First of all, I would like to state that this article is only an analysis, not a judgment. This tragic case, which occurred 90 years ago and had a major impact on the direction of China's history, has been recognized as an ancient puzzle that is difficult to solve! Because the murderer who was caught at that time was seriously injured and his speech was unknown, there was no clear physical evidence. And now, almost all the parties involved have long been ancient, unless new convincing physical evidence is found, otherwise, in another thousand years, this mystery case will still be a mystery case, will be forever drowned in the dust of history, not to see the light of day.
Although no new physical evidence has been found so far, we can analyze it. Analysis is a guess, but when a guess conforms to the logical order, it will be infinitely closer to the truth of the event. It was on this basis that when I was analyzing the "Liao case", the results surprised me.
To know who killed Liao Zhongkai, first of all we have to see who is most beneficial to Liao's death, which is a basic judgment and a basic logic.
To whom is it good?
The first is the opponents of the Kuomintang. The biggest opponents are Yang Ximin and Liu Zhenhuan, two old warlords in Guangdong. The two men came together to fight another old warlord, Chen Jiongming and Sun Yat-sen. But because their purposes are different from those of Sun Yat-sen, the day when they are destined to cooperate successfully is the time to part ways. Just like when Sun Yat-sen and Chen Jiongming cooperated. After Sun Yat-sen's death, the Nationalist government in Guangzhou resolutely expelled the two men. It is also possible for Yang and Liu to hire someone to assassinate Liao Zhongkai. However, although Liao is one of the most important figures in the Kuomintang, even if Yang and Liu want to kill, they should target The Number One figure, Wang Jingwei, instead of Liao Zhongkai.
Let's look at the inside of the Kuomintang. The most likely people are Xie Zhi, Zou Lu, Lin Sen, Zhang Ji, Ju Zheng and others who founded the "Xishan Conference Sect" 3 months later. They were resolute opponents of Sun Yat-sen's three major policies of "uniting with Russia, the United Communist Party, and supporting peasants and workers", and Liao Zhongkai, on the contrary, was the most resolute implementer of the three major policies, and even in June 1925, when the Communist Party led the provincial and Hong Kong strikes, he also gave positive support, and even served as a high-profile adviser. That is, Liao and these people are clear dissidents. However, at that time, no clear personal and physical evidence was found to prove that they had done it, and at that time they were only talking verbally, and the West Mountain Conference was held only later. No one will take such a big risk and form a riot inside. In fact, these are the people we can remember, just this time. They also lack the ambition and strategy to form a riot and do "big things."
The second possible person within the Kuomintang was Chiang Kai-shek. It can be seen from Chiang's massacre of the Communists two years later that although he had not yet shown himself at that time and was called a "centrist", he was hostile to the Communists in his heart. Therefore, it is also possible to assassinate Liao Zhongkai of Rong Gong. First, however, there was no direct evidence of his involvement, and second, his most important task at the time was to reach the pinnacle of the Kuomintang's power. Chiang Kai-shek was a power magician, and he knew exactly what to do and when. At that time, what he needed to do was to make himself a loyal disciple of Sun Yat-sen, to pass on his disciples, and to make him immediately do something against Sun Yat-sen's three major policies, which would definitely not help to build this image. Two years later, he launched the "Qing Communist Party", at that time because opposition to the Communist Party had become the mainstream of the Kuomintang at that time, and he only catered to this mainstream as a kind of power change.
The third within the Kuomintang may be Hu Hanmin. Hu Hanmin is also the biggest suspect, and it is basically regarded as a conclusive conclusion. The reason is that after Sun Yat-sen's death, Hu Hanmin and Wang Jingwei were the most direct heirs of Sun Yat-sen. However, thanks to Liao Zhongkai's support, Wang Jingwei eventually defeated Hu Hanmin and became the chairman of the government and the chairman of the Central Military Commission, that is, the number one. Hu Hanmin hated Liao Zhongkai. Second, before Liao Zhongkai was killed, Hu Hanmin's younger brother Hu Yisheng had called a meeting and threatened to kill Liao Zhongkai. Hu Hanmin knew about this, but he did not stop it. However, we must know that Hu Hanmin was known as the most strategic person among Sun Yat-sen's disciples (at that time, Chiang Kai-shek had not yet emerged), and since he had the most strategy, did he not know that he killed Liao Zhongkai and everyone would suspect him? If everyone suspects him, then he will not only lose to Wang Jingwei, he will also lose everything he has in the Kuomintang! Hu Hanmin's brother wanted to kill Liao Zhongkai, which is understandable. But since the scheming Hu Hanmin knew that his brother was doing this with great fanfare, why didn't he stop it in time?
The most unlikely person is Wang Jingwei. Because he sat in the first chair of the Kuomintang under the support of Liao Zhongkai, Liao was kind to him, and he also needed Liao's support to sit firmly.
However, this matter is very interesting, we may as well analyze it. Although Wang Jingwei sat on the first chair, this chair was not stable at all. He did not have the absolute authority of Sun Yat-sen, and Hu Hanmin was seriously dissatisfied. At this time, what does he need most? What is needed is the support of the party, the support of the majority of the people in the party! And what did most people in the party support at the time? Support the liquidation of the Communist Party. At that time, Wang Jingwei was regarded as a leftist and sympathetic to the Communist Party, and it was in this way that he received liao zhongkai's strong support. However, this created a contradiction, if the Communist Party continued to accommodate, although he could continue to gain liao Zhongkai's support, he would lose the support of the vast majority of the Kuomintang. And Hu Hanmin took advantage of this and has been looking at him to move him. In this way, he was faced with a choice: whether he needed Liao Zhongkai or the vast majority of people?
Some people will say, your words are too problematic, Liao Zhongkai is the person who supports him, if he did it, he killed Liao Zhongkai, is it not to unload his own left arm and right arm? However, we would like to ask, if Liao Zhongkai's death can crack down on the stinky Hu Hanmin, then will he earn or lose?
Let's talk about a few intriguing details -
First, although Hu Hanmin was a disciple of Sun Yat-sen, he never assassinated anyone. Wang Jingwei, on the other hand, first of all, started by assassinating the regent of the Qing Dynasty, Zaifeng.
Second, Liao Zhongkai was shot three times when he was killed, two of which were large-caliber, that is, the kind of weapon held by the murderer, which is not fatal. Fatal was a small-caliber close-range shot. This small-caliber gun that hit the key point has not been found.
Third, Wang Jingwei's wife, Chen Bijun, later recalled many times: "The whole city is in an uproar, and those who kill Liao Jun will be Hu Hanmin!" ”
Fourth, after the "Liao case" occurred, Hu Hanmin went into exile overseas, and the Nationalist government became Wang Jingwei's monopoly. If there had been no sudden rise of the last "Xishan Conference Faction" and Wang Jingwei and Chiang Kai-shek would need to re-unite against him, he would have hung up completely.
Fifth, Wang Jingwei was a leftist member of the Kuomintang, and later he went to Russia specifically and was solemnly received. However, after returning to China, his massacre and clean-up of the Communists was definitely not inferior to Chiang Kai-shek.
Oh, I hope the above is just an analysis...