Will Iran retaliate for the attack on its embassy in Syria? The question has recently been answered, and the Biden administration is not satisfied with Iran's public non-retaliation against Israel, and now the United States has only one choice.
Since Israel attacked the Iranian embassy in Syria on the 1st of this month, the international eyes have been watching Iran's next moves, and Iran has also made it clear that it will retaliate against Israel. Just when the international eyes were looking at Iran, an anonymous diplomatic source recently revealed a news that was unexpected to the outside world, the source said that Iran has told the United States that if the United States can ensure a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, Iran will not respond to Israel's air strikes on its embassy in Syria. In other words, the choice of whether Iran will retaliate against Israel next is in the hands of the Biden administration in the United States.
It is undeniable that this choice is definitely a "hot potato" for the Biden administration. If the United States ensures that a ceasefire agreement is reached in Gaza, it will inevitably provoke the displeasure of the Israeli government of Netanyahu, which at the end of March at a United Nations Security Council meeting, because the United States abstained from voting on a resolution on a ceasefire in Gaza, instead of voting against, when the Netanyahu government accused the United States of "betraying" Israel, further exacerbating the contradictions between the United States and Israel. The reason for this is also very simple, to put it bluntly, the Netanyahu government does not want a ceasefire in Gaza, his goal is to eliminate Hamas, and in the absence of this goal, even if the United States calls for a ceasefire, the Israeli side will not give face at all. Under such circumstances, if the United States ensures a ceasefire agreement in Gaza because of Iran's words, then Israel is bound to export another "verbal cannon" to the Biden administration. However, if the Biden administration does not listen to Iran and ignores the Gaza ceasefire agreement, then Iran will inevitably retaliate against Israel, which is obviously not what the United States wants to see. All in all, now for the Biden administration, this is a "dilemma" choice, Iran's move, the Biden administration also has to admire, for the Biden administration, it seems to be in a "dead end".
At the moment, both the United States and Israel are actively making various preparations to prevent Iran's retaliation. Some U.S. officials predict that Iran may use a large number of "Shahed" drones and cruise missiles in retaliatory attacks, and may attack Israeli diplomatic facilities equivalent to the Iranian embassy, which will probably take place between the end of Ramadan. On the 5th, Israel even directly and temporarily closed 28 embassies abroad. Immediately afterward, on the 7th, the IDF withdrew all ground forces in southern Gaza almost overnight, leaving only one brigade to defend the so-called "Nazarim corridor". These actions of the Israeli army cannot but make the outside world suspicious, and it seems that a vicious battle is coming.
However, in fact, the Biden administration is not "out of nowhere", if the Biden administration is willing, it still has the only choice, that is, to ensure that a ceasefire agreement is reached in Gaza, although this will make the Israeli side dissatisfied, but this is indeed in line with the expectations of the international community, you know, in the Israeli army "no difference" The current humanitarian crisis in Gaza has sparked international outrage, with Israeli attacks on Gaza killing at least 33,000 Palestinians and wounding more than 75,000 since the start of the current Israeli-Palestinian conflict. A new round of Palestinian-Israeli cease-fire talks began in Cairo, Egypt, on March 31, but there are contradictions in the statements of various parties on the progress of the cease-fire talks, and the talks have reached an impasse. Negotiations can be postponed, but refugees in Gaza, they simply can't afford to delay. If the United States can ensure a ceasefire agreement in Gaza at this time, this can be regarded as an opportunity for the Biden administration to ease the pressure of international public opinion, and it is now up to the Biden administration to grasp it.