher in a few decades, it can make the nomadic peoples who fight the farming people look for teeth all over the land.
The reason is very simple, the average temperature is high, which will inevitably lead to a long frost-free period, which means that the time suitable for crop production is extended and the yield of crops rises.
Peasants who have eaten enough are very strong in combat effectiveness, especially discipline and good organization, that is, obedience.
Coupled with reading and literacy, the team of officers who have undergone a certain degree of military education has crushed the illiterate nomads.
And the warmth also means that the nomadic people are not short of food and drink, and the willingness to fight is greatly reduced.
The characteristics of nomadic peoples are scattered, basically as tribes, migrating from water and grass.
Therefore, without great external pressure, it is difficult for nomads to converge into a unified and powerful state, usually a loose tribal alliance.
Without a strong state apparatus, the nomads, of course, have little desire to fight in the south if they can eat enough, because they cannot be organized at all.
On the contrary, if the average temperature is two degrees lower, the nomadic people will face a problem, and the winter grass-free period will be greatly prolonged, and they will have to slaughter a large number of cattle and sheep before winter, otherwise the cattle and sheep will starve to death in winter.
This drastically reduces the size of their herds, in other words:
To starve.
03
Under the same circumstances, the life of the farming people is not good, especially after a long period of warming, and then suddenly cooling down.
In the long run, a large number of land mergers and acquisitions will occur in the Central Plains and concentrated in the hands of a small number of people, and there will be a huge disparity between the rich and the poor.
When crop production is high, a large number of poor people can survive without starvation, so the population will increase dramatically.
Once the climate gets colder and crop yields fall, famine and social unrest can quickly occur.
When the nomads had nothing to eat, they would gather and go south to plunder.
At the same time, due to famine, the Central Plains Dynasty will also be very weak, so the strength and weakness are reversed, and the nomadic people are hanging the farming people.
Looking at the map, it is very obvious that the Five Hu Chaohua, the demise of the Northern Song Dynasty, the demise of the Southern Song Dynasty, and the demise of the Ming Dynasty are all completely consistent with the decrease in temperature.
As for the Tang Dynasty, the middle and early periods were just in a very long "warm" state, so the Sheng Tang Dynasty beat up the nomads not because of a few great people and famous generals, but because of the warm climate, strong national strength, and loss, it was a big deal to come back in the next two years.
When there are more battles, the famous generals will naturally exercise.
04
Temperature changes have a great impact on our Chinese history, and there are three relatively long periods of "high temperature" in history, which almost determine the fate of the Chinese nation.
The first period was the period of the rise and development of Yangshao culture until the end of the Shang Dynasty.
It is likely that the Zhou Dynasty Merchants were not the king of The Zhou Dynasty, but that the King of The Zhou Dynasty did not expect the sudden arrival of the low temperature period, and still exerted the strength of the country to expand the outside world in a large scale, causing the people to be indignant, and as a result, they were caught off guard by the Zhou people.
This is also a critical period for the initial creation and expansion of Han civilization, and it is precisely thanks to the long "warm" period that the Han culture, which is dominated by farming culture, has been greatly developed.
The second period was the Qin and Han dynasties.
Under the care of the warm climate, the Han nationality established a complete state system and a stable social system, far exceeded the various "barbarians" in the four directions in terms of organization and civilization development, and began to integrate the surrounding ethnic groups.
The third period was the Sui and Tang dynasties.
The Tang Dynasty and Sui Dynasty had certain accidents, but during this period, no matter who ruled the Central Plains, it was inevitable to hang the northern nomads.
These three periods have shaped the fundamentals of Chinese national civilization.
I dare not imagine that if there is no one of these periods, Chinese civilization will not have today's glory.
The rise of Tibet also has a lot to do with the high temperature, the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, which is not suitable for carrying a large population, can gradually become stronger under the long-term warm climate. But as the climate turns colder, the glory of Tibet is also a "flash in the pan".
The most tragic thing is that our Great Ming Dynasty, a Xiaoice river period, directly asked for the life of the old Zhu family.
05
Supplement ~
I am Chinese and love Chinese civilization.
But I firmly oppose the "Chinese specialism."
Some "great men" and "heroes" can indeed "change their lives against the sky" to a certain extent, but to really change history, it must be based on the economic foundation and national strength.
The strength and prosperity of the Tang Dynasty was based on the economic foundation of strong national strength, and it was by no means created by a few Ming emperors or a few famous generals.
No matter how strong the fighting power of Tubo and Turks is, they will be given more "famous generals", and the final victor will only be The Tang Dynasty.
Why?
Ten times in one fell swoop.
Datang's national strength decided, it doesn't matter if you lose, you will fight again after two years.
Historically, Datang has indeed lost, and has lost many times.
And what about the Turks and The Tibetans?
You have to keep winning, and if you lose once, it's a disaster.
What is the use of the Turks and Tubo being the wizards of heaven (and indeed there are several heroes) in this case?
Warcraft under the dungeon, hit the silk blood, extinguished the boss, cool!
In the blink of an eye, you haven't returned the blood yet, the boss is full of blood and resurrected...
How else is this going to be played?
The boss in the good evil warcraft will not run out of the dungeon to take advantage of your blood to kill you, but Datang will run out to fight!
Therefore, Ming Jun's name is Li Shimin or Dou Jiande, Zhang San Li Si, in fact, it does not matter, and it is definitely Turks and Tubo who are finally dried up.
Ming Jun, the famous general only accelerated this inevitable process.
The network has always had a big IP that leads to war: the fall of the Ming Dynasty.
Many people think that Daming has many opportunities, and he is stupid and full of Manchu kaihang to win.
Actually?
The reality of the late Ming Dynasty might look like this:
First, during the Xiaoice river period, crop yields have exploded.
Second, after two hundred years of reproduction, the population reached 150 million (the number is controversial, the low 80 million, the high 200 million, take the median value. ）
Third, the middle class of feudal society with serious land annexation:
The homesteaders are shrinking extremely.
There is a huge disparity between the rich and the poor.
Fourth, high-yield crops in the Americas have not yet been introduced on a large scale.
Four words in total:
National power declined.
As for the latter matter, in fact, it is not important, there is no Da Shun, there is Zhang Xianzhong, Lao Hui, the Eight Kings, there is no Manchu Qing and the Mongols, anyway, Daming is no play.
06
So how does Qing solve the problem?
homicide.
At the end of the Ming Dynasty, China had about 150 million people, and in the early Qing Dynasty there were about 40 million left.
There are fewer people, enough food to eat, the world is too peaceful...
The same thing has happened many times in China, and each time the solution is similar and the process is similar:
Natural disasters lead to famine, famine leads to war, war greatly reduces the population, eases land annexation, and a new cycle begins.
It's the human version of "The Tale of the Wolf and the Sheep."
The endless cycle was simply insoluble in feudal society.
Only in the period of the Industrial Revolution, the productivity increased greatly, so that we can break this "dead cycle".
History may be interesting and dramatic, but at the same time, its core is a bloody tragedy.
Some friends may ask the question of "Africa is also warm, why is it not developing"?
There is no rain and heat in Africa during the same period.
Of course, in central Africa, there is a tropical rainforest climate.
Slightly further away from the equator, there is a savannah climate.
Affected by various factors, most of Africa, the dry season rainy season is clear, the precipitation is uneven, showing the dry season hot, the rainy season wet and cold (relatively cold, for northern China is still quite warm... ) climate characteristics.
07
Let's talk about a few reasons why "the motivation of the nomadic peoples to plunder southwards has decreased."
First, the climate is warm, the precipitation increases, the nomadic livestock herd will expand, and more manpower will be needed to be invested in taking care of it.
Second, robbery and grazing are still different in terms of danger. This is especially true of the nomadic people of northern China, who are at great risk of being KO robbed. So unless it is a last resort, the nomads will not take risks.
Third, "inner volume", when the climate is warm, everyone on the grassland is busy herding, as long as they are willing to work, eating and wearing is not a big problem. But the weather becomes cold, there is not enough food and drink, the grassland will first start their own melee, in the battle to hold a group, and finally the strength will be strong will go south.
Finally, when it is warm, the peasants in northern China will rise up to resist and defend their homeland. In the cold climate, the northern peasants who are going south will starve to death as quickly as they will rebel and plunder along with the nomads.
King: It's too hot.