In the market where the price of wheat continues to fall and the price of new wheat is low, the price of corn has ushered in a rise.
The good thing is that after the continuous decline in corn prices, it finally ushered in a rise, and in April, many grassroots corn prices have fallen to about 1 yuan / catty, and now the price of corn has risen to about 1.10 yuan / catty, and the increase is still okay.
There are two sad aspects, one is that the price of corn has risen, but there is no grain in the family, especially the farmers who sell corn at the end of April, may be less than 0.1 yuan per catty, if they persist for about half a month, the income can increase by several hundred.
Second, this year's wheat should be harvested, but the price of wheat has continued to fall, and in March, it can still be at 1.30 yuan / catty. In April, the price of grassroots wheat can also be above 1.20 yuan/catty. In May, the new wheat should be closed, but the price fell again, and the opening price in some parts of Hubei was only 1.16-1.17 yuan / catty.
According to local friends in Hubei, the current wheat price is only 1.16-1.17 yuan/jin, and the lowest purchase price of wheat this year is 1.18 yuan/jin, which is lower than this price.
In addition, according to friends from Henan and Shaanxi, the price of corn has risen in the past few days, and the local corn price in Lintong, Xi'an has reached 1.1 yuan per catty.
Looking back at the price of wheat in 2022-2023, it can be said that it is the highest in history, especially in 2022, when the price of wheat per catty reached about 1.65-1.70 yuan/catty. At that time, if there were 1,500 catties of wheat per acre, the income per acre of land could reach about 2,500 yuan.
Although the price of wheat will decline in 2023, the price at the peak will also exceed 1.50 yuan per catty, about 1,500 catties of wheat per mu, and the income will also exceed 2,000 yuan.
If this year, according to the current price, it has returned to the planting income of previous years, and if it waits until the end of May and the beginning of June, after a large number of wheat in many places begin to be harvested and marketed, the price of wheat will fall further, and the income may not be as high as in previous years.
In normal years, the period after the peak wheat harvest arrives, because the market supply is sufficient and there are more farmers selling grain, the price tends to decline to a certain extent. After this wave of peak grain sales has passed, wheat prices will gradually recover.
If according to the current opening price of 1.16-1.17 yuan/catty, wait until the first half of June, a large number of wheat will be harvested and listed, and the risk of further decline cannot be ruled out. Some netizens are even worried about whether it will fall below 1.10 yuan / catty, which is the same price as corn.
However, there are some farmers who are not worried, after all, the minimum purchase price of wheat this year is 1.18 yuan/jin, if the market price of wheat is too low, the market will appear relevant policies to ensure that the price of wheat will not be lower than 1.18 yuan/jin, which is also a measure to protect farmers' income.
For the current corn, the rise in recent days has surprised many farmers. After all, from the perspective of the market, wheat has begun to be listed in some areas, and in more than half a month, wheat will be listed in a large area, which is not the time for corn to rise.
As a result, farmers, grain sellers, and some traders are actively selling corn. For farmers who still have corn at home, they originally thought that they would buy it for 1 yuan per catty, after all, the wheat should be harvested, and they should make room for wheat. Now it has risen to 1.1 yuan / catty, which can be described as a surprise, and quickly sell grain.
For grain dealers or traders, the price of corn purchased some time ago was low, and they originally thought that the price difference would be smaller, so they would choose to sell it, vacate their warehouses, and prepare to buy wheat, even if they did not make money, they would sell it.
Now it may be better than I imagined, and I am very satisfied with the difference I earned, and I have also chosen to ship it one after another recently, sell it early and rest assured, and prepare for the wheat game.
In this case, the supply of corn in the market is bound to increase, but for deep processing enterprises and feed enterprises, this is not the peak demand period, and the required inventory is not much. Coupled with the fact that wheat is about to be marketed on a large scale, the risk of a decline in the short term cannot be ruled out.
As for the subsequent price trend of wheat and corn, the author personally expects that before June, it may not be very friendly to farmers. The price of wheat can be more than 1.20 yuan/catty, which is a good price. The price of corn can remain at 1.10 yuan per catty, which is also a high price. After entering July, it may stop falling and turn up.
Of course, the above is only a prediction, if there is a policy change, or if there is a local hype, it does not rule out a sharp rise or a big fall.
Personally, from the perspective of farmers, I definitely hope that the higher the price of food, the better, but what about you?