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At around 3 a.m. (Israeli time) on April 19, a number of military targets in Syria, Iraq and Iran were attacked by Israel, including Isfahan, where Iran's important nuclear facilities are located.
Iran's initial response seems to be ready to admit cowardice, but judging from Israel's twists and turns in the past few days, the blow in the early morning of the 19th is just an appetizer, and the United States has made a strong statement that it will not intervene in the war between Iran and Israel, but with the development of the situation, the operation between the United States and Israel is sending Iran to the position of the leader of the major powers in the Middle East!
Israeli retaliatory strike: Iran is most likely going to put up with it
According to a number of foreign media reports such as the BBC, Reuters and the Associated Press, Israel launched an attack on Iranian bases in Syria, Iraq and China at around 3 a.m. on April 19. According to the report, violent explosions occurred in several areas occupied by Iranian-backed armed forces in Iraq and Syria, and the Syrian Defense Ministry said that an air defense facility in southern Syria was attacked by Israeli missiles in the early hours of Friday local time, although Israel has not yet admitted to being behind the attack.
According to information on social media, a missile from Israel hit the area, causing a large explosion, and nearby residents also reported a loud explosion, after which flights at major Iranian airports were canceled and air defense systems were fully activated to deal with a possible re-attack.
Needless to say, all of these attacks should have come from Israel, but Iran's statement is intriguing, with Hossein Dalirian, a spokesman for Iran's National Cyberspace Center, saying that "there were no airstrikes from outside the country." Israel "only made a failed and humiliating attempt to test the quadcopter (UAV), and the quadcopter was shot down."
However, Iran's Fars news agency reported that an explosion was heard near a military base and the air defense system was activated. Iranian state media also quoted a general in Isfahan as saying that the explosions heard in the area were caused "by air defense forces firing at suspicious objects" and that there were no damages. Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency also released a video of a nuclear facility in Isfahan that showed no signs of an attack.
Iran intends to admit that 1,000 missiles are just talking?
However, on April 14, after Iran launched a strike on the Israeli mainland, the Iranian side claimed that "this matter can be considered over, but if the Israeli regime makes another mistake, Iran's response will be harsher." Iranian state media said on the 16th that if Tel Aviv retaliates, then Iran has prepared 1,000 missiles in response to Israel's retaliation. This loud voice suddenly made the people of the Middle East feel a sense of refreshment!
The reason is very simple, Israel is a bully in the Middle East, and it has always attacked military targets in any country it wants, and the Mossad is also arbitrarily entering any country to carry out assassinations, forced by the United States' supremacious position in the Middle East and giving Israel an unconditional platform, especially Israel's genocide against the people of Gaza on October 7 last year, which has aroused the indignation of people with conscience in the Middle East and even around the world. Cruise missiles and suicide drones retaliate against Israel on a large scale, which is the first large-scale attack on Israel's homeland since the Middle East war.
On April 1, Israel attacked the Iranian embassy in Syria, killing 16 high-ranking Quds Force officials, and on April 14, Iran launched attacks on a large intelligence center in the Israeli-Syrian border area and the Nevatim air base in the Negev desert.
However, no matter how ruthless the words are, how embarrassing it is this time! Israel promised the United States not to retaliate to its face, but as soon as it turned around, Israel launched a retaliatory strike against Iran, and the United States and Iran stared at each other, and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken refused to comment on the attack at the G7 summit, saying only that the United States "did not participate in any offensive operations." Iran is also stupid, Israel still launched a strike on Iran, and Iran, which had already made a big talk before, was suddenly embarrassed, but judging from Iran's current statement, Iran will not launch a retaliatory strike against Israel again because of this!
Do you want to think that this is the end of the "war" between Iran and Israel? Obviously too naïve, even the United States has been played, can you guess what Israel is going to play next? That's right, you guessed, this is just an appetizer for Israel, and then Israel is going to stud, and Iran is going to be careful!
The trees are quiet and the wind is not stopping: Israel's fierce retaliation is yet to come
The United States has always been very worried that it will fight after Iran retaliates against Israel, and in the end it is forced to play a war between the United States and Iran because of the special relationship between the United States and Israel, so Biden called Netanyahu for the first time and warned Netanyahu that Israel has already won, and there is no need to escalate again. U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin then warned Israeli Defense Secretary Gallant that the United States must be informed of the next action.
Because Israel bombed the Iranian embassy in Damascus, Syria on April 1, the United States was completely unaware, at that time, Israeli intelligence determined that no matter how Israel assassinated members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran was unlikely to return fire, and even if it fought back, it was unlikely to directly use missiles and drones to hit Israel itself, but what happened was unexpected by Israel, Iran not only fought back, but also fought hard, back and forth, Israel did not feel that it was a draw, but thought that it was a big loss of face!
A number of officials, represented by members of Israel's wartime cabinet, proposed an immediate counterattack against Iran, but was opposed by Israeli Defense Minister Gallant, but he did not oppose attacking Iran, but the timing was not right, and the Israeli army needed more and more detailed preparations.
Khamenei's revenge on Iran on his birthday: this is to give Iran eye medicine
The Israeli cabinet has drawn up a complete plan for retaliation, and this time it is only to test Iran's attitude, because Israel is particularly picky, and April 19 coincides with the birthday of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei! For Iran, Khamenei is in a very special position, he is one of the three figures who have great influence on the Islamic Republic of Iran (the other two are Ruhollah Mousavi Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic, and Ayatollah Akbar Hashmi Khashmi in the 1990s). Rafsanjani), Israel chose to attack at this time, and it is definitely to give Iran an eye medicine.
However, Iran does not want to entangle with Israel at this time, as a great power in the Middle East, Iran has the grand ambition to restore the Persian Empire, and this kind of operation with Israel is also despised by Iran, which is best at fighting proxy wars with Israel, and in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, there is a chance for Israel and the United States to bleed slowly.
According to the latest report by Israeli television, senior Israeli military officials have arrived at the command center of the Kiria military base in Tel Aviv, and it is possible that a new raid will be carried out in the next 24-48 hours, which is the hard dish that Israel wants to give Iran, and the retaliation in the early morning of the 19th is just an appetizer.
The United States can no longer hold back Israel, and Netanyahu will definitely stir up populist politics in Israel in order to protect himself, because if Israel dies down, no matter how much the United States guarantees Netanyahu will be liquidated by the opposition forces in Israel, only by maintaining a wartime cabinet and letting the United States go out of the Middle East, and once again consolidating Israel's absolute position in the Middle East, Netanyahu, who has successfully retired, can retain Netanyahu's power in Israeli politics.
What is certain is that Iran endured this time, but Iran cannot endure it, after all, Iran is a major power in the Middle East, and in the face of crazy Israel's provocations, it is okay to endure it once, twice, don't laugh at Iran, Iran is really very tolerant on the road to reviving the Persian Empire:
- First: On January 3, 2020, General Soleimani was targeted by the US MQ-9B, and Iran vowed to retaliate with the most violent blows, and finally hit the US military base with missiles, but notified the US military to evacuate 10 minutes before the attack, and then announced that the retaliation was complete;
- Second: On January 3, 2024, Soleimani's death day was hit by a large-scale terrorist attack that killed 93 people and injured hundreds, but Iran only attacked Israeli spy centers in Iraq and then declared a complete victory;
- The third time: On April 1, 2023, the Iranian embassy was bombed by a JDAM bomb by an Israeli F-35 and the building was razed to the ground.
It's just three things, honest people will break out, and Iran has never been honest! So it is difficult to say if Israel retaliates against Iran on a large scale next, Iran has a large number of ballistic and cruise missiles and drones, the retaliatory strike in the early morning of April 14 has tested the limits of Israel's air defense system, Iran's carefully prepared missiles and cruise missiles and drones arrived at the same time, and the saturation strike makes the Israeli air defense system unable to cope, then the next Iranian retaliation may be more than that.
Iran must beware: Israel is highly likely to strike Iran's nuclear facilities on a large scale
Israel is not surprised by what it does, this is a madman! The United States has already seen that even if the United States threatens Israel not to use American data links and weapons to attack Iran, it is useless, and the next escalation of the attack on Iran must achieve some purpose, after all, Iran's total area has reached 1.65 million square kilometers, hundreds of cities with a population of more than hundreds of thousands, and Israeli missiles cannot control it, this large-scale strike must tear the face, and it must make Iran's potential completely unplayable, for example, Iran is only one step away from the atomic bomb, so Israel's next target is very likely to be Iran's nuclear facilities。
This kind of operation was carried out by Israel on Iraq in 1981, and the long-distance Israeli F-16 fighter jets completely destroyed the Osrak nuclear reactor in the southeast of Baghdad, which Iraq was about to use, and this bombing ended Iraq's dream of nuclear weapons, which is a classic case in the world's military history, so we have reason to believe that Israel's lore against Iran is likely to be an attack on nuclear facilities!
Iran's Rise: No One Arrived First is a foreshadowing from the United States and Israel
Since April 1, what the United States and Israel and even the world did not expect is that a black swan-level event is happening, and the United States does not want to participate in the breaking between Iran and Israel, the United States is currently the first priority in the Western Pacific to contain China's rise, the United States is trying to pull China to the limit, and China is also fighting for endurance to prepare for the US Treasury bond +If the United States wants to end up in the Iran-Israel war against Iran, then the strategic task of the United States to contain China cannot be achieved, so the United States needs to try its best to avoid the uncontrollable direction between Iran and Israel. For the possible options of the United States after the next large-scale Israeli retaliation against Iran:
- The first option is to end up in the Iran-Israel war, the special relationship between the United States and Israel, and it is not surprising that the United States, which is "controlled" by the Jews, has made this decision, so that China's rise in the Western Pacific is inevitable;
- The second option is to refuse to end the Iran-Israel war, and the United States will continue to focus its strategic focus on containing China in the Western Pacific, then a black swan-level incident has occurred, and Iran retaliates against Israel itself, and the United States actually allows it to go, whether it is the selfishness of the United States or Iran's mighty and domineering, have you thought of the result? Iran is about to become the new leader of the Middle East!
Iran has always been considered the regional hegemon in the Middle East, because the United States has full support for Israel to balance the Middle East, and after the United States entered the Middle East, it provoked a feud between Shiites and Sunnis, and blamed both sides for many terrorist attacks caused by the CIA and the Mossad, resulting in the severance of diplomatic relations between Iran under the Sunni leader and Saudi Arabia under the Shiite leader for many years.
On March 10 last year, under the auspices of China, Saudi Arabia and Iran reached a historic reconciliation, and this also led to a wave of reconciliation in the Middle East, and the United States and Israel became an alternative in the Middle East! Saudi Arabia and the United States have a good relationship, and the United States could originally influence Iran through Saudi Arabia, but Saudi Arabia's real position in the Middle East is not as good as Iran's, because Saudi Arabia does not have its own independent military industrial system, the morale of the army is weak, and even the Houthis cannot defeat it, so Saudi Arabia is only a regional power in the Middle East rather than a regional power, and only Iran is!
And Iran has been fighting the United States and Israel for many years, and has established a huge organization and coalition in the Middle East led by Iran, including the Palestinian Hamas group, the Syrian government army, the Iraqi Shiite militia, the Lebanese Allah Party, the Yemeni Houthis, and even Qatar. This alliance is like a huge arc, connecting the entire Middle East region, and their goal is to jointly resist the intervention and aggression of Israel and the United States, forming a huge strategic pressure on the United States and Israel, from which the name of the Middle East Arc of Resistance is derived.
In these countries and regions, Syria and Iraq were infiltrated by Iranian forces after the US invasion but unable to completely control it, and the economy of Syria and Iraq is almost controlled by Iran, and most of the domestic forces are pro-Iranian, while the traditional Lebanese Allah and Palestinian Hamas are Iran's old friends, of course, the Houthis that only rose in 2015, etc., Iran is basically close to the leadership position in the Middle East, and now it is almost a breath, this key is in the Middle East "land snake" The dispute between Iran and Israel, the representative of the United States in the Middle East.
If the United States ignores Israel after another large-scale attack by Iran, the United States' gas in the Middle East will come to an end, and the Middle East countries will welcome the rise of Iran very much, and Iran's voice in the Middle East will rise again, and it will be even more difficult for the United States to knock Iran in the future! But if the United States ends up in the Iran-Israel war, then China in the Western Pacific will be like a wild horse that has let go of the reins, and no force can stop China's rise, and neither choice is what the United States wants, so put pressure on Israel to the limit, and the US-Israel break is also what everyone wants to see!