Extreme situation in the world preliminaries: the Chinese team lost to Thailand, but won against South Korea in an upset, and missed the World Cup by 10 points

Football in slow motion

2024-04-29 11:26Posted in Shandong Sports Creator

At present, the 2024 season of the Chinese Super League is in full swing, but when the international players were interviewed, many core players talked about the world preliminaries against the Thai team, and Zhang Yuning and Wu Lei are paying attention to the world preliminaries. It can be seen that the minds of many international players are actually placed in the national football game. Indeed, the current situation of the national football team is very complicated, although the victory over the Thai team can qualify, but no one is sure to win, once the game is lost, even if it is a small score of 0-1, it will force the national football team to the edge of the cliff!

If you carefully calculate the scores, you can find a phenomenon, the final World Preliminary Points of the national football team, if fixed at 7 points, 8 points or 10 points, there is a possibility of going out, only in the case of 9 points, the team is 100% qualified, which can be said to be very interesting. Of course, back-to-back draws against Thailand and South Korea are unlikely in themselves. In the 21st century, the matches between the national football team and the Thai team were divided into winners and losers, with 0 draws. And we have very few draws against the South Korean team, the strength of the opponent is above us, and it is difficult to release the national football team.

Against the Thai team, if the national football team loses, the points are 7 points, then in the final round against the South Korean team, the final points may be 7 points, 8 points or 10 points, and the probability is 7 points, because the probability of losing is the largest. Thailand plays Singapore and has a high probability of winning, and the final score may be 10 points.

In other words, even if the South Korean team relaxes in the last round, or even releases the water, so that the national football team can get 1 or 3 points, our final points are 8 or 10 points, and we may not be able to qualify. If the Thai team is 10 points, and the two sides have a goal difference first, at that time, the national football team will most likely suffer a loss and will eventually be eliminated.

Therefore, although from a mathematical point of view, the probability of the national football team qualifying is very high, even much higher than that of the Thai team, but if you are not careful, it is a cliff, and if the national football team loses to the Thai team, it will basically be doomed. After all, if we lose, we have basically announced that the national football team will not participate in the round of 18, and we will bid farewell to the World Cup in advance.

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