Thirty years in Hedong, thirty years in Hexi, this sentence is really not wrong. Four years ago, it would have been difficult for the high-spirited Biden to have imagined that a chaotic event like "Black Lives Matter" would be staged again in the United States. The difference is that this time, the protests, which quickly spread across the United States, were mainly in solidarity with Palestine, that is, "Palestinian Lives Matter".
According to a May 3 report by the Associated Press, protest marches have appeared in almost every corner of the United States. In some states, U.S. police have also clashed violently with protesters, with pro-Israel protesters and Palestinian sympathetic protesters even fighting.
Chaos is spreading across the United States, and as a last resort, Biden addressed the nation at the White House. Biden sent 3 important signals.
First, protesters are free to express their views, but they are not allowed to trespass or use violence.
Second, the United States will not reconsider its strategy toward Israel.
Third, the United States will not accept antisemitism.
In short, Biden believes that the United States needs to continue to support Israel. The White House can accept protesters who are just expressing sympathy and speaking out for Palestine, but if they are anti-Semitic or violent, the White House will not sit idly by.
For Biden, the protest marches one after another, the American people holding banners and shouting slogans, and Trump fanning the flames on the sidelines are undoubtedly a bolt from the blue. To Biden's relief, Trump, who is more pro-Israel, did not call on his supporters to participate in the protests, but only took the opportunity to satirize the White House. This is very different from what Biden chose back then.
The reason is simple: in the United States, in the media, and in the economic sphere, the influence of pro-Israel forces cannot be underestimated, and Ansa mainly holds military power.
Under these circumstances, Trump, who already supports Israel, cannot stand up to the Palestinian protesters. Trump is well aware that doing so means losing the 2024 U.S. election.
For Biden, there are now two difficulties that have to be faced.
The first difficulty is how to get Israeli support. Netanyahu would like to see Trump in the White House more than "Biden wins". If Trump wins, the United States will only be stronger in its support for Israel and against Iran than it is now, and there will be no rapprochement with Iran.
Israel's insistence on besieging Rafah and its efforts to eliminate Hamas are, of course, important reasons. But there is another factor that cannot be ignored: Israel wants to increase Trump's chances of victory.
It can then be seen that Israel has promised that as long as Hamas hands over the hostages to Israel unharmed, Gaza will be able to cease fire for a long time.
Of course, even if Israel immediately laid siege to Rafah, the military operation would have lasted for more than a month, if not longer.
However, in a few months, the US election will usher in a pivotal moment. At present, because of Biden's inability to stop Israel, many voters who originally supported Biden have expressed their support for Trump.
It is to be expected that if the Israeli-Palestinian conflict does not end in November, Biden will lose a number of key swing states.
The current situation is like this: whenever he encounters difficulties, Netanyahu will call Biden and ask the United States to help Israel solve various problems. But when Biden asks for Israel, Netanyahu may not agree, and Israel will even warn the United States.
Before that, Biden's biggest headache was Trump, but at the moment, Netanyahu has made Biden even more helpless. Whoever dominates the White House, the United States must support Israel. The United States has no choice in this matter, and Biden cannot change that.
The second difficulty is that Trump is changing his attitude. Anyone with a discerning eye knows that abandoning Ukraine means offending American arms dealers and angering NATO and the European Union. If Trump does not support Ukraine, it will be difficult to defeat Biden.
Trump has promised that if he returns to the White House, he will try to help Ukraine, provided that Europe also does its part.
In short, what Trump wants is for the European Union and NATO members to provide more support for Ukraine, and the United States will do the same.
Trump also promised that if he wins, the United States will build a better air defense than the Iron Dome.
You must know that the area and strategic depth of the United States are by no means comparable to Israel. If the American version of the "Iron Dome" is built, it will inevitably cost a lot of dollars, and American arms dealers will gain a lot of benefits from it.
One of the important reasons why Trump lost to Biden in the last U.S. election was because Trump did not start a war, which hurt the interests of U.S. arms dealers. If the world does not fall into turmoil for a long time, it will be difficult for American weapons to be exported to allies.
Trump believes that American soldiers do not want war, it is Pentagon officers and American arms dealers who want war. But now, Mr. Trump's attitude has changed. Trump may still be war-averse, but he can't make that sentiment evident until he enters the White House.
This time, Biden really kicked the iron plate, and Trump did nothing, but quietly established an advantage, which is indeed very unexpected. Encountering such a difficult opponent, Biden can only sigh.